Fifa International · resolved market
Brazil vs. Norway: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x33a0026be4d5cc56c32d1b5e3b6a9b171a2e968b666251e53334de1dd7bd2dbf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,397
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,685
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,397 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked Under | 26c | 999.93$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.98 | 644 | 43.3%279 W · 365 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 73c | 762.66$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.52 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Under | 27c | 298.99$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.73 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Under | 23c | 271.64$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.99 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a18…a0f3backed Over | 74c | 201.66$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.43 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71ef…c362backed Over | 74c | 150.39$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.49 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d35…29d6backed Over | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecd3…8289backed Over | 74c | 135.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.06 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 64cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf751…65ccbacked Over | 74c | 94.59$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.59 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f07…3f68backed Under | 26c | 76.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe56…093dbacked Over | 74c | 54.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 26c | 52.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe2…d350backed Over | 74c | 50.19$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5b…ba31backed Over | 74c | 21.62$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.62 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -6.7wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdc45…336dbacked Over | 72c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6216…1bd4backed Over | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 237 | 41.8%99 W · 138 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Brazil vs. Norway: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total Cornersthis page
- Brazil vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- Brazil vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Brazil vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Brazil vs. Norway: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
- Brazil vs. Norway: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersOver won
- Brazil vs. Norway: Brazil O/U 3.5 CornersOver won
- Brazil vs. Norway: Brazil O/U 4.5 CornersOver won
- Brazil vs. Norway: Brazil O/U 5.5 CornersUnder won
- Brazil vs. Norway: Brazil O/U 6.5 CornersUnder won
- Brazil vs. Norway: Norway O/U 2.5 CornersOver won
- Brazil vs. Norway: Norway O/U 3.5 CornersOver won
- Brazil vs. Norway: Norway O/U 4.5 CornersOver won
- Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 7.5 Total CornersOver won
- Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 8.5 Total CornersOver won
- Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 9.5 Total CornersOver won
- Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Take First CornerNorway won
- Brazil vs. Norway: Total Corners Odd or Even?Even won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.