TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7185…4896

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
41
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: NBA, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 56 out of 100; worst Golf at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT120%0 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Golf — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cameron Young win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Tyrrell Hatton win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$140.26
Will Sam Burns win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Justin Rose win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Shane Lowry win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Jason Day win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Hao-Tong Li win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Patrick Reed win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Wyndham Clark win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Tommy Fleetwood win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Kristoffer Reitan win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
All 12 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.16per pick29cpaid+137.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+309.5%+$373.63
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+1,243.4%+$177.31
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$91.25
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+226%+$133.36
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$159
Nuggets vs. Netsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$71.2
Grizzlies vs. Lakersbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$138
76ers vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$113.94
Nuggets vs. Heatbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$128.8
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+117.4%+$14.51
All 11 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1010%1 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick13cpaid-73.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.05
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.31
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will England win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$108.5
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 10 picks, newest first.
UFClast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick35cpaid+31.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$72
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$33.1
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.