Fifa International · resolved market
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 12.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa1e6f867165c1348bf72364929aa15652fe68a8b30a2e1ee5e4f90aed83b82c8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,172
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,961
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,172 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Under | 76c | 3,413$2,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.07 | 145 | 53.8%78 W · 67 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd77…0145backed Over | 24c | 2,917$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7528…4e36backed Over | 18c | 2,649$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.25 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a90…7bf8backed Under | 77c | 1,435$1,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.05 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 77c | 999.96$772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.99 | 1,616 | 51.2%827 W · 789 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Over | 24c | 981.4$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.54 | 341 | 25.8%88 W · 253 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 22c | 897$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.59 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5415…f764backed Over | 19c | 729.04$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.75 | 94 | 28.7%27 W · 67 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x589a…8dc5backed Over | 23c | 662.44$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 87 | 25.3%22 W · 65 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaffc…cddcbacked Over | 16c | 600$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 20c | 587.45$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.47 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd722…0564backed Over | 36c | 555.85$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 194 | 36.6%71 W · 123 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Under | 64c | 545.19$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.27 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5e…2c32backed Over | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf639…4a74backed Over | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 173 | 22.5%39 W · 134 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf51a…7e42backed Over | 12c | 391.67$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 50 | 12%6 W · 44 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…51d0backed Over | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 110 | 27.3%30 W · 80 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3473…4ccbbacked Over | 15c | 364.94$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 26cpaid | -76.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Under | 77c | 358.71$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 673 | 54.7%368 W · 305 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Over | 12c | 344.53$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.42 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cd…7565backed Over | 12c | 333.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 74 | 25.7%19 W · 55 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 76c | 328$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.72 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…5648backed Over | 16c | 313.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a70…0519backed Over | 24c | 312.5$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 61 | 16.4%10 W · 51 L | -5.6wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26eb…22d0backed Over | 20c | 308.7$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.74 | 291 | 54%157 W · 134 L | +21.1wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x31b5…b9cdbacked Over | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb6…a2cdbacked Over | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd2…21ebbacked Over | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 103 | 5.8%6 W · 97 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -66%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cab…f595backed Under | 75c | 241.22$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.22 | 70 | 65.7%46 W · 24 L | +6.8wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c7…bf04backed Over | 12c | 232.64$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.92 | 87 | 58.6%51 W · 36 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaba9…df0cbacked Over | 24c | 231.29$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.45 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f5e…9266backed Over | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -3.7wins | -0.15per pick | 24cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x797c…2038backed Over | 16c | 187.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Over | 19c | 184.21$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 215 | 25.1%54 W · 161 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 23c | 182.63$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.01 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 77c | 168.86$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.84 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3daf…19ebbacked Over | 18c | 160$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 534 | 36%192 W · 342 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05ae…5a4bbacked Over | 18c | 154.22$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 360 | 24.4%88 W · 272 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e8e…0cc4backed Over | 17c | 146.9$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.68 | 189 | 11.1%21 W · 168 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e68…16c7backed Over | 18c | 138.9$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e33…eecbbacked Over | 21c | 137.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 19cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6566…e719backed Over | 18c | 132.78$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.9 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed Under | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 72 | 59.7%43 W · 29 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf77a…d17bbacked Over | 24c | 125$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd06…f0c1backed Over | 16c | 123.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1897…2a42backed Over | 17c | 116.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 404 | 35.6%144 W · 260 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8c…3f96backed Over | 17c | 114.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.51 | 63 | 27%17 W · 46 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0246…b93fbacked Over | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3da…0088backed Over | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 138 | 26.8%37 W · 101 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Over | 17c | 110$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 467 | 43.3%202 W · 265 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a8…d7b7backed Over | 19c | 107.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 204 | 27.5%56 W · 148 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa882…e517backed Over | 19c | 103.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 164 | 42.1%69 W · 95 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde7d…499ebacked Over | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 182 | 37.4%68 W · 114 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x491c…b765backed Over | 25c | 99.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 219 | 55.3%121 W · 98 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5380…9592backed Over | 17c | 99.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 338 | 47.9%162 W · 176 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Over | 24c | 99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 431 | 45.2%195 W · 236 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5edd…a266backed Over | 18c | 94.44$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x206c…d936backed Over | 25c | 91.29$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.82 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 21cpaid | +62.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 79c | 88$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75d…db18backed Over | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 66 | 30.3%20 W · 46 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd800…c256backed Over | 20c | 77.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.38 | 313 | 58.1%182 W · 131 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x387a…8eaebacked Over | 14c | 75.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 329 | 28%92 W · 237 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7b7ebacked Over | 19c | 68.42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 22c | 58.16$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.63 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd41e…547cbacked Under | 74c | 54.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf24b…59d9backed Over | 23c | 52.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Under | 77c | 51.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.62 | 238 | 58%138 W · 100 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadc4…e4acbacked Under | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8271…1b26backed Over | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 25cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Under | 79c | 45.82$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.51 | 1,293 | 53.6%693 W · 600 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0936…3833backed Over | 23c | 43.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…eea7backed Over | 47c | 42.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cef…2c8dbacked Under | 78c | 38.34$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.43 | 434 | 60.4%262 W · 172 L | +33.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 77c | 32.66$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.55 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Under | 69c | 29.7$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.15 | 177 | 60.5%107 W · 70 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa658…f93ebacked Under | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 147 | 66%97 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8986…4bb6backed Under | 80c | 16.25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.25 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 12.5 Total Cornersthis page
- Brazil vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- Brazil vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Brazil vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Brazil vs. Norway: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- Brazil vs. Norway: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
- Brazil vs. Norway: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersOver won
- Brazil vs. Norway: Brazil O/U 3.5 CornersOver won
- Brazil vs. Norway: Brazil O/U 4.5 CornersOver won
- Brazil vs. Norway: Brazil O/U 5.5 CornersUnder won
- Brazil vs. Norway: Brazil O/U 6.5 CornersUnder won
- Brazil vs. Norway: Norway O/U 2.5 CornersOver won
- Brazil vs. Norway: Norway O/U 3.5 CornersOver won
- Brazil vs. Norway: Norway O/U 4.5 CornersOver won
- Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 7.5 Total CornersOver won
- Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 8.5 Total CornersOver won
- Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 9.5 Total CornersOver won
- Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Take First CornerNorway won
- Brazil vs. Norway: Total Corners Odd or Even?Even won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.