TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Team Jenz vs KW (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group A

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Jenzof Team Jenz, KW
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$75,085
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$93,684

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,085 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 168 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd3b0…329ebacked KW39c6,371$2,478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,478.2580256%449 W · 353 L+22.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c1b…ca93backed Team Jenz53c4,000$2,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8602161.9%13 W · 8 L+5.0wins+0.24per pick38cpaid+40.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xc0f5…3d04backed Team Jenz65c3,174$2,078 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,096.2651049%250 W · 260 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Team Jenz64c2,795$1,793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,001.141,06657%608 W · 458 L+52.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf3a…fbfdbacked KW23c2,219$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.3850850.8%258 W · 250 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1365…c82abacked KW41c2,079$843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$842.7161456%344 W · 270 L+13.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed KW38c2,045$781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$781.3917757.6%102 W · 75 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf3ce…a57abacked KW29c1,984$584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583.851,20259.3%713 W · 489 L+64.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd3bc…5bd2backed KW52c1,914$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00013943.9%61 W · 78 L-11.8wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-17.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x63b1…1676backed KW21c1,500$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31514646.6%68 W · 78 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x880d…39bcbacked KW25c1,246$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.5632756.9%186 W · 141 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x824b…8386backed Team Jenz61c1,171$713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.3815848.1%76 W · 82 L-13.8wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-21.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x149a…49d0backed Team Jenz71c1,165$827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.1450769.2%351 W · 156 L+33.7wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+10.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe434…f520backed KW27c1,045$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.175352.8%28 W · 25 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9aff…b136backed KW13c899.97$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11832445.1%146 W · 178 L+14.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+1.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2903…9203backed Team Jenz74c892.19$659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.9819458.8%114 W · 80 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe1d3…b8debacked Team Jenz35c844.5$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545.8370052.3%366 W · 334 L+47.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+13.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf206…df39backed KW73c827.38$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60016963.3%107 W · 62 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked KW44c824.57$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.9940534.6%140 W · 265 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8cfc…4f30backed KW28c804.16$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.1737745.4%171 W · 206 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d42…cde0backed Team Jenz66c800$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2725038%19 W · 31 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-24.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa27c…ab67backed Team Jenz72c799.99$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22479959.4%475 W · 324 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3752…2f08backed Team Jenz59c794.96$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.9334442.2%145 W · 199 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5789…6407backed KW50c766.18$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.324223.8%10 W · 32 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-34.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe23b…7c42backed Team Jenz70c719.96$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.996653%35 W · 31 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7eef…44a0backed Team Jenz70c690.13$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.047160.6%43 W · 28 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc910…8bbcbacked Team Jenz61c654.28$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.2811656%65 W · 51 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4133…165bbacked KW27c624.76$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.011,27533.5%427 W · 848 L-15.6wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c67…d062backed KW38c621.18$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.431,13742.3%481 W · 656 L-27.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb877…4601backed Team Jenz72c536.18$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.641455.6%230 W · 184 L+41.4wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+19.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc5d9…b188backed Team Jenz69c517.36$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.469855.1%54 W · 44 L+7.5wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+7.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9a4e…852fbacked Team Jenz50c506.48$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.244238.1%16 W · 26 L+5.9wins+0.14per pick24cpaid+33.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdc2b…cec3backed Team Jenz60c504.9$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.964047.5%19 W · 21 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x191b…5b67backed Team Jenz80c500$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1004346.5%20 W · 23 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x024c…5fa1backed KW19c500$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9513635.3%48 W · 88 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1242…9077backed Team Jenz60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2002661.5%16 W · 10 L+3.8wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+51.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Team Jenz70c457.98$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.2250353.9%271 W · 232 L+26.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe846…252bbacked KW25c450$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.510349.5%51 W · 52 L+8.6wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+22%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x82b0…7c38backed Team Jenz60c412.38$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.2616055.6%89 W · 71 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e19…d2b0backed Team Jenz58c404.49$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.8912547.2%59 W · 66 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53e9…5ef8backed KW35c400$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14018143.6%79 W · 102 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x48f7…3aebbacked Team Jenz72c400$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11266848.5%324 W · 344 L-11.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba57…1e84backed KW27c399.99$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10815050.7%76 W · 74 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x823b…59e9backed Team Jenz70c387.43$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.876349.2%31 W · 32 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-23.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb421…8856backed Team Jenz79c387.14$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.9526147.9%125 W · 136 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd385…34fbbacked KW38c361.54$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.394360.5%26 W · 17 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8f0c…a98fbacked Team Jenz69c355.22$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.41838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-28.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Jenz76c354.8$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.061,90147.6%905 W · 996 L+4.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf34b…bcb3backed KW30c349.73$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.9258356.8%331 W · 252 L+28.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed KW52c339.6$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.0843860.5%265 W · 173 L+44.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+14.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe61a…292dbacked KW41c328.17$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.9122558.2%131 W · 94 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b95…07e5backed Team Jenz61c328.11$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.112722.2%6 W · 21 L-7.3wins-0.27per pick49cpaid-62.8%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x59cb…57d1backed Team Jenz61c327.87$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.877255.6%40 W · 32 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72c8…a74cbacked KW15c327.78$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.1724942.6%106 W · 143 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9f4…c1e4backed Team Jenz71c321.81$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.442639.4%168 W · 258 L-39.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-31.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4f41…547cbacked Team Jenz60c320$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12913142.7%56 W · 75 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-23.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed KW24c310.21$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.0578516.6%130 W · 655 L-135.4wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-66.7%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0xf346…1b8ebacked Team Jenz63c305.47$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.4722438.8%87 W · 137 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x41a5…75bbbacked KW40c292.63$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.0561449.5%304 W · 310 L+9.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ade…fb15backed Team Jenz61c287.58$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.166442.2%27 W · 37 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-22.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xad89…e006backed KW32c254.99$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8110937.6%41 W · 68 L+8.4wins+0.08per pick30cpaid+38.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x44b1…bf04backed KW33c249.04$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.66825%2 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-47.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4994…3e36backed KW29c236.56$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.559964.6%64 W · 35 L+19.9wins+0.20per pick45cpaid+67.7%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x4fd9…932fbacked Team Jenz69c227.18$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.852060%12 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Team Jenz61c220.49$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.151,70241.2%701 W · 1,001 L-44.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f50…e12bbacked Team Jenz65c219.05$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.671656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Team Jenz65c214.21$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.851,45848.5%707 W · 751 L+27.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x02f0…9bb3backed Team Jenz43c210$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.79848%47 W · 51 L+7.8wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+38.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3eac…67cbbacked KW45c200$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$893959%23 W · 16 L+6.5wins+0.17per pick42cpaid+35.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5bbb…0ac2backed Team Jenz43c200$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1148953.9%48 W · 41 L+10.7wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+19.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x31b9…150bbacked Team Jenz69c199.99$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6259254.1%320 W · 272 L+1.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed KW42c199.24$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.0210735.5%38 W · 69 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-28.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6374…6408backed Team Jenz43c190$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.39347.3%44 W · 49 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x08fa…f1e0backed KW23c180.38$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.481345.1%367 W · 446 L-26.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x23b5…97e1backed Team Jenz43c180$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.613044.6%58 W · 72 L+6.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+15.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b28…ff4fbacked Team Jenz52c175$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.3531251.3%160 W · 152 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcb8…6b51backed KW28c173.72$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.7642053.6%225 W · 195 L+16.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6cd3…226ebacked KW21c172.93$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.6521328.2%60 W · 153 L-16.0wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-28.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4c57…1cefbacked KW9c170$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163745.9%17 W · 20 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5799…db25backed Team Jenz59c165.29$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.7746049.8%229 W · 231 L+2.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x762a…ed42backed KW23c162.37$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388532.9%28 W · 57 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-20.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2802…347dbacked Team Jenz57c156$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.0811444.7%51 W · 63 L+6.2wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d9a…d10fbacked Team Jenz57c156$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.0811445.6%52 W · 62 L+6.2wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+3.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3ffb…df76backed Team Jenz59c154$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.82650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebf5…b1d0backed Team Jenz58c151.51$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.128650%143 W · 143 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed Team Jenz43c150$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.550247.6%239 W · 263 L+31.6wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+10.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb491…4400backed KW22c140.18$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.372321.7%5 W · 18 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-28.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4cf…2224backed Team Jenz73c137.88$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.86368.3%43 W · 20 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec96…f5d7backed KW30c133.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4037253%197 W · 175 L+14.8wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed KW55c131.28$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.681,26049.7%626 W · 634 L+21.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3ab…4122backed KW27c130.01$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.541631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.16per pick47cpaid-28.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0ba9…a8d8backed Team Jenz66c129.47$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.2422562.2%140 W · 85 L-0.7wins0.00per pick63cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94c1…8036backed KW52c128$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.566159%36 W · 25 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed KW43c116$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.8825349.4%125 W · 128 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Team Jenz45c113$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.7919053.2%101 W · 89 L+11.5wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x997c…51f3backed Team Jenz65c112.27$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.558250%41 W · 41 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x677d…7415backed Team Jenz60c108.95$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.582100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x06b3…1fd0backed KW49c102.9$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.3820%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x83c8…3b6cbacked KW39c101.93$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4091356.1%512 W · 401 L+16.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6fb2…bd2dbacked KW39c100.13$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.1630054.7%164 W · 136 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.