TailMyPicks
Market

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Sweden win on 2026-06-30?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,486,880
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,415,516

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,486,880 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 686 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcde3…534dbacked Yes7c299,999$21,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,999.95220%0 W · 22 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Yes7c227,785$15,152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,151.7224441.8%102 W · 142 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20b8…aa04backed Yes8c118,300$9,464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,4642920.7%6 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick18cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Yes8c111,374$8,910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,909.9136250%181 W · 181 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes8c103,311$8,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,332.682,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0df…69c5backed Yes7c89,198$6,291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,291.434025%10 W · 30 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-29.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes8c75,233$5,784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,784.172,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Yes0c71,602$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.732031.6%101 W · 219 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed Yes3c64,828$1,634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,634.0236939.6%146 W · 223 L-12.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes2c62,960$1,247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,247.3779231.1%246 W · 546 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85bb…9adabacked Yes8c62,500$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00032429.9%97 W · 227 L+10.4wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Yes7c52,281$3,722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,722.4666846.7%312 W · 356 L+45.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes7c49,593$3,472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,471.541,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f02…a51cbacked Yes2c40,000$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81040%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes7c39,878$2,951 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,951.013,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f14…29d1backed Yes7c39,116$2,915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,91515929.6%47 W · 112 L-0.5wins0.00per pick30cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb225…3d54backed Yes7c38,000$2,660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6609525.3%24 W · 71 L-0.3wins0.00per pick26cpaid-22.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b5a…00f2backed Yes2c35,479$778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$778.287839.7%31 W · 47 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes6c31,207$1,926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,925.998,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf77e…b594backed Yes0c29,859$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.03953.2%3 W · 92 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick1cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2958…d5fabacked Yes1c26,828$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3511816.7%3 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick17cpaid-29.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0918…7363backed Yes1c20,000$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.056030%18 W · 42 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick26cpaid-6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f34…7684backed Yes8c19,746$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,560.4865835%230 W · 428 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-21.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc793…fbecbacked Yes1c17,851$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.98128.3%1 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick12cpaid-71.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d10…940abacked Yes0c12,585$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.7538155.4%211 W · 170 L-0.7wins0.00per pick56cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2b4…6470backed Yes0c12,245$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick25cpaid-24.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3abd…855dbacked Yes8c12,148$972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$971.842326.1%6 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Yes8c12,063$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00065948.6%320 W · 339 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f5c…d897backed Yes2c11,972$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.2128.3%1 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick7cpaid-51%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes2c11,525$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.51,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Yes7c11,000$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82048441.9%203 W · 281 L-16.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Yes7c11,000$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82050243.4%218 W · 284 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc869…284fbacked Yes1c10,788$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1303420.6%7 W · 27 L+3.8wins+0.11per pick9cpaid+55.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8df8…b9b0backed Yes1c10,769$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.93425%1 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick11cpaid-16.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Yes8c10,035$803 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802.841,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x692b…f126backed Yes4c9,583$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3602825%7 W · 21 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-41.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x20e5…118dbacked Yes8c9,487$724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$724.1133549%164 W · 171 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2759…2b38backed Yes7c9,221$645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$645.4816244.4%72 W · 90 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes2c8,952$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.424,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f6f…d024backed Yes9c8,944$769 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$768.5877433.1%256 W · 518 L-0.9wins0.00per pick33cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03cf…7260backed Yes3c8,591$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.86627.3%18 W · 48 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-45.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8285…48c8backed Yes2c8,122$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001717.6%3 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick27cpaid-64.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x303f…2fabbacked Yes0c7,319$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.61306.7%2 W · 28 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick1cpaid+78.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes4c7,211$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.652,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Yes7c7,142$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.9471638.4%275 W · 441 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccc8…e61cbacked Yes8c6,875$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550719.9%7 W · 64 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-44.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…e7a9backed Yes7c6,800$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50044144%194 W · 247 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2871…3edcbacked Yes0c6,800$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.92429.2%7 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-44.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfce1…98e3backed Yes0c6,666$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202634.6%9 W · 17 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-23.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa754…08ccbacked Yes8c6,250$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500911.1%1 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick11cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83fc…6c92backed Yes2c6,009$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.823414.7%5 W · 29 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick19cpaid-67.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe687…3156backed Yes0c6,000$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick19cpaid-34.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Yes7c6,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42047144.8%211 W · 260 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Yes7c6,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42047643.3%206 W · 270 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x664c…d6b0backed Yes2c5,787$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1344827.1%13 W · 35 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+21.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f34…bf5bbacked Yes4c5,598$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004721.3%10 W · 37 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-40.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8bac…584cbacked Yes2c5,510$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11030%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e42…ee4ebacked Yes2c5,271$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.48119.1%1 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick11cpaid+37.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0033…2ed2backed Yes0c5,225$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1540%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a76…53debacked Yes8c5,032$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.534628.3%13 W · 33 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-26.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd519…932cbacked Yes8c5,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4002711.1%3 W · 24 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-52%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc12e…7c8abacked Yes5c4,772$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2175628.6%16 W · 40 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick24cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd823…5eafbacked Yes1c4,700$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.41233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick28cpaid-54.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe159…d6d6backed Yes5c4,620$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.75119.1%1 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick15cpaid-17.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb181…3e09backed Yes6c4,376$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.2320%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1098…a2febacked Yes2c4,177$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.064233.3%14 W · 28 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-20.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf094…5290backed Yes1c3,993$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.93434.7%2 W · 41 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick3cpaid+136.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a9c…535ebacked Yes3c3,913$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9718227.5%50 W · 132 L-0.1wins0.00per pick28cpaid-24.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e83…3bb7backed Yes1c3,767$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.991,20632.7%394 W · 812 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66bc…25c9backed Yes2c3,672$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.4133221.7%72 W · 260 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes7c3,494$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.5776048.7%370 W · 390 L-2.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08ff…32ebbacked Yes7c3,389$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.2410550.5%53 W · 52 L-8.1wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-28.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9aec…aff7backed Yes9c3,333$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-50.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2263…d47cbacked Yes8c3,185$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.763020%6 W · 24 L-0.1wins0.00per pick20cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd762…1e56backed Yes9c3,090$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.11513.3%2 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick13cpaid-63.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe52c…01f4backed Yes8c3,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick23cpaid+28.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2568…ef92backed Yes7c3,000$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21030751.1%157 W · 150 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xddcd…725fbacked Yes1c3,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30240%0 W · 24 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e33…2313backed Yes7c3,000$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21050%0 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b8f…cca7backed Yes8c3,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2408337.3%31 W · 52 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7736…6f6abacked Yes7c2,917$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2104928.6%14 W · 35 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24fd…1250backed Yes2c2,813$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.692825%7 W · 21 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick15cpaid+78.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Yes7c2,800$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19647442.8%203 W · 271 L-14.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1be2…49e8backed Yes9c2,778$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501926.3%5 W · 14 L-2.3wins-0.12per pick38cpaid-52.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe92e…0a8dbacked Yes7c2,742$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.941226.6%8 W · 114 L-0.2wins0.00per pick7cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1db…1619backed Yes7c2,600$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.310228.4%29 W · 73 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick25cpaid+12.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x253a…af26backed Yes3c2,502$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.088229.3%24 W · 58 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-39.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf692…dd55backed Yes8c2,500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003727%10 W · 27 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-34.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x914b…b84abacked Yes8c2,500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003315.2%5 W · 28 L-4.4wins-0.13per pick28cpaid-64.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x0713…d5c7backed Yes8c2,500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+18%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeebd…ba30backed Yes8c2,500$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.6916033.1%53 W · 107 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6b6…30a7backed Yes1c2,442$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244211.9%5 W · 37 L0.0wins0.00per pick12cpaid-35%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90f8…64c9backed Yes8c2,361$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20023224.1%56 W · 176 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-36%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2033…4dd7backed Yes2c2,305$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.8620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1bc…420dbacked Yes5c2,185$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12010130.7%31 W · 70 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick28cpaid-3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeada…58d1backed Yes2c2,083$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501827.8%5 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick21cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b0f…4633backed Yes2c2,010$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.075158.8%30 W · 21 L+7.1wins+0.14per pick45cpaid+30.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfd00…d1afbacked Yes4c2,008$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.9145528.4%129 W · 326 L-1.3wins0.00per pick29cpaid-25.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes7c2,000$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14055044.7%246 W · 304 L-27.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x18f9…b175backed Yes2c2,000$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464827.1%13 W · 35 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-18.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.