Champions League · resolved market
Exact Score: Arsenal FC 2 - 2 Club Atlético de Madrid?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf732042b6fe9ce55a2c05ee265fb6d06067d64f6a8dd1f7f98f67001671fb5a1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,013
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,122
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,013 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x330f…d4b1backed Yes | 6c | 17,620$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Yes | 6c | 5,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 37 | 13.5%5 W · 32 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x535f…a83bbacked Yes | 6c | 2,427$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -37%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44c4…09cbbacked Yes | 6c | 1,627$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | -5.0wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x586b…646cbacked Yes | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7e…0332backed Yes | 5c | 600$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 34 | 17.6%6 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21c6…22cebacked Yes | 6c | 416.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 98 | 24.5%24 W · 74 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…d8ccbacked Yes | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5451…1acbbacked Yes | 6c | 231.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…5e6ebacked Yes | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60a5…f52ebacked Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 47 | 23.4%11 W · 36 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0016…e028backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -32%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8df…8a93backed Yes | 25c | 120$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 46 | 19.6%9 W · 37 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4130…2fd6backed Yes | 32c | 78.12$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -4.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 68c | 48.46$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.51 | 159 | 38.4%61 W · 98 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a6…5c87backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Arsenal FC 2 - 2 Club Atlético de Madrid?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Arsenal FC 0 - 0 Club Atlético de Madrid?No won
- Exact Score: Arsenal FC 1 - 0 Club Atlético de Madrid?Yes won
- Exact Score: Arsenal FC 1 - 1 Club Atlético de Madrid?No won
- Exact Score: Arsenal FC 2 - 0 Club Atlético de Madrid?No won
- Exact Score: Arsenal FC 2 - 1 Club Atlético de Madrid?No won
- Exact Score: Arsenal FC 3 - 0 Club Atlético de Madrid?No won
- Exact Score: Arsenal FC 3 - 1 Club Atlético de Madrid?No won
- Exact Score: Arsenal FC 3 - 2 Club Atlético de Madrid?No won
- Exact Score: Arsenal FC 3 - 3 Club Atlético de Madrid?No won
- Exact Score: Arsenal FC 4 - 1 Club Atlético de Madrid?No won
- Exact Score: Arsenal FC 4 - 2 Club Atlético de Madrid?No won
- Exact Score: Arsenal FC 5 - 0 Club Atlético de Madrid?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.