Champions League · resolved market
Exact Score: Arsenal FC 0 - 0 Club Atlético de Madrid?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb02b39d5e0abcab26a4ff5bd41bc39d32395b4a80d12fc7d35338cda54999e4e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,826
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,918
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,826 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8454…331abacked Yes | 13c | 3,195$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba2…1650backed Yes | 8c | 2,500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5d…4183backed Yes | 8c | 2,238$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac2…f949backed Yes | 8c | 1,563$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d46…3e2dbacked No | 78c | 1,319$1,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.94 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…8772backed Yes | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 11cpaid | +133.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0164…9ed6backed Yes | 7c | 544.74$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.75 | 102 | 37.3%38 W · 64 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4529…d10abacked Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac5e…87d1backed Yes | 8c | 455.75$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b37…17bdbacked Yes | 8c | 375$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9e…6838backed Yes | 8c | 375$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d83…272cbacked Yes | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6672…9ea3backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 32cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 97 | 39.2%38 W · 59 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2872…b03ebacked Yes | 14c | 214.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 24cpaid | +102%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea60…e977backed Yes | 8c | 187.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fff…3d2ebacked Yes | 8c | 187.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f87…be27backed Yes | 8c | 187.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4130…2fd6backed Yes | 15c | 166.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -4.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd117…a188backed Yes | 7c | 150$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 26cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bad…4d53backed Yes | 7c | 150$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 10cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 8c | 149.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 886 | 31.7%281 W · 605 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9605…a2c4backed Yes | 14c | 135.26$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.94 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2675…e4dabacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5941…9583backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60a5…f52ebacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 47 | 23.4%11 W · 36 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a08…0945backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb5…8740backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Arsenal FC 0 - 0 Club Atlético de Madrid?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Arsenal FC 1 - 0 Club Atlético de Madrid?Yes won
- Exact Score: Arsenal FC 1 - 1 Club Atlético de Madrid?No won
- Exact Score: Arsenal FC 2 - 0 Club Atlético de Madrid?No won
- Exact Score: Arsenal FC 2 - 1 Club Atlético de Madrid?No won
- Exact Score: Arsenal FC 2 - 2 Club Atlético de Madrid?No won
- Exact Score: Arsenal FC 3 - 0 Club Atlético de Madrid?No won
- Exact Score: Arsenal FC 3 - 1 Club Atlético de Madrid?No won
- Exact Score: Arsenal FC 3 - 2 Club Atlético de Madrid?No won
- Exact Score: Arsenal FC 3 - 3 Club Atlético de Madrid?No won
- Exact Score: Arsenal FC 4 - 1 Club Atlético de Madrid?No won
- Exact Score: Arsenal FC 4 - 2 Club Atlético de Madrid?No won
- Exact Score: Arsenal FC 5 - 0 Club Atlético de Madrid?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.