MLB · resolved market
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb93e407b1c3ca64f7546cfa1720a254ddea7c9f0d2c6b813a7a0fb5993097da8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pittsburgh Piratesof Arizona Diamondbacks, Pittsburgh Pirates
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $411,375
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $412,561
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $411,375 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 322 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x684b…8409backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 53c | 60,000$31,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,399.89 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 48c | 54,000$25,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,919.99 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 45c | 35,996$16,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,182.92 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 47c | 30,173$14,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,102.29 | 182 | 48.4%88 W · 94 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 52c | 18,230$9,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,750.4 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa084…bb99backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 48c | 15,706$7,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,538.88 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 39c | 15,000$5,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,080 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 51c | 13,224$6,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,735.49 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 53c | 8,555$4,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,050.85 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 38c | 8,201$3,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,084.87 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf953…156cbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 47c | 7,847$3,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,688.08 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +39%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 46c | 7,552$3,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,065.62 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74dd…df82backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 59c | 7,238$4,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,990 | 120 | 35%42 W · 78 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 60c | 6,487$3,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,594.61 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 48c | 5,291$2,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,539.56 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 25c | 4,979$1,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240.95 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 66c | 4,884$3,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,202.64 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 5c | 4,629$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.91 | 341 | 39.9%136 W · 205 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 48c | 4,506$2,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,156.89 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 52c | 4,264$2,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,238.7 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6db5…e279backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 48c | 4,221$2,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,191.69 | 141 | 52.5%74 W · 67 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 52c | 4,002$2,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,925.4 | 4,477 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L | -47.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ba…f893backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 52c | 3,926$2,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,884.35 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x477e…f63ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 52c | 3,921$2,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,881.94 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 39c | 3,570$1,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,390.85 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd30…f316backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 48c | 3,558$1,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,707.98 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 47c | 3,528$1,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,658.1 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c75…227fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 40c | 3,186$1,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,264.21 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 51c | 2,521$1,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,235.28 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 36c | 2,254$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,450.19 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31a1…1227backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 2,250$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 64c | 2,085$1,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.35 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78cc…a081backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 2,065$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d2…fe85backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x73f6…a10abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 171 | 50.3%86 W · 85 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 39c | 1,880$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,139.79 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb638…20b0backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 51c | 1,770$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -6.7wins | -0.35per pick | 51cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x4e73…ac97backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 63c | 1,725$1,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 48c | 1,562$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.76 | 204 | 55.9%114 W · 90 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 48c | 1,555$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.4 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 53c | 1,508$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.81 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 47c | 1,361$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.65 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 42c | 1,353$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.58 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 40c | 1,317$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$788.69 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 47c | 1,256$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.28 | 291 | 47.1%137 W · 154 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 51c | 1,175$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.68 | 260 | 56.5%147 W · 113 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 48c | 1,151$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.45 | 556 | 45.3%252 W · 304 L | -17.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd58d…c2d6backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 48c | 1,146$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 151 | 49.7%75 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 50c | 1,095$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.55 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c98…f4f4backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…9d0fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 275 | 52.4%144 W · 131 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 129 | 39.5%51 W · 78 L | -11.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 290 | 46.6%135 W · 155 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9905…add3backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 54c | 958.48$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.5 | 103 | 51.5%53 W · 50 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd21c…2afcbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 80c | 888$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.6 | 60 | 65%39 W · 21 L | +6.4wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 787.6$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.54 | 321 | 52%167 W · 154 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 52c | 706.98$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.77 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 39c | 699.8$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.09 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 42c | 680.2$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.66 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 61c | 678.83$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.13 | 801 | 59.2%474 W · 327 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 34c | 641.4$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.69 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 43c | 627.14$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.99 | 529 | 55.6%294 W · 235 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 48c | 591$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.59 | 577 | 58.1%335 W · 242 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 78c | 561.47$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.82 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 61c | 560.95$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.06 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba62…3e29backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 48c | 540.15$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.27 | 221 | 49.3%109 W · 112 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 57c | 525.27$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 812 | 57.3%465 W · 347 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87af…c990backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 48c | 520.83$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 327 | 42.2%138 W · 189 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf1…9b40backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 3c | 511.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 37c | 508.38$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.13 | 287 | 49.5%142 W · 145 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd759…6d1abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.8 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc306…accdbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 54 | 74.1%40 W · 14 L | +9.7wins | +0.18per pick | 56cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb46…48efbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 138 | 48.6%67 W · 71 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…894cbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 51c | 479$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.57 | 520 | 53.8%280 W · 240 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 48c | 448.98$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.51 | 481 | 47%226 W · 255 L | -31.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 62c | 425$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.5 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 48c | 417$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.16 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 40c | 412.55$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.5 | 319 | 58.6%187 W · 132 L | +27.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdf9a…0bf3backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 48c | 412.5$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 52c | 406.12$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.56 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 30c | 400$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 475 | 45.9%218 W · 257 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 52c | 395.7$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.46 | 349 | 52.7%184 W · 165 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff19…3ebebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 40c | 386.64$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.99 | 404 | 47.8%193 W · 211 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 51c | 386.1$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.87 | 1,121 | 44.1%494 W · 627 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8fe…359dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 50c | 361.99$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.2 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad54…006abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 337.47$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.36 | 580 | 60.5%351 W · 229 L | +30.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 48c | 330.17$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.06 | 1,140 | 43%490 W · 650 L | -37.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 60c | 314.37$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.6 | 369 | 32.8%121 W · 248 L | -11.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce00…7d1dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 179 | 52.5%94 W · 85 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69b0…293fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 312.2$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.98 | 575 | 48%276 W · 299 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 23c | 308.62$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.23 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 586 | 52.7%309 W · 277 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Pittsburgh Piratesthis page
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5Under won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 10.5Under won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 5.5Under won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 6.5Under won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5Under won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-2.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-2.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Pittsburgh PiratesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.