Ukraine · resolved market
Will Ukraine re-enter Huliaipole by March 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x36b7731773d528412b310f6e5ab627010eea9f05973829ebcc8606e3d70972ab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $212,605
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $212,605 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x502c…c96bbacked No | 3c | 13,256$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8b…a211backed Yes | 12c | 12,973$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,382.66 | 78 | 48.7%38 W · 40 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No | 2c | 9,489$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.37 | 87 | 11.5%10 W · 77 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -42%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42d5…8e7ebacked Yes | 55c | 5,051$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250.69 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 34cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36f3…5304backed No | 12c | 4,767$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked No | 77c | 4,548$3,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,492.7 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b92…1761backed Yes | 72c | 4,180$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,179.65 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9238…b73ebacked Yes | 75c | 3,648$2,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924.44 | 353 | 41.9%148 W · 205 L | +24.9wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…2ed6backed No | 6c | 3,637$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.97 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 35cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 1c | 3,544$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.42 | 532 | 7%37 W · 495 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02a1…dd72backed Yes | 20c | 3,071$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,457.97 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +14.4wins | +0.20per pick | 36cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x7d1b…e75cbacked Yes | 14c | 3,038$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,618.09 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +6.7wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe443…c065backed Yes | 15c | 2,700$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,293.98 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78c3…7003backed No | 7c | 2,658$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed No | 2c | 2,468$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.32 | 63 | 1.6%1 W · 62 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x937b…d250backed No | 4c | 2,270$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 8cpaid | +304.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x185f…3649backed No | 1c | 2,099$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.87 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 15c | 2,029$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,718.3 | 253 | 11.5%29 W · 224 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x056c…5066backed No | 1c | 1,987$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.81 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16f0…aba5backed No | 80c | 1,760$1,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,407.62 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed No | 3c | 1,704$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.17 | 71 | 2.8%2 W · 69 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -81.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a4…1f80backed Yes | 12c | 1,700$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500.97 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +200.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 7c | 1,664$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.59 | 85 | 10.6%9 W · 76 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89ff…9188backed No | 3c | 1,624$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1851…ae47backed No | 1c | 1,500$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe86c…739bbacked No | 1c | 1,435$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a3c…e276backed No | 4c | 1,354$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.67 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 4c | 1,270$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.99 | 143 | 2.1%3 W · 140 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb685…c180backed No | 7c | 1,248$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e26…2020backed No | 20c | 1,200$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed Yes | 15c | 1,089$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$927.2 | 262 | 38.5%101 W · 161 L | +18.2wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6b…68f5backed No | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c9…becbbacked No | 4c | 1,000$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed No | 17c | 940$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.8 | 41 | 17.1%7 W · 34 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed No | 71c | 931.81$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.96 | 154 | 51.3%79 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca1…13b5backed No | 53c | 900$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477 | 147 | 50.3%74 W · 73 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked No | 5c | 805.07$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.04 | 107 | 4.7%5 W · 102 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1baa…6eb3backed No | 14c | 800$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 11cpaid | +156.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked No | 28c | 800$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed No | 4c | 750$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.25 | 43 | 2.3%1 W · 42 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -73%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x315f…85c6backed No | 5c | 654.37$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +89.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…99b5backed No | 7c | 552.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed No | 12c | 551.64$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.38 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x695c…10a1backed No | 19c | 510$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.25 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd72…6cc4backed No | 70c | 500$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed No | 5c | 499.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.43 | 130 | 2.3%3 W · 127 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6033…54fbbacked No | 4c | 490.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb04a…acfcbacked Yes | 15c | 484.48$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.04 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked No | 3c | 464.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe762…064bbacked Yes | 46c | 453.77$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.86 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…cca3backed No | 16c | 450$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +210.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x01be…3855backed No | 8c | 450$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 10cpaid | +354.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefaa…8716backed No | 16c | 450$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +306.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b9…0aaebacked No | 16c | 450$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +306.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 24c | 421.67$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.6 | 172 | 32%55 W · 117 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00be…5acabacked Yes | 25c | 399.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +81.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed No | 6c | 399.19$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x935a…6235backed Yes | 13c | 385.9$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.9 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa095…6040backed No | 21c | 358.33$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.17 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 14c | 357.65$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.49 | 308 | 37.7%116 W · 192 L | -18.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f93…989abacked Yes | 11c | 330.22$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.39per pick | 27cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed Yes | 50c | 329.47$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.74 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22f1…6415backed No | 7c | 304$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.21 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9db…d937backed No | 9c | 300$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a5…d228backed No | 18c | 300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7930…b208backed No | 7c | 299.72$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +3.7wins | +0.28per pick | 33cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed Yes | 46c | 287.6$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.42 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 16c | 262.36$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.27 | 263 | 18.3%48 W · 215 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b9…6048backed Yes | 14c | 250$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.5 | 141 | 50.4%71 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b2…3dd0backed No | 75c | 249.77$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf90…e37fbacked No | 4c | 245.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ac…3c1fbacked Yes | 18c | 227.54$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.67 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +90.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b8…129fbacked No | 12c | 227.39$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.02 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x606e…6b3abacked No | 66c | 214.04$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.66 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -3.7wins | -0.23per pick | 42cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b7…fa4bbacked Yes | 10c | 205$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.5 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x340b…f8dcbacked No | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 10cpaid | +93.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7cd…7fedbacked No | 8c | 191.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab3…07bcbacked No | 8c | 188.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf73…0436backed No | 73c | 179.45$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131 | 55 | 61.8%34 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ee…c162backed Yes | 14c | 178.57$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.57 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2da…74e3backed Yes | 58c | 172.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.38 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked Yes | 49c | 160$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.4 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a3…8642backed No | 78c | 153.64$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.41 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 61cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f80…6512backed Yes | 10c | 150$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +68.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 22c | 148.87$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.39 | 142 | 39.4%56 W · 86 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 68c | 143.1$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.25 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…ff0dbacked No | 72c | 138.29$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.47 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1926…4a52backed No | 74c | 134.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.79 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 71cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x821c…36aabacked No | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb52…118abacked Yes | 13c | 101.92$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +292%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3925…c094backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8c…ad4bbacked Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +85.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24da…6f1cbacked Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.86per pick | 14cpaid | +614.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x450e…80aebacked Yes | 17c | 98.59$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.78 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.12per pick | 24cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6180…3f64backed Yes | 21c | 83$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.57 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.41per pick | 42cpaid | +120.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d85…4c77backed No | 13c | 77.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad3…faa6backed No | 54c | 74.53$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.13 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2847…952fbacked No | 52c | 63$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab4…5c9cbacked Yes | 48c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.4 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +113.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked Yes | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.