TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$87,999
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$87,833

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,999 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa710…23c4backed Under49c46,902$22,982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,920.1455253.1%293 W · 259 L+21.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb272…5030backed Over50c10,000$4,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,95036246.1%167 W · 195 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over51c9,145$4,663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,662.7111,51952.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L+213.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Over50c8,862$4,418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,418.183,50951%1,789 W · 1,720 L+53.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over51c6,116$3,119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,1196,12355.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L+346.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7b88…5d08backed Under64c3,640$2,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,300.1511743.6%51 W · 66 L-13.1wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-18%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5ee0…d6a6backed Under54c3,000$1,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,38012264.8%79 W · 43 L+15.0wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+25.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2792…c4f6backed Over51c2,972$1,516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,515.5673949.8%368 W · 371 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over50c2,672$1,335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,335.216,99950.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L+2.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Over50c2,478$1,239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,23973748.4%357 W · 380 L-7.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over44c1,897$837 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$837.373,04148%1,461 W · 1,580 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under60c1,490$896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$593.768,19246.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L+38.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Over51c1,302$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$659.6487850.5%443 W · 435 L+12.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe95…1a93backed Over51c1,263$643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$643.494057.5%23 W · 17 L+3.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+13.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb1cb…2345backed Over50c1,170$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5857154.9%39 W · 32 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under51c1,120$573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$546.581,79750.4%906 W · 891 L-1.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Over49c1,032$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.1964752.4%339 W · 308 L+28.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Over51c953.47$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.271,37950.6%698 W · 681 L-2.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Over51c952.76$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.911,73749.1%852 W · 885 L+7.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Over51c875$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446.2571253.4%380 W · 332 L+12.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under59c831.61$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.454,36847.4%2,070 W · 2,298 L-79.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x28e8…6080backed Over49c831.17$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.8548150.7%244 W · 237 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Under50c816.33$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.1738453.6%206 W · 178 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Over51c780$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.81,63549.3%806 W · 829 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over50c768$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.762,80049.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcfe6…4fadbacked Under50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3004367.4%29 W · 14 L+7.8wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+36.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xba62…3e29backed Under54c551.62$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.6222149.3%109 W · 112 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-2.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Over50c532.36$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.1348145.3%218 W · 263 L-15.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Under50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2501,84550.7%936 W · 909 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2508,40347.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L+76.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96d9…18a0backed Over50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25022848.2%110 W · 118 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Under50c500$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.121,21953.9%657 W · 562 L+32.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd58d…c2d6backed Under52c480.76$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.7615149.7%75 W · 76 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed Over51c448.22$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.5952750.1%264 W · 263 L+19.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x369e…d016backed Under60c430$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17211962.2%74 W · 45 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under51c412.18$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.2610,97951.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L+139.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over51c404$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.044,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb88a…f6adbacked Over51c352$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.5229153.6%156 W · 135 L+11.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5633…59bcbacked Over51c352$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.5228452.5%149 W · 135 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xff19…3ebebacked Over51c305.76$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.9441048.3%198 W · 212 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c58…e330backed Over45c217$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.6588153.7%473 W · 408 L+40.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa384…3c9fbacked Over48c208.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10028147.7%134 W · 147 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5dc8…e209backed Over51c196.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.0146152.1%240 W · 221 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98bd…8a55backed Over51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009258.7%54 W · 38 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9437…235ebacked Over51c195.24$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.577243.1%31 W · 41 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb428…74c8backed Under52c150$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7244845.8%205 W · 243 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc22e…eab8backed Over51c149.25$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.1248851.6%252 W · 236 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b11…5375backed Under48c148.5$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.481,84849.6%917 W · 931 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f38…39f2backed Over36c139.03$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504645.7%21 W · 25 L-3.6wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-13.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over25c137.73$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.299,81946.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L+39.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x212b…0ba5backed Over51c137.27$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.0153655.8%299 W · 237 L+22.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c80…e19bbacked Over51c137.27$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.0122450%112 W · 112 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc9e…5a9ebacked Over51c137.25$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7035054.6%191 W · 159 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Over50c137$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.51,56951.1%801 W · 768 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39bd…35dabacked Over51c122.1$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.27742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Under76c120.72$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.5255645.3%252 W · 304 L-17.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4193…4853backed Over48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4884651.5%436 W · 410 L+1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Over26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2613345.9%61 W · 72 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35fa…2bd4backed Over52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5217348%83 W · 90 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbbb4…0060backed Over51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5117752.5%93 W · 84 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over51c98.18$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.075,47150.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L+21.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa23c…ae92backed Over51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5016751.5%86 W · 81 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecae…c544backed Over50c97.12$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.4855448.2%267 W · 287 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x237f…362ebacked Over51c95.45$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.688746%40 W · 47 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x42c7…c415backed Over51c91.82$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.8312050.8%61 W · 59 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6cdf…58e1backed Over51c88.2$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.9846255.8%258 W · 204 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c1e…befebacked Over51c88.2$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.9828553%151 W · 134 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Under50c69.26$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.631,21250%606 W · 606 L+5.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37bd…ed2abacked Over51c68$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.6813153.4%70 W · 61 L+0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc11d…0123backed Under50c66.75$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.383452.9%18 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7aa…abe3backed Over51c61$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.1135149.3%173 W · 178 L-12.9wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-6.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x88fb…db3abacked Under50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3074143.5%322 W · 419 L-14.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Under50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3083854.7%458 W · 380 L+29.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x09b5…7e72backed Over49c59.86$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.3312149.6%60 W · 61 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5c3…13e5backed Over52c57.69$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303557.1%20 W · 15 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4732…f40dbacked Under76c47.88$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.416539.4%65 W · 100 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a51…bf4cbacked Over51c44.86$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.8828851.4%148 W · 140 L-0.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Over50c42.11$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.296553%511 W · 454 L+18.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b41…3f90backed Under50c41.88$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x78b1…4912backed Under50c41.88$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d34…2c57backed Over50c41.88$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2575…1205backed Under50c41.88$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x79b9…4cc3backed Under50c41.88$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc2a8…1ab2backed Under50c41.88$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8898…6edcbacked Over51c41.06$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefc9…8404backed Over51c41.06$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb18a…78d6backed Under51c41.06$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x75d5…92f5backed Over51c41.06$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Over50c40.01$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.892,41349.9%1,205 W · 1,208 L+22.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58d3…5651backed Under50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204055%22 W · 18 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Under50c39.79$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.92,99547.9%1,435 W · 1,560 L+12.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf96c…9014backed Over50c39.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Under65c39$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.768,59452.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L+508.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x19b7…9ee6backed Over51c30.57$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.591,04051.8%539 W · 501 L+2.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0186…23f0backed Under51c30.06$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.63650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe481…d138backed Over50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1589548.3%432 W · 463 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc262…6587backed Under50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151533.3%5 W · 10 L-3.2wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-42.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Over51c28$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2880255%441 W · 361 L+24.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd819…2d80backed Over51c25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7510553.3%56 W · 49 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7dae…7199backed Over52c22.86$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8913151.1%67 W · 64 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.