Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Jenz vs KW - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x50180dfc966658dbd9aa4de400c4cd70261b420ca82f31f42cf1853a3eadefbb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Jenzof Team Jenz, KW
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $88,061
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $104,818
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $88,061 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed KW | 46c | 20,000$9,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,156.55 | 476 | 46.4%221 W · 255 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1b…ca93backed Team Jenz | 44c | 5,832$2,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,241.17 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +5.0wins | +0.24per pick | 38cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Team Jenz | 54c | 5,193$2,804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,388.77 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Team Jenz | 59c | 5,076$3,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,071.03 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked KW | 48c | 4,161$1,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,989.86 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08ee…ffe2backed KW | 55c | 3,799$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Team Jenz | 66c | 2,616$1,721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$895.31 | 503 | 53.9%271 W · 232 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…ca8cbacked Team Jenz | 63c | 2,380$1,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890.07 | 540 | 58.9%318 W · 222 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked KW | 39c | 1,839$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.23 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1dfcbacked Team Jenz | 54c | 1,501$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.04 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63b1…1676backed KW | 28c | 1,400$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392 | 146 | 46.6%68 W · 78 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Team Jenz | 61c | 1,367$839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.87 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Team Jenz | 72c | 1,367$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.78 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked KW | 50c | 1,366$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.57 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Team Jenz | 71c | 1,300$923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed KW | 45c | 1,250$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.07 | 177 | 57.6%102 W · 75 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82b0…7c38backed Team Jenz | 53c | 1,203$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.53 | 160 | 55.6%89 W · 71 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5789…6407backed KW | 38c | 1,152$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.4 | 42 | 23.8%10 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…4f30backed Team Jenz | 44c | 1,098$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.34 | 377 | 45.4%171 W · 206 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Team Jenz | 49c | 1,089$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.93 | 430 | 67%288 W · 142 L | +31.9wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc1de…21f5backed KW | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 304 | 52.3%159 W · 145 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked KW | 48c | 922.06$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.94 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72c8…a74cbacked KW | 25c | 900$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 249 | 42.6%106 W · 143 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba57…1e84backed Team Jenz | 72c | 900$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 150 | 50.7%76 W · 74 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39e2…c00ebacked Team Jenz | 75c | 853.6$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.56 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed KW | 29c | 682.75$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa20d…6ba4backed KW | 43c | 600$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.24 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aff…b136backed KW | 13c | 599.99$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 324 | 45.1%146 W · 178 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7437…142dbacked Team Jenz | 48c | 569.62$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.43 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe23b…7c42backed Team Jenz | 75c | 543.86$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.96 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Team Jenz | 50c | 538.88$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.44 | 146 | 55.5%81 W · 65 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Team Jenz | 56c | 521.35$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.35 | 194 | 58.8%114 W · 80 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59cb…57d1backed KW | 29c | 517.24$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Jenz | 56c | 504.88$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.56 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d42…cde0backed Team Jenz | 54c | 499.99$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47e8…efdcbacked KW | 28c | 475.5$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.31 | 194 | 56.2%109 W · 85 L | +13.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe434…f520backed KW | 30c | 459.36$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93b6…5d73backed KW | 26c | 444.14$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.39 | 133 | 36.8%49 W · 84 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed Team Jenz | 54c | 436.02$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.57 | 125 | 47.2%59 W · 66 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53e9…5ef8backed KW | 19c | 400$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 181 | 43.6%79 W · 102 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c6…61fbbacked KW | 33c | 388.59$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.93 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -28%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc15f…223dbacked Team Jenz | 77c | 367$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.53 | 117 | 47.9%56 W · 61 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa72a…5685backed Team Jenz | 68c | 361.85$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.79 | 136 | 45.6%62 W · 74 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed KW | 30c | 333.28$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.31 | 785 | 16.6%130 W · 655 L | -135.4wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed Team Jenz | 73c | 330.28$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.63 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x880d…39bcbacked Team Jenz | 74c | 324.99$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.15 | 327 | 56.9%186 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3752…2f08backed Team Jenz | 56c | 306.54$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.88 | 344 | 42.2%145 W · 199 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eef…44a0backed KW | 39c | 300$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x070f…ed83backed KW | 53c | 299.99$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed KW | 10c | 299.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 107 | 35.5%38 W · 69 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x615d…bd5bbacked Team Jenz | 66c | 298.67$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.72 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x267c…5bfdbacked Team Jenz | 53c | 276.06$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.47 | 155 | 51.6%80 W · 75 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28f5…2035backed KW | 42c | 269.11$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.12 | 332 | 65.4%217 W · 115 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Team Jenz | 75c | 264.29$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.93 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf346…1b8ebacked Team Jenz | 57c | 264.07$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.07 | 224 | 38.8%87 W · 137 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x581f…9d8ebacked Team Jenz | 74c | 262.95$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.43 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Jenz | 54c | 247.69$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.94 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba9…a8d8backed Team Jenz | 60c | 226.9$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.82 | 225 | 62.2%140 W · 85 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Team Jenz | 57c | 226.77$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.51 | 261 | 47.9%125 W · 136 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked KW | 32c | 221.02$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.21 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Team Jenz | 55c | 214.29$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.39 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Team Jenz | 54c | 211.78$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.78 | 190 | 53.2%101 W · 89 L | +11.5wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd9…932fbacked Team Jenz | 72c | 206.75$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.26 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x191b…5b67backed KW | 52c | 200.71$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.22 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x382c…2261backed KW | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 211 | 55%116 W · 95 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…f1e0backed KW | 34c | 198.33$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.08 | 813 | 45.1%367 W · 446 L | -26.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe61a…292dbacked KW | 54c | 197$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.28 | 225 | 58.2%131 W · 94 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5799…db25backed KW | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 460 | 49.8%229 W · 231 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f50…e12bbacked Team Jenz | 54c | 184.5$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.26 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed KW | 50c | 182.57$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.8 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec96…f5d7backed KW | 22c | 181.82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 372 | 53%197 W · 175 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f4…c1e4backed Team Jenz | 61c | 173.36$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 426 | 39.4%168 W · 258 L | -39.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed Team Jenz | 71c | 156.97$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.52 | 507 | 69.2%351 W · 156 L | +33.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6dde…efdfbacked KW | 47c | 154.78$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.13 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0daf…17a9backed Team Jenz | 68c | 153.64$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.9 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…b8debacked Team Jenz | 65c | 150$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 700 | 52.3%366 W · 334 L | +47.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37a8…8b4dbacked Team Jenz | 64c | 143.75$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.75 | 159 | 57.9%92 W · 67 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…7f73backed KW | 22c | 140$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 261 | 54.8%143 W · 118 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02f0…9bb3backed Team Jenz | 17c | 139.08$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.44 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | +7.8wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a9c…bfe2backed Team Jenz | 59c | 134.14$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.73 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd788…5f8ebacked Team Jenz | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Team Jenz | 72c | 132.43$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb491…4400backed KW | 23c | 128.5$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.98 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x443c…d83abacked Team Jenz | 79c | 123.76$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.47 | 258 | 51.2%132 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed Team Jenz | 80c | 123.3$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.66 | 971 | 42.7%415 W · 556 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x762a…ed42backed KW | 26c | 117.26$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 85 | 32.9%28 W · 57 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…0d0fbacked KW | 12c | 117$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 377 | 54.9%207 W · 170 L | +20.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb72…6532backed Team Jenz | 73c | 112.43$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.89 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…51f3backed Team Jenz | 64c | 108.63$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.34 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5b…3b06backed KW | 56c | 102.11$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.35 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41c4…ceb9backed Team Jenz | 58c | 101.9$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.08 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62f7…6573backed Team Jenz | 58c | 101.9$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.08 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31b9…150bbacked Team Jenz | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 592 | 54.1%320 W · 272 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc925…6d24backed KW | 35c | 96.83$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.79 | 416 | 32.7%136 W · 280 L | -37.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7f40…c8ffbacked Team Jenz | 72c | 90$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.17 | 310 | 52.6%163 W · 147 L | +15.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…89d6backed Team Jenz | 58c | 86.2$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.2 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed Team Jenz | 79c | 85.6$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.8 | 286 | 50%143 W · 143 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Team Jenz | 54c | 83.33$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.33 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2911…922ebacked KW | 19c | 82.14$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb3e…db66backed Team Jenz | 54c | 82.13$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.78 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Jenz vs KW - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Jenz vs KW (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group ATeam Jenz won
- Dota 2: Team Jenz vs KW - Game 1 WinnerKW won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.