CS2 · resolved market
Will Falcons win PGL Astana 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfc43f87324c85016f1ffae7fec70b1dd485323af46398f38943102404c4e839b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $85,219
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $83,720
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,219 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe111…685abacked No | 76c | 10,009$7,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,392.34 | 175 | 40%70 W · 105 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x751b…73fdbacked No | 75c | 9,682$7,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,386.64 | 256 | 55.1%141 W · 115 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Yes | 44c | 5,225$2,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,291.58 | 754 | 50.5%381 W · 373 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…e271backed Yes | 46c | 4,762$2,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,182.22 | 379 | 46.4%176 W · 203 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed Yes | 37c | 4,424$1,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,639.98 | 456 | 46.9%214 W · 242 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Yes | 26c | 4,190$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080.36 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked No | 75c | 4,090$3,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,032.16 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2562…eb9cbacked Yes | 39c | 3,908$1,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,528.58 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24a5…b3bbbacked Yes | 28c | 3,628$1,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009.12 | 291 | 27.5%80 W · 211 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3435…1913backed No | 56c | 2,552$1,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,122.73 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7df…5eeebacked Yes | 35c | 2,404$841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$841.34 | 162 | 45.1%73 W · 89 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7040…81fabacked Yes | 20c | 2,052$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.36 | 86 | 14%12 W · 74 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b3…a386backed Yes | 20c | 2,049$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.86 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c5b…26e2backed Yes | 20c | 2,046$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.65 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed Yes | 26c | 2,045$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.4 | 267 | 43.1%115 W · 152 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e23…e933backed Yes | 27c | 1,710$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.93 | 126 | 60.3%76 W · 50 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Yes | 21c | 1,667$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.23 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48aa…14febacked No | 56c | 1,642$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.97 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8575…87febacked No | 61c | 1,397$854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.41 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd49b…bdf9backed No | 60c | 1,303$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.66 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +65.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3690…e16fbacked No | 63c | 1,265$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.32 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6eb…36fdbacked No | 57c | 1,116$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.77 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 38c | 919.72$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.04 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed Yes | 20c | 877.19$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.53 | 95 | 42.1%40 W · 55 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f47…6cf8backed Yes | 25c | 842.4$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.43 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Yes | 12c | 826.85$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.41 | 194 | 23.7%46 W · 148 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 26c | 820.73$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.42 | 107 | 35.5%38 W · 69 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d22…e2bbbacked Yes | 27c | 746.11$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +159%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes | 35c | 741.85$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.1 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed No | 66c | 721.52$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.88 | 170 | 34.7%59 W · 111 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Yes | 40c | 721.23$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.69 | 161 | 42.9%69 W · 92 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24c7…77c4backed Yes | 23c | 682.13$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.87 | 188 | 46.3%87 W · 101 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 63c | 668.96$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.66 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe180…889bbacked No | 77c | 621.46$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.62 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…84ecbacked Yes | 26c | 583.54$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.78 | 488 | 45.7%223 W · 265 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked Yes | 36c | 574.67$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.02 | 307 | 48.9%150 W · 157 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 69c | 520.09$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.28 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 68c | 470$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.42 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 64c | 463.29$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.89 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 67c | 453.61$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.81 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +3.6wins | +0.30per pick | 61cpaid | +61%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 56c | 450$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.35per pick | 51cpaid | +98.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 64c | 425.03$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.2 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f82…659ebacked No | 60c | 400$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb83b…dc66backed Yes | 31c | 388.3$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 148 | 51.4%76 W · 72 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 70c | 366.23$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.28 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08f8…c2f4backed Yes | 39c | 360.64$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 62cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x655c…1a00backed No | 61c | 344$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.16 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7344…98f6backed Yes | 38c | 322$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.09 | 180 | 43.3%78 W · 102 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cab…a8cfbacked No | 62c | 300$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 250 | 70.8%177 W · 73 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd277…f4bcbacked No | 61c | 282.08$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.08 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da2…22b6backed Yes | 44c | 277.28$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.2 | 389 | 45.8%178 W · 211 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc1…6603backed Yes | 25c | 262.85$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +486.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2a…e0d7backed Yes | 39c | 259.69$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 211 | 41.7%88 W · 123 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299c…7e23backed Yes | 39c | 255.9$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x217c…a1f1backed Yes | 29c | 252.35$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.66 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +69.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 12c | 251.17$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.31 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf0…e384backed Yes | 29c | 239.45$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 331 | 53.5%177 W · 154 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf7…294abacked No | 60c | 232.82$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.13 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc086…8128backed Yes | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 147 | 48.3%71 W · 76 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 60c | 220$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.4 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +3.7wins | +0.22per pick | 60cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x25c5…0031backed Yes | 23c | 213.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.22 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea9…5e86backed Yes | 19c | 207.58$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.44 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed No | 63c | 191.91$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.94 | 1,485 | 58%862 W · 623 L | +66.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10ad…827cbacked Yes | 21c | 190$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 306 | 39.5%121 W · 185 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc5…e315backed Yes | 25c | 182.5$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.69 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 73c | 175.62$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.31 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 61cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82b9…c6cebacked Yes | 31c | 162.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 146 | 61.6%90 W · 56 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4680…fe34backed Yes | 25c | 160$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +75.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4de…3920backed No | 61c | 153.93$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.03 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63d5…ce86backed Yes | 23c | 153.36$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.88 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 25cpaid | +145.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…7f73backed Yes | 40c | 150$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.3 | 122 | 60.7%74 W · 48 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 61c | 150$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.5 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf6…0cbdbacked No | 59c | 149.75$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.4 | 138 | 44.2%61 W · 77 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 61c | 149.17$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.49 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a60…7b81backed Yes | 34c | 148.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0957…77e8backed No | 67c | 140$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x984f…9a43backed No | 72c | 139.82$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.15 | 85 | 70.6%60 W · 25 L | +18.5wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked No | 76c | 139$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.36 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 63c | 122.7$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.14 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +3.2wins | +0.27per pick | 57cpaid | +46%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed Yes | 28c | 120.33$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.69 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 66c | 120$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.4 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.21per pick | 64cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Yes | 27c | 119$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.36 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 59c | 116.08$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.12 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 71c | 108.24$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.98 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.24per pick | 67cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b78…e589backed No | 58c | 106.98$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 358 | 61.7%221 W · 137 L | +18.3wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…2bd0backed No | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd4…160cbacked No | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd562…ec23backed Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa18d…9b51backed Yes | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b5…35ebbacked No | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb803…0fdfbacked No | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x960a…4a11backed No | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57bf…85bdbacked No | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +160.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ae…b741backed No | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca0…d272backed Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.7 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.07 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb1…7505backed Yes | 27c | 99.22$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | +37%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed Yes | 21c | 98.16$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.61 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6406…bc04backed No | 73c | 98.05$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.47 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 68cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b04…f467backed No | 61c | 96.61$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.68 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Falcons win PGL Astana 2026?this page
- Will 9z win PGL Astana 2026?No won
- Will Aurora win PGL Astana 2026?No won
- Will FURIA win PGL Astana 2026?No won
- Will G2 win PGL Astana 2026?No won
- Will Heroic win PGL Astana 2026?No won
- Will MOUZ win PGL Astana 2026?No won
- Will Magic win PGL Astana 2026?No won
- Will PARIVISION win PGL Astana 2026?No won
- Will Spirit win PGL Astana 2026?Yes won
- Will The Huns win PGL Astana 2026?No won
- Will The MongolZ win PGL Astana 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.