Fifa International · resolved market
Breel Embolo: 1+ goals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3c14bac7aa5ea40c5980108369d3ddb2aff2cce026317c31d9a4f15fc49c6cfe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,756
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,400
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,756 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked Yes | 52c | 6,562$3,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,149.83 | 107 | 40.2%43 W · 64 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…3c2fbacked No | 48c | 4,045$1,957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,956.57 | 327 | 65.7%215 W · 112 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Yes | 52c | 3,838$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,838.38 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0529…c9dabacked Yes | 53c | 3,200$1,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,504 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x111a…12c3backed No | 48c | 3,052$1,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,465 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked No | 48c | 2,400$1,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150.95 | 342 | 49.1%168 W · 174 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 47c | 2,030$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954.08 | 292 | 32.9%96 W · 196 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa5…7cc9backed No | 47c | 1,150$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.63 | 148 | 60.1%89 W · 59 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked No | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 165 | 64.2%106 W · 59 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2461…f240backed Yes | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1695…324cbacked Yes | 55c | 900$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405 | 109 | 31.2%34 W · 75 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 42c | 878.33$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.4 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc843…32b7backed Yes | 58c | 779.87$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.87 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x886f…5e20backed Yes | 53c | 761.36$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.36 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbff4…b609backed Yes | 51c | 574.51$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.51 | 151 | 40.4%61 W · 90 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.45 | 225 | 51.6%116 W · 109 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 43c | 456.99$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.47 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5901…63a2backed Yes | 51c | 321.8$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.68 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3548…0ebbbacked Yes | 51c | 254.9$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.9 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbc…c382backed Yes | 62c | 213.12$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.99 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 551 | 53%292 W · 259 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbd…4476backed Yes | 53c | 169.81$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.81 | 212 | 50.9%108 W · 104 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83ba…2404backed Yes | 60c | 166.15$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.15 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 18c | 159.98$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.9 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xedbf…3eeabacked Yes | 53c | 154.57$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.15 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 38c | 152.94$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.12 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 48c | 119.24$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.83 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 51c | 116.73$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.73 | 1,388 | 15.1%210 W · 1,178 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.5 | 1,306 | 44.7%584 W · 722 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…2858backed No | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 154 | 49.4%76 W · 78 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56d4…9c57backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -60%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Yes | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9136…eec3backed Yes | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae1c…a625backed Yes | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07cc…2488backed Yes | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x352c…940dbacked Yes | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 90 | 64.4%58 W · 32 L | +9.7wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbb…3ec7backed Yes | 53c | 89.32$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.98 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2186…271bbacked Yes | 54c | 83.96$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.62 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd424…bf7bbacked Yes | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 90 | 33.3%30 W · 60 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…cf98backed Yes | 53c | 71.7$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.7 | 98 | 34.7%34 W · 64 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d8…e72dbacked Yes | 51c | 62.04$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.4 | 238 | 38.7%92 W · 146 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4b…0c34backed Yes | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked Yes | 58c | 57$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.16 | 432 | 46.8%202 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2c…cd4ebacked Yes | 51c | 56.86$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.86 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Yes | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 135 | 40%54 W · 81 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe43c…dffbbacked Yes | 58c | 53.29$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.29 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Yes | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 1,206 | 50.2%606 W · 600 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…6b14backed Yes | 52c | 47.95$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.95 | 667 | 45%300 W · 367 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde70…615fbacked Yes | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe0…9e6cbacked Yes | 51c | 42.04$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.6 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2db8…e042backed Yes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc97…7172backed Yes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e9…00f8backed Yes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 186 | 37.6%70 W · 116 L | -13.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38ba…bcf9backed Yes | 53c | 38.94$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…9294backed Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 494 | 26.7%132 W · 362 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d0…0736backed Yes | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 315 | 43.5%137 W · 178 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb3…93e8backed Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x924c…fc41backed Yes | 57c | 35.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.04 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed No | 50c | 34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 379 | 71.2%270 W · 109 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x115f…f51dbacked Yes | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe150…98a5backed Yes | 52c | 30.77$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.77 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +4.2wins | +0.28per pick | 45cpaid | +68.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6a10…7843backed Yes | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 133 | 57.1%76 W · 57 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa31…2217backed Yes | 51c | 29.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.13 | 84 | 38.1%32 W · 52 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d52…d6babacked Yes | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3607…c427backed Yes | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 138 | 33.3%46 W · 92 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb5…945cbacked Yes | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76c…1c3cbacked Yes | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 115 | 60%69 W · 46 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed No | 53c | 25.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.79 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1187…20c4backed Yes | 53c | 24.53$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.53 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcf…fe99backed Yes | 54c | 24.07$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1e…ea30backed Yes | 52c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67df…5f86backed Yes | 51c | 23.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.53 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e58…25b3backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Breel Embolo: 1+ goalsthis page
- Breel Embolo: 2+ goalsNo won
- Breel Embolo: 3+ goalsNo won
- Dan Ndoye: 1+ assistsNo won
- Dan Ndoye: 1+ goalsNo won
- Dan Ndoye: 2+ goalsNo won
- Dan Ndoye: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Granit Xhaka: 1+ assistsNo won
- Granit Xhaka: 1+ goalsNo won
- Johan Manzambi: 5+ shotsNo won
- Remo Freuler: 3+ goals + assistsNo won
- Ruben Vargas: 1+ goalsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.