TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Exact Score: Arsenal FC 1 - 1 Club Atlético de Madrid?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$14,306
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$14,285

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,306 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x837c…5771backed Yes12c4,167$500 inLost-$5001421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick28cpaid-50%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf067…5c6dbacked Yes12c1,542$185 inLost-$185560%3 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.36per pick24cpaid+189.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x535f…a83bbacked Yes12c1,250$150 inLost-$1501118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick27cpaid-37%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x79fd…8772backed Yes12c708.33$85 inLost-$85540%2 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.29per pick11cpaid+133.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b39…bc0dbacked Yes12c500.46$59 inLost-$58.553138.7%12 W · 19 L+5.1wins+0.17per pick22cpaid+58.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xbd38…99d4backed Yes12c400$48 inLost-$481163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae2f…1559backed Yes12c348.25$42 inLost-$41.79933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-34.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes16c299.84$48 inLost-$47.925334%18 W · 35 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1591…3cc4backed Yes14c285.71$40 inLost-$40616.7%1 W · 5 L0.0wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9742…787fbacked Yes12c250$30 inLost-$30922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+38.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb7…75f2backed Yes16c199.99$32 inLost-$325949.2%29 W · 30 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-6.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes12c175.5$21 inLost-$21.0688631.7%281 W · 605 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdaee…5ec9backed Yes12c166.67$20 inLost-$202733.3%9 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid+9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad59…cb41backed Yes12c166.67$20 inLost-$20850%4 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+46.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaf61…4d44backed Yes12c166.67$20 inLost-$201931.6%6 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes12c166.67$20 inLost-$209739.2%38 W · 59 L+7.6wins+0.08per pick31cpaid+14.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4130…2fd6backed Yes15c166.66$25 inLost-$25140%0 W · 14 L-4.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x3007…22cfbacked Yes20c150.49$30 inLost-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88ff…5102backed Yes12c125$15 inLost-$151421.4%3 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick24cpaid+55.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60a5…f52ebacked Yes12c125$15 inLost-$154723.4%11 W · 36 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-27.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5f87…be27backed Yes12c125$15 inLost-$15933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick24cpaid+55.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d0b…0eb7backed Yes12c100$12 inLost-$122751.9%14 W · 13 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick44cpaid-12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x21c6…22cebacked Yes12c100$12 inLost-$1230%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc70a…8b87backed Yes21c72.41$15 inLost-$15366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick37cpaid+83.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.