TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$33,494
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$36,971

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,494 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4337…8882backed Under50c8,732$4,366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,366.221,09834.8%382 W · 716 L-17.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Over50c8,606$4,272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,333.81,09752.3%574 W · 523 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf201…527ebacked Under51c2,567$1,309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,309.141,30045.2%587 W · 713 L+50.6wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4041…60f0backed Under3c1,773$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6016543%71 W · 94 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over50c1,702$851 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85146450.6%235 W · 229 L+13.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Under22c1,190$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.1513336.8%49 W · 84 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+15.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f19…474ebacked Under2c1,105$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.1119637.8%74 W · 122 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09b2…a017backed Under50c1,034$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516.6547347.4%224 W · 249 L+23.7wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+19.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed Under8c700$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5358042.4%246 W · 334 L+0.8wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over66c621.48$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.261,14338.8%444 W · 699 L-46.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-22.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked Under33c600.57$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.911,14330.8%352 W · 791 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-16%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e50…0ea8backed Under5c600$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30690%0 W · 69 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc2e7…91a2backed Under5c599.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30641.6%1 W · 63 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-67.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6374…6408backed Under8c590$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.318638.7%72 W · 114 L-7.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-21.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed Over75c581.87$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.271,00454.5%547 W · 457 L+49.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Under49c550.38$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.772,98444.5%1,329 W · 1,655 L-94.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Over70c535.31$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.3846952.2%245 W · 224 L+17.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4190…2e04backed Over50c519.61$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.81366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1bfb…8beabacked Under51c500$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2555246.2%24 W · 28 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+9.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over50c482.66$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.52,54039.7%1,009 W · 1,531 L-79.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b39…1f68backed Under6c389.42$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8419846%91 W · 107 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under49c358.57$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.78036.3%29 W · 51 L-13.6wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-37.4%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xc925…6d24backed Under14c347.66$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.6765725.9%170 W · 487 L-93.4wins-0.14per pick40cpaid-53.9%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x8ba4…f918backed Under11c272.72$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020639.8%82 W · 124 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc44e…284abacked Under11c272.72$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3019838.9%77 W · 121 L-0.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f87…f04ebacked Over78c253.19$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.2722565.3%147 W · 78 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+51.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed Over53c242.76$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.165043.1%280 W · 370 L-0.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Over77c237.04$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.1582836.4%301 W · 527 L-41.3wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-23.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4f17…6001backed Over51c222.9$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.222951.7%15 W · 14 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+13.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x55e3…b615backed Over50c222$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11115950.3%80 W · 79 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x02f0…9bb3backed Under11c220$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.220842.3%88 W · 120 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over65c214.44$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.971,47643.6%643 W · 833 L-31.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x604e…2cb1backed Under11c207.02$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.7710922%24 W · 85 L-8.6wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-40.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under51c202.03$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.0337343.4%162 W · 211 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6ac…6b83backed Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10028843.1%124 W · 164 L-13.3wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd25…5c83backed Under56c200$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.75540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e58…5749backed Over53c185.51$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.196858.8%40 W · 28 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x12d3…42e4backed Over49c183.67$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.6726641%109 W · 157 L-1.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd91…32b8backed Under34c141.65$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.165648.2%27 W · 29 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Over49c139.98$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.3924544.5%109 W · 136 L-12.6wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1436…0121backed Over54c138.46$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.4666558.8%391 W · 274 L-37.4wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-9.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2169…202cbacked Over51c123.31$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.892100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+99.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x558d…180ebacked Over50c110$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553023.3%7 W · 23 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked Under31c109.09$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.6934742.1%146 W · 201 L-13.1wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xafd0…0f8cbacked Under48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505644.6%25 W · 31 L-6.5wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-28.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd0fb…8092backed Over51c102.51$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.238447.6%40 W · 44 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5061256.2%344 W · 268 L-10.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5cef…dbcbbacked Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5012253.3%65 W · 57 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x30f6…004fbacked Under27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2717832.6%58 W · 120 L-15.4wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-28.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xeb54…ed59backed Under51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50850%4 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+28.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb91c…ed66backed Under16c97.03$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9825737%95 W · 162 L-12.7wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x035b…c6ddbacked Over53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.344447.7%21 W · 23 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x266c…6963backed Over50c92$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465341.5%22 W · 31 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick45cpaid+0.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Over65c86.56$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.023,15933.8%1,068 W · 2,091 L-152.6wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x15fc…fec7backed Under50c80$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4015253.9%82 W · 70 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under15c79.41$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.251,60817.5%282 W · 1,326 L-245.3wins-0.15per pick33cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under15c78.99$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.852,23733.3%745 W · 1,492 L-71.3wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5427…94c0backed Over50c78$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394346.5%20 W · 23 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Under49c77.05$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.753,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d8a…bbf4backed Under50c75$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.52948.3%14 W · 15 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick58cpaid-20.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Under24c75$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1870443.9%309 W · 395 L-15.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Under31c75$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4431439.8%125 W · 189 L-16.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2afc…997cbacked Under49c70$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.328647.9%137 W · 149 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x98ba…4212backed Over50c63.84$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.9212251.6%63 W · 59 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x70d8…d2babacked Under28c61.23$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.234946.9%23 W · 26 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a1d…8986backed Over49c59$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.9753047.2%250 W · 280 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ba…e2b1backed Over51c58.82$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.822236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-29.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x14b8…81a9backed Over52c57.69$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.69771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick54cpaid+28%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd52…aa25backed Over52c57.69$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.6912536.8%46 W · 79 L-15.7wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-24.3%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Under40c57$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.840543.7%177 W · 228 L-9.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-20.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77de…e67abacked Under22c53.9$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0914142.6%60 W · 81 L-7.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b77…6ba1backed Under47c50.64$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.95234.6%18 W · 34 L-5.4wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-25.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbce2…1693backed Over74c49.99$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.9850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under46c47.57$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.8860943.2%263 W · 346 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a7e…9dc6backed Under51c45.49$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.246448.9%227 W · 237 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Over55c41.91$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.0657349.4%283 W · 290 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1c1…928cbacked Over50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2015862.7%99 W · 59 L+8.9wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x84cd…33c0backed Over50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e3c…559ebacked Over50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2025346.6%118 W · 135 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6cb1…1002backed Over50c36.46$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.239953.5%53 W · 46 L+0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid+7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40d8…9fdabacked Over51c34.8$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0a3b…4583backed Under52c31.73$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.52839.3%11 W · 17 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Over49c31.59$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.1138640.4%156 W · 230 L-17.7wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over52c30.57$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.692,02030.5%617 W · 1,403 L-172.4wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-43.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8b02…b95fbacked Over51c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.720071%142 W · 58 L+10.8wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x94e2…f597backed Over51c29.41$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.411060%6 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec09…4c2fbacked Over50c27.74$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.879646.9%45 W · 51 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under47c26.25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.341,34349%658 W · 685 L-26.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Under41c26$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6641141.6%171 W · 240 L-17.8wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-26.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8845…360ebacked Over59c23$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.472343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Over48c21.45$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.1550848.4%246 W · 262 L+13.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xee8a…69acbacked Over51c20.59$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.092142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-16.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc399…53abbacked Over56c20.01$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.727938%30 W · 49 L-9.0wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-34%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1350…f908backed Over50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106860.3%41 W · 27 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7041…ca6fbacked Under50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104353.5%23 W · 20 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.