Fifa International · resolved market
Dan Ndoye: 1+ goals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc9ccbe7e8f3a64bdc30842233fb6d2617d23ee962dd60967cb13ab23402e8fac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,899
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,784
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,899 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5452…d448backed No | 65c | 1,639$1,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.95 | 464 | 64.9%301 W · 163 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…3c2fbacked No | 66c | 1,594$1,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.22 | 327 | 65.7%215 W · 112 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd52d…412dbacked Yes | 35c | 682.99$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.8 | 90 | 40%36 W · 54 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 66c | 682.92$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.71 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 38c | 394.74$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 225 | 51.6%116 W · 109 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1695…324cbacked Yes | 25c | 391.1$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 109 | 31.2%34 W · 75 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb711…1a27backed Yes | 32c | 384.38$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 73c | 270.53$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.98 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbc…c382backed Yes | 42c | 251.34$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.43 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 61c | 203$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf05b…3c59backed Yes | 34c | 144.12$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 165 | 47.9%79 W · 86 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e78…e415backed Yes | 36c | 140.08$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked Yes | 33c | 121.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 432 | 46.8%202 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0690…8821backed Yes | 38c | 113.16$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9742…787fbacked Yes | 33c | 106.06$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed No | 59c | 103.73$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.53 | 333 | 50.5%168 W · 165 L | +24.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa883…f526backed Yes | 33c | 103.03$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…cf98backed Yes | 33c | 103.03$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 98 | 34.7%34 W · 64 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe937…d46abacked Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Yes | 34c | 99.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 1,206 | 50.2%606 W · 600 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f11…3892backed Yes | 41c | 96.63$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.33 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe76c…1c3cbacked Yes | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 115 | 60%69 W · 46 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2c…cd4ebacked Yes | 32c | 90.63$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 67c | 90.43$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.53 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes | 29c | 80$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 1,306 | 44.7%584 W · 722 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…94eabacked Yes | 35c | 77.14$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 75 | 41.3%31 W · 44 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed No | 65c | 75.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 379 | 71.2%270 W · 109 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c02…63cebacked Yes | 40c | 74.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b14…13dcbacked Yes | 34c | 73.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 67c | 72$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.76 | 707 | 50.1%354 W · 353 L | +25.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25c7…9179backed Yes | 33c | 63.64$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 75 | 28%21 W · 54 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e60…536bbacked Yes | 32c | 61.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.63 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca06…8822backed Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b83…9d8dbacked Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…2147backed Yes | 37c | 58.4$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 135 | 40%54 W · 81 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07cc…2488backed Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x500e…bd16backed Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 168 | 36.9%62 W · 106 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3622…083dbacked Yes | 27c | 48.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e05…a5c7backed No | 60c | 44$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -27%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d52…d6babacked Yes | 37c | 40.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…6b14backed Yes | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 667 | 45%300 W · 367 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97c8…af60backed Yes | 33c | 35.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d8…e72dbacked Yes | 38c | 35.36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 238 | 38.7%92 W · 146 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e5…753abacked Yes | 33c | 33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8480…d420backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -40%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa1…e407backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 62c | 28.8$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.01 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 69c | 20.88$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.47 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed No | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 172 | 71.5%123 W · 49 L | +12.8wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked No | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dan Ndoye: 1+ goalsthis page
- Breel Embolo: 1+ goalsYes won
- Breel Embolo: 2+ goalsNo won
- Breel Embolo: 3+ goalsNo won
- Dan Ndoye: 1+ assistsNo won
- Dan Ndoye: 2+ goalsNo won
- Dan Ndoye: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Granit Xhaka: 1+ assistsNo won
- Granit Xhaka: 1+ goalsNo won
- Johan Manzambi: 5+ shotsNo won
- Remo Freuler: 3+ goals + assistsNo won
- Ruben Vargas: 1+ goalsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.