TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xde67…c144

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
186
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 50 out of 100 (0.00 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 50 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT14835.8%53 W · 95 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 148 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.6
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.9
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on July 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.28
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$213Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$212.81
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$467Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+58.9%+$275.43
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on July 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$241Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$240.94
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.01
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.07
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on July 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.15
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on July 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$313Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+33.7%+$105.41
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+89.9%+$34.77
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.55
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.65
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.01
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on July 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$348Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+26.8%+$93.09
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+49.1%+$97.17
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.84
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$212Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+47.9%+$101.64
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.03
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.14
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.94
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.86
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on July 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.74
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.75
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.21
Showing 25 of 148 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT2060%12 W · 8 L-0.1wins0.00per pick60cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+46.2%+$41.13
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON - Game 3 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.87
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.29
LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON - Game 2 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$19.34
LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON - Game 1 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.99
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 4 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.85
LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$97
LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.47
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Top Esports - Game 4 Winnerbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$18.5
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.75
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Team Orange Gaming (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Seasonbacked Team Orange Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.81
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$4
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.85
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+27.8%+$8.7
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+49.7%+$26.85
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+150.3%+$25.28
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+67.8%+$10.73
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+40.6%+$6.14
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+74%+$7.46
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$13.48
All 20 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+25.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+71.4%+$25.16
Exact Score: England 1 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+713%+$78.93
Exact Score: England 1 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.84
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.82
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Cabo Verde?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Cabo Verde?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 0 Cabo Verde?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Cabo Verde?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 1 Croatia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$11
England vs. DR Congo: Team to Advancebacked DR Congo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.71
Erling Haaland: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$16.5
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.15
Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 1 Japan?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$10.5
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 1 Japan?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$92.4
All 14 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs FaZe - Map 2 Winnerbacked EYEBALLERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$227Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$227.47
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs FaZe - Map 1 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.05
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: BALU vs Habibis - Game 2 Winnerbacked Habibis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.4
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.