TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Golf · resolved market

Will Nicolai Hojgaard win the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$66,170
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$68,882

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,170 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Golf
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes46c16,790$7,690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,690.311712%14 W · 103 L-23.7wins-0.20per pick32cpaid-73.3%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed No58c12,118$7,031 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,086.554951%25 W · 24 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-14.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Yes3c10,195$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.26687.4%5 W · 63 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-63%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40d5…79a5backed Yes42c6,280$2,609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,609263.8%1 W · 25 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick8cpaid-67.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x783b…dc4cbacked No60c3,682$2,226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,456.131844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-29%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Yes18c2,404$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.053411.8%4 W · 30 L-4.0wins-0.12per pick24cpaid-80.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xeba4…69fbbacked No51c2,200$1,129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,071.39450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9501…9f7abacked Yes3c1,656$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed No64c1,217$783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.732259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.8wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+7.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc2b6…d7cebacked No69c1,052$726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.23366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked No68c1,016$692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.314928.6%14 W · 35 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-40.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8ea8…077dbacked No68c924.15$632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.364100%4 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+42.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0828…5cfebacked No71c913.6$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.43875%6 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc6d7…715dbacked Yes33c909.09$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe3c…9699backed Yes48c907.82$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4402512%3 W · 22 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick11cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec56…1259backed No69c817.08$564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.011100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f5c…9e02backed No70c815.46$567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.42887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick68cpaid+22.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb729…4e2ebacked Yes49c749.2$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+63.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x168a…da29backed No53c455.52$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2153857.9%22 W · 16 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x83e8…7b89backed No59c399.98$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.99933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-26.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b91…ae77backed Yes32c353$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.214810.4%5 W · 43 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick13cpaid-76.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8aa3…0d65backed No75c310.39$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+34%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf14…5d95backed Yes14c284.35$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.63911.1%1 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick11cpaid-22.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2a4…3ee9backed Yes17c230$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.7617226.7%46 W · 126 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick28cpaid+19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xceb7…8b33backed No69c228.23$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.9966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick63cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked No64c209.63$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.931844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-24.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes28c200$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5610850%54 W · 54 L+6.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-1.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Yes34c185$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.3110123.8%24 W · 77 L+7.6wins+0.08per pick16cpaid+44%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6680…0535backed No70c175.56$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.01580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick66cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x49dd…2a32backed No74c160$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.173740.5%15 W · 22 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5661…5921backed No49c120.65$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.13549.3%5 W · 49 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick10cpaid-76.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8105…955abacked Yes37c110.53$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.364710.6%5 W · 42 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick14cpaid-37.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8ea…7f8dbacked Yes25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.35315.1%8 W · 45 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick11cpaid+219.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xab30…379fbacked No14c97.87$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.17333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick11cpaid+138.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cb…4b77backed Yes17c97.35$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55bf…e2ddbacked No72c93.22$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.16633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick26cpaid-52.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x917b…e433backed No54c81.28$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.69580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+22.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b70…3102backed Yes35c57.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick35cpaid-55.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f4f…728abacked No72c56$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.682352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+17.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9742…787fbacked Yes36c55.64$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202711.1%3 W · 24 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick14cpaid-50.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1408…b4f8backed No53c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.391580%12 W · 3 L+3.3wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+43.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8941…83d7backed No59c43$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.644100%4 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+78.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed No55c40.47$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.36450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-21.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c9d…1299backed No59c20.08$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.24366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+60.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4aab…38ccbacked No69c19.51$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.05560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked No74c15.19$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.921952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick43cpaid-7.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 33 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.