CS2 · resolved market
Will 9z win PGL Astana 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x729badc3b829534a4d6dd320a8093240f38486375be55feb76b3a31c15ab2844
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,714
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,941
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,714 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa92e…1160backed Yes | 1c | 5,720$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.6 | 207 | 32.4%67 W · 140 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe111…685abacked Yes | 8c | 4,263$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.06 | 175 | 40%70 W · 105 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0311…f80ebacked Yes | 8c | 860.4$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.07 | 181 | 26.5%48 W · 133 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9416…7123backed Yes | 8c | 723.77$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.63 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bed…fd9cbacked Yes | 6c | 677.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 206 | 56.8%117 W · 89 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61e9…b13abacked Yes | 7c | 499.98$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 200 | 54.5%109 W · 91 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 9c | 499.45$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.95 | 89 | 33.7%30 W · 59 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 6c | 470.08$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.01 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc8…f527backed Yes | 12c | 432.91$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.6 | 492 | 26%128 W · 364 L | -45.2wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x52c5…5878backed Yes | 7c | 413.4$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.52 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 4c | 386.44$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.13 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf0…e384backed Yes | 10c | 256.61$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 331 | 53.5%177 W · 154 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5207…4cfcbacked Yes | 5c | 250$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51b4…3a38backed Yes | 11c | 218.92$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.93 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb775…36f5backed Yes | 11c | 209.57$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 229 | 56.8%130 W · 99 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc086…8128backed Yes | 8c | 180.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 148 | 48.6%72 W · 76 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x217c…a1f1backed Yes | 8c | 160$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +69.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…78e0backed Yes | 8c | 143.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 18cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a2…1657backed Yes | 16c | 89.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will 9z win PGL Astana 2026?this page
- Will Aurora win PGL Astana 2026?No won
- Will FURIA win PGL Astana 2026?No won
- Will Falcons win PGL Astana 2026?No won
- Will G2 win PGL Astana 2026?No won
- Will Heroic win PGL Astana 2026?No won
- Will MOUZ win PGL Astana 2026?No won
- Will Magic win PGL Astana 2026?No won
- Will PARIVISION win PGL Astana 2026?No won
- Will Spirit win PGL Astana 2026?Yes won
- Will The Huns win PGL Astana 2026?No won
- Will The MongolZ win PGL Astana 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.