Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on June 24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x232e69b862ccb52f34674900b9457ee570573bd83661ef2698f64daf2321ce3e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,503
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,395
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,503 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf0d8…59f5backed Yes | 46c | 4,226$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,949.54 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbddc…5d4fbacked Yes | 43c | 575.53$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.65 | 644 | 46.4%299 W · 345 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 37c | 434.33$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.09 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked Yes | 46c | 391.08$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.43 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 53c | 342.36$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.08 | 718 | 23.4%168 W · 550 L | -26.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed No | 58c | 315.49$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.28 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 59c | 300$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 1,243 | 52.5%652 W · 591 L | -18.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 46c | 275$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.5 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 59c | 259.34$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.29 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 12c | 252.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.36 | 2,302 | 26.9%620 W · 1,682 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2a…3706backed No | 60c | 243$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.28 | 348 | 53.4%186 W · 162 L | -19.2wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 28c | 226.63$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.45 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 56c | 223$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.88 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2acf…f9bbbacked Yes | 31c | 202.73$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.72 | 1,227 | 33.9%416 W · 811 L | +45.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaac4…efa0backed No | 51c | 190$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.22 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75cc…6b15backed No | 49c | 188.77$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.27 | 1,181 | 49.4%583 W · 598 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 59c | 187.3$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.79 | 1,280 | 51.2%655 W · 625 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd514…bbdfbacked No | 39c | 183.76$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.57 | 579 | 48.4%280 W · 299 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1755…c987backed Yes | 41c | 182.69$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 58c | 181.05$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.04 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9551…ca44backed No | 56c | 174.09$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.6 | 159 | 50.3%80 W · 79 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…cd07backed No | 50c | 152$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.28 | 2,311 | 57.7%1,334 W · 977 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebdb…5ac4backed No | 46c | 150$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.5 | 850 | 49.8%423 W · 427 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd498…a6c5backed No | 67c | 142.87$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.63 | 1,710 | 47.8%818 W · 892 L | -48.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 48c | 142.57$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.48 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13de…fd91backed No | 43c | 135.86$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.04 | 755 | 46.1%348 W · 407 L | -32.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc1…a3bbbacked Yes | 36c | 134.42$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.04 | 876 | 29.2%256 W · 620 L | -53.7wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 69c | 130.4$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.42 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…ab9fbacked Yes | 49c | 129$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.79 | 245 | 42.9%105 W · 140 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed Yes | 24c | 119.47$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.21 | 2,102 | 56.5%1,188 W · 914 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 49c | 119.14$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.31 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4a…f61bbacked No | 64c | 111.55$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.52 | 545 | 47.7%260 W · 285 L | -18.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ed…156fbacked No | 46c | 105$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.7 | 123 | 51.2%63 W · 60 L | -9.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 10c | 104.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a96…c617backed No | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…d964backed No | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b2…d3d9backed No | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x527e…384ebacked No | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd78c…a66ebacked Yes | 36c | 95.27$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.05 | 728 | 37.8%275 W · 453 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 50c | 93.42$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.77 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 56c | 93$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.66 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1917…138bbacked No | 55c | 92.13$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.57 | 337 | 46.9%158 W · 179 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 50c | 90$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 59c | 83.33$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.17 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc3…3472backed No | 46c | 82.4$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.25 | 600 | 54.2%325 W · 275 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x970d…022ebacked No | 49c | 81$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.31 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed No | 57c | 81$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.81 | 583 | 58%338 W · 245 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3e…5337backed Yes | 71c | 80$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.4 | 818 | 48.5%397 W · 421 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e6…7a4dbacked No | 70c | 79.77$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.93 | 1,699 | 60.6%1,029 W · 670 L | -24.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd212…5182backed Yes | 43c | 75$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.25 | 135 | 51.1%69 W · 66 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 50c | 70$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.9 | 1,991 | 52.3%1,042 W · 949 L | -76.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61f9…8055backed No | 52c | 70$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.54 | 905 | 55.6%503 W · 402 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb782…aa2dbacked Yes | 50c | 70$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed Yes | 50c | 68.69$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.02 | 2,093 | 57.1%1,196 W · 897 L | +71.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce0…6606backed No | 59c | 67.79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.79 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e0…6392backed Yes | 66c | 65.92$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.51 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45e7…d77cbacked No | 57c | 65.01$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.95 | 495 | 51.9%257 W · 238 L | -25.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked Yes | 45c | 63$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.35 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 61c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…40c0backed No | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.54 | 800 | 50.1%401 W · 399 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec62…9191backed Yes | 37c | 54.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 1,102 | 40.7%448 W · 654 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x095b…2971backed No | 56c | 53$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.32 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19f4…c772backed Yes | 52c | 52$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.27 | 1,054 | 34.9%368 W · 686 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7faa…c757backed No | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c54…02e9backed No | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd90…4bfcbacked Yes | 58c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 577 | 47%271 W · 306 L | +40.0wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc743…4cb7backed No | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01e3…c67fbacked No | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1414…866abacked No | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03e1…e180backed No | 51c | 49.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.28 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36ff…f2a6backed Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 621 | 37.7%234 W · 387 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x759d…cc80backed Yes | 60c | 46.43$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.86 | 778 | 51.9%404 W · 374 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe422…4d64backed No | 61c | 45$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.55 | 2,065 | 43.6%900 W · 1,165 L | -11.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a1f…4877backed Yes | 31c | 44.39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 801 | 30.8%247 W · 554 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x515c…7587backed No | 53c | 43.89$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.63 | 196 | 48%94 W · 102 L | -11.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18ae…314cbacked No | 69c | 43.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 1,211 | 29.8%361 W · 850 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…c19ebacked Yes | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 612 | 49.5%303 W · 309 L | +30.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0996…598dbacked No | 39c | 42.14$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.71 | 487 | 43.7%213 W · 274 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 43c | 39.44$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 180 | 43.3%78 W · 102 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked Yes | 42c | 39.36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.54 | 2,075 | 58.9%1,223 W · 852 L | +102.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe02d…bcffbacked No | 48c | 38.75$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.15 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed Yes | 32c | 35.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 2,124 | 57.4%1,220 W · 904 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34b0…05a6backed No | 54c | 35.31$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.24 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fc…0d3bbacked No | 55c | 35.09$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 648 | 59.1%383 W · 265 L | -21.2wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea83…7393backed No | 53c | 34.96$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 1,445 | 60.1%868 W · 577 L | +5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68a8…552fbacked Yes | 44c | 34.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed Yes | 46c | 32.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.09 | 2,090 | 56.7%1,186 W · 904 L | +60.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a86…84ecbacked No | 69c | 32.6$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.11 | 465 | 49.9%232 W · 233 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed No | 65c | 30.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 1,126 | 51.2%577 W · 549 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 36c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 2,010 | 61.5%1,237 W · 773 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x273f…ef14backed Yes | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…fc9bbacked No | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb5…9400backed No | 50c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 527 | 58.8%310 W · 217 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5566…7c29backed No | 47c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.84 | 284 | 56%159 W · 125 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2c…0a2cbacked No | 61c | 26.35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.29 | 1,550 | 56.7%879 W · 671 L | -83.2wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 72c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d70…cc5ebacked No | 51c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 156 | 66%103 W · 53 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf96c…9014backed No | 47c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on June 24?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on June 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on June 24?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on June 24?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.