Weather · resolved market

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on June 23?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe9f5a7e2d75c6eb2c97fdffc52cc1ef1540d274fc470c00b099e2744ca3902d9

Rebuilt 4 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 23, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $26,166
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $26,517

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,166 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 172 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Weather
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x17e0…fe5bbacked Yes	63c	2,400$1,522 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,522.4	310	43.2%134 W · 176 L	+9.9wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb9f3…d6ddbacked No	36c	695$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$444.8	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.13per pick	54cpaid	+37%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd36…a832backed Yes	63c	634.92$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	650	43.4%282 W · 368 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x92e3…ab49backed Yes	56c	512.15$287 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$286.93	71	38%27 W · 44 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7bf…b02dbacked Yes	69c	503.2$347 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$347.21	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	59cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xa2ff…6ab4backed No	37c	481.12$177 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$304.09	49	65.3%32 W · 17 L	+1.4wins	+0.03per pick	62cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1917…138bbacked No	42c	459.36$191 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$268.1	337	46.9%158 W · 179 L	-9.4wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe040…824fbacked No	30c	426.45$128 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$298.91	4,267	53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L	+156.0wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	-4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0380…073dbacked No	39c	423.73$167 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$256.47	4,257	65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L	+17.6wins	0.00per pick	65cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe086…0450backed No	39c	419.26$161 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$257.79	1,243	52.5%652 W · 591 L	-18.7wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c63…93d4backed No	40c	415.63$167 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$248.62	10,354	37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L	+417.6wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c0a…a2c3backed No	39c	354.61$138 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$216.36	1,280	51.2%655 W · 625 L	-33.7wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf33c…488cbacked Yes	63c	317.7$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	102	44.1%45 W · 57 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x077c…8b1fbacked No	24c	276.51$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$209.66	538	55%296 W · 242 L	-9.4wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes	56c	258.21$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144.6	2,501	45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L	+26.8wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46f1…701fbacked Yes	62c	257.4$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$159.73	2,877	55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L	-59.3wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x655c…1a00backed No	37c	250$93 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$157.5	361	50.4%182 W · 179 L	-4.9wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61f9…8055backed No	38c	225.52$86 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$139.59	905	55.6%503 W · 402 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x942e…be27backed No	44c	225$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$126	2,010	61.5%1,237 W · 773 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	62cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1aa2…0484backed Yes	69c	196.28$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135.98	161	29.2%47 W · 114 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x326c…ef55backed No	35c	179.7$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$117.21	153	45.1%69 W · 84 L	-11.3wins	-0.07per pick	52cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x49c4…db5bbacked No	35c	171.79$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$111.79	1,275	36.5%465 W · 810 L	-15.9wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x156b…5808backed Yes	63c	166.86$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.06	405	35.6%144 W · 261 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe457…5ab3backed No	45c	162.01$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$89.58	438	48.6%213 W · 225 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafde…3e1dbacked No	20c	161.2$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$128.44	1,331	20.8%277 W · 1,054 L	+33.9wins	+0.03per pick	18cpaid	-19%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6bee…7e78backed Yes	33c	157.95$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.88	1,076	23.5%253 W · 823 L	+69.1wins	+0.06per pick	17cpaid	+14.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6dc3…3472backed No	35c	156.49$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$101.29	600	54.2%325 W · 275 L	-18.0wins	-0.03per pick	57cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc34f…7d2ebacked No	35c	155.07$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100.89	12,173	46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L	-42.2wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc518…2594backed No	30c	151.45$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$105.81	1,928	53.5%1,032 W · 896 L	+39.0wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7faa…c757backed No	34c	150$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$99	52	48.1%25 W · 27 L	-1.9wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1414…866abacked No	34c	150$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$99	62	43.5%27 W · 35 L	-3.3wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-12%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfcae…1ea8backed No	31c	150$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104	101	47.5%48 W · 53 L	-4.8wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x342c…de11backed Yes	64c	149.51$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.15	172	41.9%72 W · 100 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3721…3abebacked No	28c	136.79$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98.69	81	34.6%28 W · 53 L	+5.0wins	+0.06per pick	28cpaid	+23.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed No	20c	133.46$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106.8	2,302	26.9%620 W · 1,682 L	-41.8wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde67…c144backed Yes	71c	132.75$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.64	148	35.8%53 W · 95 L	-4.8wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0294…76a0backed No	31c	132.22$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$91.67	152	46.1%70 W · 82 L	-10.6wins	-0.07per pick	53cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6ff6…e4fbbacked No	36c	124.81$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80.18	653	53.4%349 W · 304 L	+6.0wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52eb…67acbacked Yes	70c	123.78$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.81	4,988	49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L	-155.4wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No	39c	120.01$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.11	5,897	49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L	-103.3wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked No	25c	118.47$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$89.3	2,214	20.7%458 W · 1,756 L	-60.8wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb0d6…7475backed No	19c	117.7$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$95.4	1,525	52.6%802 W · 723 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x32b5…db37backed Yes	45c	111.91$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.96	137	51.8%71 W · 66 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+10%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes	31c	111.9$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.82	6,787	39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L	+256.4wins	+0.04per pick	35cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb0a5…0a36backed No	28c	110$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.2	2,086	51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L	-45.0wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed No	25c	109.98$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82.08	1,543	60.5%934 W · 609 L	-19.5wins	-0.01per pick	62cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked No	40c	109.82$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.37	2,262	39.6%895 W · 1,367 L	-56.8wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9b5…3925backed Yes	56c	108.61$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.82	44	27.3%12 W · 32 L	-6.7wins	-0.15per pick	43cpaid	-40.1%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x457e…72ddbacked Yes	56c	107$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.92	134	44.8%60 W · 74 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8ed…156fbacked Yes	80c	105$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84	123	51.2%63 W · 60 L	-9.5wins	-0.08per pick	59cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7247…ecb6backed Yes	64c	104.53$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.9	50	24%12 W · 38 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14ad…69f5backed No	33c	104.16$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.79	267	44.2%118 W · 149 L	-4.8wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbd8…4027backed No	37c	103$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.57	5,631	59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L	-111.1wins	-0.02per pick	62cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x45e3…b5dabacked Yes	56c	102.24$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.07	49	40.8%20 W · 29 L	+2.9wins	+0.06per pick	35cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x75cc…6b15backed No	43c	101.5$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.95	1,181	49.4%583 W · 598 L	-9.1wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf045…c619backed Yes	65c	100.78$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.94	180	35.6%64 W · 116 L	-3.7wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b47…f1f5backed Yes	59c	100.47$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59	244	34.4%84 W · 160 L	+10.0wins	+0.04per pick	30cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xebdb…5ac4backed No	37c	100$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63	850	49.8%423 W · 427 L	-10.4wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9625…ec8ebacked No	33c	100$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67	91	45.1%41 W · 50 L	-5.3wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4c33…38c9backed Yes	63c	100$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63	247	32%79 W · 168 L	-4.7wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4476…c5fcbacked No	36c	100$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64	425	47.5%202 W · 223 L	-16.0wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb0f5…8fd4backed Yes	66c	100$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66	100	42%42 W · 58 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8adb…9e1dbacked No	33c	100$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67	169	46.7%79 W · 90 L	-13.5wins	-0.08per pick	55cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc743…4cb7backed No	37c	100$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63	98	48%47 W · 51 L	-4.6wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1dd2…42efbacked No	33c	100$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67	155	45.2%70 W · 85 L	-13.9wins	-0.09per pick	54cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf333…ba41backed Yes	60c	98$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.8	869	49.8%433 W · 436 L	-24.0wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x89cc…9e01backed No	39c	91.77$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.23	97	52.6%51 W · 46 L	+3.1wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f20…7163backed Yes	67c	91.34$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.2	353	25.5%90 W · 263 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	+11%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f30…f8debacked Yes	62c	90$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.8	3,830	47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L	+63.6wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed No	31c	89.52$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.35	6,592	53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L	+400.2wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7d35…3d76backed No	42c	85.48$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.89	54	27.8%15 W · 39 L	-2.1wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e72…ffb9backed No	26c	83.15$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.44	2,102	56.5%1,188 W · 914 L	+61.4wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c54…02e9backed No	35c	80.01$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.07	61	50.8%31 W · 30 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0996…598dbacked No	31c	80$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.2	487	43.7%213 W · 274 L	-9.5wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51dd…4053backed No	37c	80$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.4	403	52.4%211 W · 192 L	-12.7wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3334…69b0backed Yes	41c	79.37$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.54	464	44.4%206 W · 258 L	-18.2wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5042…f296backed No	32c	79.08$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.97	97	44.3%43 W · 54 L	+3.4wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd221…4331backed No	34c	77.33$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.78	97	46.4%45 W · 52 L	-3.2wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd514…bbdfbacked No	36c	77.2$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.19	579	48.4%280 W · 299 L	+5.0wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda35…b2dbbacked Yes	59c	76.34$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.01	462	40.5%187 W · 275 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked No	20c	76$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.56	4,347	29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L	+19.8wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x38e2…2909backed No	33c	75.46$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.46	3,479	53%1,845 W · 1,634 L	+72.1wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32af…a7c3backed No	30c	75$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.5	38	42.1%16 W · 22 L	+5.6wins	+0.15per pick	27cpaid	+53%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3653…ef74backed No	25c	74.19$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.34	2,124	57.4%1,220 W · 904 L	+69.9wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x45e7…d77cbacked No	41c	73.83$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.85	495	51.9%257 W · 238 L	-25.1wins	-0.05per pick	57cpaid	-10%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5f4a…f61bbacked Yes	63c	70$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.1	545	47.7%260 W · 285 L	-18.9wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd498…a6c5backed No	35c	70$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.29	1,710	47.8%818 W · 892 L	-48.2wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xffd0…cd07backed No	36c	67.53$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.45	2,311	57.7%1,334 W · 977 L	-19.0wins	-0.01per pick	59cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd91…32b8backed No	32c	66.24$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.03	1,428	52.1%744 W · 684 L	-21.9wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7df0…0dfebacked No	36c	63.83$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.07	3,642	65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L	+33.6wins	+0.01per pick	65cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37df…f8b9backed No	44c	63.5$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.56	119	58.8%70 W · 49 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	61cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb46…56e7backed Yes	63c	61.45$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.62	421	48%202 W · 219 L	+4.3wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f85…7b02backed No	25c	60.97$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.65	2,068	55.9%1,156 W · 912 L	+44.2wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c46…0a9cbacked Yes	58c	60.29$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.97	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.40per pick	40cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd55…f905backed No	40c	60$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.27	4,547	58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L	-107.5wins	-0.02per pick	61cpaid	-8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b5d…57d3backed No	28c	60$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.2	743	38.2%284 W · 459 L	+17.8wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1bf7…40c0backed No	49c	60$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.54	800	50.1%401 W · 399 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No	35c	59.08$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.26	7,148	9.3%666 W · 6,482 L	-1,105.8wins	-0.15per pick	25cpaid	-75.9%equal weight	33-0.15 edge/pick
0x24e8…4546backed Yes	65c	57.39$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.3	3,065	53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L	-97.2wins	-0.03per pick	57cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x22d9…ee63backed Yes	53c	56.6$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	37	40.5%15 W · 22 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on June 23?this page
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on June 23?No won
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on June 23?No won
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 41°C on June 23?Yes won
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 42°C on June 23?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on June 23?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event