Lol · resolved market
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe705e75bf708084ed5a9b52a008609c304faacafa2082d49b3f1e1b496532ff1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,102
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,010
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,102 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Under | 45c | 9,490$4,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,220.7 | 1,485 | 50.1%744 W · 741 L | +67.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64c4…1018backed Over | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,750 | 319 | 53%169 W · 150 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70dc…1dfdbacked Over | 55c | 1,763$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$969.84 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Over | 55c | 1,105$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.32 | 1,308 | 38.6%505 W · 803 L | -64.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 56c | 958.48$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.75 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ced…0feebacked Over | 59c | 842.48$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 769 | 55%423 W · 346 L | -13.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Under | 48c | 678.42$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.12 | 869 | 43.2%375 W · 494 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Under | 40c | 413.3$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.98 | 1,385 | 45.1%625 W · 760 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ba…3ca5backed Over | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 105 | 54.3%57 W · 48 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Over | 55c | 346.31$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.47 | 343 | 40.5%139 W · 204 L | -18.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a9a…72e7backed Under | 44c | 315.36$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.6 | 239 | 46%110 W · 129 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Over | 54c | 300$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 133 | 36.8%49 W · 84 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 45c | 280.61$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.08 | 373 | 43.4%162 W · 211 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…1595backed Over | 56c | 273.04$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.9 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 49cpaid | -79.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Over | 60c | 266.66$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 421 | 49.2%207 W · 214 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Under | 41c | 217.76$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.48 | 248 | 32.3%80 W · 168 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ad…734fbacked Over | 53c | 209.25$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.25 | 160 | 47.5%76 W · 84 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b9…543ebacked Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.24per pick | 32cpaid | -83.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ff…8a60backed Over | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 42c | 134.92$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.18 | 417 | 49.2%205 W · 212 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99a0…62a0backed Under | 44c | 108.96$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +96.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Under | 47c | 105.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.93 | 186 | 48.9%91 W · 95 L | +12.9wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc1…3f1cbacked Under | 47c | 105.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.93 | 447 | 45.2%202 W · 245 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Under | 39c | 103.69$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.25 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d77…89f5backed Over | 59c | 101.14$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.97 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fc…5dafbacked Under | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a62…fc1abacked Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd207…c366backed Over | 55c | 88.2$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.51 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | -8.9wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 56c | 86.92$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.67 | 245 | 44.5%109 W · 136 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x294b…22d2backed Under | 46c | 74.4$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.32 | 569 | 49.4%281 W · 288 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5151…645cbacked Under | 40c | 70.86$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.41 | 454 | 44.3%201 W · 253 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbf…4605backed Over | 47c | 56.19$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.41 | 260 | 42.3%110 W · 150 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3238…6471backed Under | 53c | 56.19$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.41 | 134 | 73.9%99 W · 35 L | +13.8wins | +0.10per pick | 64cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc844…c3fabacked Under | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d1…c0dabacked Over | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15fc…fec7backed Over | 58c | 31.02$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 152 | 53.9%82 W · 70 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbe…dc24backed Under | 71c | 29.41$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.48 | 166 | 46.4%77 W · 89 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd958…f864backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 55c | 18.23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 1,113 | 39%434 W · 679 L | -44.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?this page
- First Blood in Game 1?Anyone's Legend won
- First Blood in Game 2?Anyone's Legend won
- Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs JD Gaming (+1.5)JD Gaming won
- Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs Anyone's Legend (+1.5)Anyone's Legend won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group AscendAnyone's Legend won
- LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 WinnerJD Gaming won
- LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 WinnerAnyone's Legend won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.