Fifa International · resolved market
Christian Pulisic: 1+ goals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x31888e97e719ee0159155da6926900e4c606025d26593f15c0b116769bc5cce4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,806
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,626
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,806 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 19c | 2,186$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.54 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf511…bfe4backed No | 77c | 1,021$786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.59 | 145 | 79.3%115 W · 30 L | +17.0wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5a66…dcc2backed Yes | 23c | 869.57$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 20c | 743.01$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.41 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcd2…0381backed Yes | 24c | 458.33$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 108 | 19.4%21 W · 87 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3439…930fbacked Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cce…2ff1backed Yes | 24c | 307.92$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.59 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea8…9e5fbacked No | 75c | 300$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 62 | 69.4%43 W · 19 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6d…08a8backed Yes | 33c | 299.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 125 | 27.2%34 W · 91 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 75c | 288.6$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.12 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…e272backed No | 76c | 285.29$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.47 | 91 | 61.5%56 W · 35 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5a51…05adbacked No | 75c | 266.47$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.47 | 63 | 65.1%41 W · 22 L | +6.9wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +18%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec14…7fafbacked Yes | 20c | 135$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 21c | 120$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e44…9d02backed No | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7200…9299backed Yes | 26c | 85$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.45 | 169 | 46.2%78 W · 91 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…0c75backed Yes | 43c | 83.33$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.83 | 160 | 42.5%68 W · 92 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf1…294fbacked No | 76c | 74.63$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.91 | 210 | 51%107 W · 103 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf1a…ba1ebacked No | 72c | 61.5$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.22 | 343 | 57.7%198 W · 145 L | +26.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5562…3b41backed Yes | 25c | 55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 112 | 39.3%44 W · 68 L | -10.2wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed No | 73c | 43.48$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.74 | 192 | 52.1%100 W · 92 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…e560backed Yes | 27c | 42.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 423 | 36.9%156 W · 267 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5f…6128backed Yes | 28c | 36.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 63 | 7.9%5 W · 58 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 15cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 73c | 35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93aa…9ababacked Yes | 36c | 34.72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7d…049cbacked No | 80c | 24.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed No | 79c | 21.38$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.52 | 208 | 60.6%126 W · 82 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked No | 73c | 18.7$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.05 | 454 | 72.9%331 W · 123 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44f3…975cbacked No | 66c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 68 | 30.9%21 W · 47 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd53…76d6backed No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Christian Pulisic: 1+ goalsthis page
- Arda Güler: 1+ assistsNo won
- Arda Güler: 1+ goalsYes won
- Arda Güler: 2+ goalsNo won
- Arda Güler: 2+ shotsNo won
- Arda Güler: 3+ goalsNo won
- Arda Güler: 3+ shotsNo won
- Brenden Aaronson: 1+ goalsNo won
- Christian Pulisic: 1+ assistsNo won
- Christian Pulisic: 5+ shotsNo won
- Folarin Balogun: 1+ assistsNo won
- Folarin Balogun: 1+ goalsNo won
- Folarin Balogun: 1+ shotsNo won
- Folarin Balogun: 2+ goalsNo won
- Folarin Balogun: 3+ goalsNo won
- Gio Reyna: 1+ goalsNo won
- Haji Wright: 1+ goalsNo won
- Kenan Yıldız: 1+ assistsNo won
- Kenan Yıldız: 1+ goalsNo won
- Kenan Yıldız: 1+ shotsYes won
- Kenan Yıldız: 2+ goalsNo won
- Kenan Yıldız: 3+ shotsNo won
- Kenan Yıldız: 4+ shotsNo won
- Tim Weah: 2+ goalsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.