Tennis · resolved market

Australian Open Men's: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Novak Djokovic

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x32f8043d6dfe16de4762b8781c110fc9bb83436ca1f36be98624ded68ae7b229

Rebuilt 17 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Djokovicof Zandschulp, Djokovic
Resolved: Jan 24, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $312,194
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $310,824

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $312,194 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tennis
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Zandschulp	4c	17,903$725 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$725.2	8,217	45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L	+166.6wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Zandschulp	9c	15,005$1,403 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,402.67	254	28%71 W · 183 L	-13.4wins	-0.05per pick	33cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1388…339abacked Zandschulp	9c	15,000$1,375 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,374.99	227	37.4%85 W · 142 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Zandschulp	8c	12,904$1,023 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,023.25	1,090	35.9%391 W · 699 L	+16.2wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Zandschulp	1c	12,736$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.44	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-26%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x447e…9710backed Zandschulp	7c	11,878$775 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$775.37	52	28.8%15 W · 37 L	-5.4wins	-0.10per pick	39cpaid	-42.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Zandschulp	1c	11,664$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146.75	237	31.6%75 W · 162 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	30cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40f8…327dbacked Zandschulp	9c	10,000$900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$900	39	35.9%14 W · 25 L	-1.6wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb693…cfc9backed Zandschulp	8c	8,432$706 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$706.14	308	47.7%147 W · 161 L	-5.2wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5f6…adc3backed Zandschulp	9c	7,500$650 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$650	71	35.2%25 W · 46 L	+2.2wins	+0.03per pick	32cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3daf…e888backed Zandschulp	11c	6,000$660 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$660	22	18.2%4 W · 18 L	-1.7wins	-0.08per pick	26cpaid	-61.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb1a0…c18cbacked Zandschulp	0c	5,802$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.86	120	33.3%40 W · 80 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0e9…e33ebacked Zandschulp	8c	5,306$420 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$420	20	30%6 W · 14 L	+2.7wins	+0.13per pick	17cpaid	+166%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0113…6f26backed Zandschulp	9c	4,787$454 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$453.57	129	49.6%64 W · 65 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7daf…0ec8backed Zandschulp	9c	4,233$381 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$381	100	43%43 W · 57 L	+3.0wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf294…7967backed Zandschulp	6c	4,142$266 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$266.47	123	22%27 W · 96 L	+4.3wins	+0.04per pick	18cpaid	+42.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Zandschulp	8c	4,104$334 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$334.29	2,375	51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L	+8.6wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7a37…6c95backed Zandschulp	7c	3,750$260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$260	53	22.6%12 W · 41 L	+2.1wins	+0.04per pick	19cpaid	+212.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Zandschulp	2c	3,209$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.88	2,331	7.9%183 W · 2,148 L	-56.9wins	-0.02per pick	10cpaid	-60.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd43…88d7backed Zandschulp	3c	3,151$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.37	16	18.8%3 W · 13 L	-0.9wins	-0.06per pick	25cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Zandschulp	8c	2,315$185 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$185.19	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.30per pick	20cpaid	+56.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7434…2ff4backed Zandschulp	9c	2,213$206 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$206	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-0.7wins	-0.08per pick	21cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Zandschulp	3c	2,025$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.71	11,435	43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L	+17.8wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x545d…c122backed Zandschulp	3c	1,818$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.59	460	30.4%140 W · 320 L	-18.7wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xec13…862bbacked Zandschulp	10c	1,800$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180	77	36.4%28 W · 49 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x468e…9e78backed Zandschulp	8c	1,750$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x03da…7907backed Zandschulp	4c	1,500$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.76	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x30ef…70dfbacked Zandschulp	8c	1,400$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.03	441	25.4%112 W · 329 L	-11.3wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ef5…39edbacked Zandschulp	8c	1,378$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.46	257	22.2%57 W · 200 L	-12.3wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Zandschulp	5c	1,374$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.99	656	47.6%312 W · 344 L	+17.8wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked Zandschulp	8c	1,250$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	632	47.6%301 W · 331 L	-15.0wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f0f…a571backed Zandschulp	9c	1,222$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	373	39.1%146 W · 227 L	-11.7wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed Zandschulp	6c	1,133$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	2,335	46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L	+55.3wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7f4…88e6backed Zandschulp	5c	1,102$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.96	70	21.4%15 W · 55 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	-12%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x58f4…764ebacked Zandschulp	5c	1,088$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	287	26.8%77 W · 210 L	-14.4wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe92e…cc0abacked Zandschulp	9c	1,000$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.6wins	-0.09per pick	23cpaid	-32%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33e6…0244backed Zandschulp	4c	974.13$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.52	22	40.9%9 W · 13 L	+1.1wins	+0.05per pick	36cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Zandschulp	6c	757.46$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.04	1,655	50.1%829 W · 826 L	+30.2wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf2d…e660backed Zandschulp	4c	750$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	107	28%30 W · 77 L	-10.1wins	-0.09per pick	37cpaid	-32.4%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Zandschulp	7c	699.99$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.75	459	9.6%44 W · 415 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Zandschulp	8c	657.6$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.61	244	48.8%119 W · 125 L	+17.1wins	+0.07per pick	42cpaid	+23.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x48ee…0db4backed Zandschulp	8c	649.3$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	545	47.9%261 W · 284 L	+11.6wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Zandschulp	6c	594.78$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.99	39	35.9%14 W · 25 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-33.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Zandschulp	8c	567.42$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.39	1,158	44.4%514 W · 644 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa48e…b476backed Zandschulp	9c	555.56$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	174	39.7%69 W · 105 L	-4.9wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a09…76e9backed Zandschulp	9c	555.56$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	17	11.8%2 W · 15 L	-2.5wins	-0.14per pick	26cpaid	-61.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x284e…ddb2backed Zandschulp	3c	549.23$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.45	48	35.4%17 W · 31 L	-3.2wins	-0.07per pick	42cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd552…5ebebacked Zandschulp	5c	538.76$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	360	38.9%140 W · 220 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked Zandschulp	10c	500$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	1,056	55.4%585 W · 471 L	-22.8wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d22…e2bbbacked Zandschulp	4c	500$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9bdb…a90dbacked Zandschulp	5c	500$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	269	21.2%57 W · 212 L	-10.2wins	-0.04per pick	25cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d51…6c59backed Zandschulp	10c	500$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	12	25%3 W · 9 L	+1.4wins	+0.12per pick	13cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8e66…01cbbacked Zandschulp	8c	450$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	108	27.8%30 W · 78 L	-5.9wins	-0.05per pick	33cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc688…5987backed Zandschulp	10c	449.13$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.92	97	44.3%43 W · 54 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed Zandschulp	8c	406.89$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.94	163	40.5%66 W · 97 L	+6.3wins	+0.04per pick	37cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…4d2dbacked Zandschulp	9c	400$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	108	9.3%10 W · 98 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	7cpaid	-32.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06c2…184fbacked Zandschulp	5c	400$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	243	40.3%98 W · 145 L	-11.6wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7fc7…969bbacked Zandschulp	8c	400$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	124	39.5%49 W · 75 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x03a6…1198backed Zandschulp	9c	400$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	77	36.4%28 W · 49 L	+2.7wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x70a1…978abacked Zandschulp	9c	367.5$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	884	46.8%414 W · 470 L	+3.4wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7dd8…12fcbacked Zandschulp	8c	350$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.5	12	50%6 W · 6 L	+2.3wins	+0.19per pick	31cpaid	+14%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6e9b…8b7dbacked Zandschulp	7c	319.98$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.8	268	37.3%100 W · 168 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x288c…3641backed Zandschulp	11c	311.93$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	94	30.9%29 W · 65 L	-4.8wins	-0.05per pick	36cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2294…4cd3backed Zandschulp	8c	287$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.08	147	44.2%65 W · 82 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43bf…713cbacked Zandschulp	7c	278.87$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	10	40%4 W · 6 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Zandschulp	8c	275$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	658	49.4%325 W · 333 L	+8.5wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad6b…1fdebacked Zandschulp	9c	263$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.67	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+1.7wins	+0.29per pick	38cpaid	+119.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8d1d…4773backed Zandschulp	9c	263$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.67	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+0.6wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+39.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf26b…f3b8backed Zandschulp	12c	250$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	26	38.5%10 W · 16 L	+2.1wins	+0.08per pick	30cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8e2f…35efbacked Zandschulp	8c	250$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	18	44.4%8 W · 10 L	+1.7wins	+0.10per pick	35cpaid	+12%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x45d8…969ebacked Zandschulp	9c	222.22$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9497…bd20backed Zandschulp	9c	222.22$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	24	16.7%4 W · 20 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-30.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x737d…1f6bbacked Zandschulp	9c	222.22$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	30	20%6 W · 24 L	-4.2wins	-0.14per pick	34cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x1889…0714backed Zandschulp	8c	210$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.8	182	41.8%76 W · 106 L	+3.0wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe061…93f9backed Zandschulp	9c	200$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	78	3.8%3 W · 75 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	6cpaid	-55%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8c8…67a5backed Zandschulp	9c	188.44$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.96	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+68.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3848…776abacked Zandschulp	7c	160$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.2	49	30.6%15 W · 34 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb906…2a75backed Zandschulp	12c	159.83$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.18	407	44%179 W · 228 L	-14.8wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6bd…09c9backed Zandschulp	9c	155.56$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-1.0wins	-0.08per pick	46cpaid	-43.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3494…04f4backed Zandschulp	10c	119.99$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	69	40.6%28 W · 41 L	+3.3wins	+0.05per pick	36cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f51…ee98backed Zandschulp	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.0wins	-0.24per pick	24cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xec0e…672cbacked Zandschulp	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	52	32.7%17 W · 35 L	-6.3wins	-0.12per pick	45cpaid	-35.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x817e…537ebacked Zandschulp	11c	100$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	40	40%16 W · 24 L	-5.7wins	-0.14per pick	54cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x33c0…a37abacked Zandschulp	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1793…4ebbbacked Zandschulp	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	940	60.6%570 W · 370 L	+11.3wins	+0.01per pick	59cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Australian Open Men's: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Novak Djokovicthis page
Set Handicap: Djokovic (-1.5) vs Zandschulp (+1.5)Djokovic won
Set Handicap: Djokovic (-2.5) vs Zandschulp (+2.5)Djokovic won
Zandschulp vs. Djokovic: Match O/U 36.5Under won
Zandschulp vs. Djokovic: Total Sets O/U 3.5Under 3.5 won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Australian Open Men's: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Novak Djokovic

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event