Fifa International · resolved market
Gio Reyna: 1+ goals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6b649b34129be56cb143a1f70b931e1f857cce6dafdde2c51aadcec1bba500e4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,584
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,163
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,584 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 78c | 1,568$1,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.86 | 707 | 50.1%354 W · 353 L | +25.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 22c | 1,200$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.83 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf511…bfe4backed No | 79c | 887.98$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.48 | 145 | 79.3%115 W · 30 L | +17.0wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdac1…baddbacked No | 79c | 750$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.5 | 311 | 71.4%222 W · 89 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fac…4e7dbacked Yes | 22c | 464.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -37%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b91…ae77backed Yes | 24c | 300$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 47 | 17%8 W · 39 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6faf…de48backed Yes | 21c | 285.71$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 202 | 24.8%50 W · 152 L | -15.8wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8494…814abacked No | 78c | 265.86$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.49 | 192 | 51.6%99 W · 93 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed Yes | 21c | 250$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 320 | 44.1%141 W · 179 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d96…7c16backed No | 74c | 245.96$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.95 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 75c | 150$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa599…9176backed No | 79c | 150$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 151 | 77.5%117 W · 34 L | +13.1wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x140b…d0d9backed Yes | 21c | 142.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb69b…e7a8backed Yes | 26c | 117.31$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | -7.0wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcaeb…5bf8backed Yes | 24c | 98.35$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.13 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca0…cb82backed Yes | 26c | 96.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 179 | 33.5%60 W · 119 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51b7…df15backed Yes | 18c | 79.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.11 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x279e…8f57backed Yes | 25c | 59.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Gio Reyna: 1+ goalsthis page
- Arda Güler: 1+ assistsNo won
- Arda Güler: 1+ goalsYes won
- Arda Güler: 2+ goalsNo won
- Arda Güler: 2+ shotsNo won
- Arda Güler: 3+ goalsNo won
- Arda Güler: 3+ shotsNo won
- Brenden Aaronson: 1+ goalsNo won
- Christian Pulisic: 1+ assistsNo won
- Christian Pulisic: 1+ goalsNo won
- Christian Pulisic: 5+ shotsNo won
- Folarin Balogun: 1+ assistsNo won
- Folarin Balogun: 1+ goalsNo won
- Folarin Balogun: 1+ shotsNo won
- Folarin Balogun: 2+ goalsNo won
- Folarin Balogun: 3+ goalsNo won
- Haji Wright: 1+ goalsNo won
- Kenan Yıldız: 1+ assistsNo won
- Kenan Yıldız: 1+ goalsNo won
- Kenan Yıldız: 1+ shotsYes won
- Kenan Yıldız: 2+ goalsNo won
- Kenan Yıldız: 3+ shotsNo won
- Kenan Yıldız: 4+ shotsNo won
- Tim Weah: 2+ goalsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.