CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: banda chuya vs mellren - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xec6dba050cf3e67f01443228c12319d38fcd931bf995bd277f71b75e37c8edc4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- mellrenof banda chuya, mellren
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,474
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,745
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,474 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5d15…a2d0backed mellren | 56c | 2,919$1,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,296.49 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +6.5wins | +0.28per pick | 50cpaid | +69.9%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed banda chuya | 47c | 2,055$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$964.84 | 1,017 | 53.4%543 W · 474 L | +65.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x050e…d92fbacked mellren | 73c | 1,074$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.85 | 220 | 56.8%125 W · 95 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75d…0717backed mellren | 40c | 837.45$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.07 | 287 | 43.2%124 W · 163 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb55b…c5b4backed mellren | 59c | 799.99$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.99 | 351 | 53.8%189 W · 162 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed banda chuya | 41c | 753.86$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.43 | 256 | 47.7%122 W · 134 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed banda chuya | 51c | 658.94$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.19 | 215 | 50.2%108 W · 107 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x191b…5b67backed banda chuya | 41c | 608.01$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.64 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…bc2fbacked banda chuya | 41c | 534.58$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.25 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4419…fcf4backed mellren | 60c | 501.39$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.56 | 90 | 63.3%57 W · 33 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82b0…7c38backed banda chuya | 41c | 478.55$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.44 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d5…54d5backed mellren | 72c | 440.83$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1242…9077backed banda chuya | 21c | 390.07$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 115 | 46.1%53 W · 62 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked banda chuya | 34c | 350.68$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.89 | 4,661 | 43.5%2,027 W · 2,634 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked banda chuya | 49c | 347.31$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.25 | 4,897 | 37.4%1,832 W · 3,065 L | -245.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3df3…1411backed mellren | 80c | 343.71$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.78 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8b…7a07backed mellren | 80c | 300$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 208 | 59.1%123 W · 85 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed mellren | 77c | 300$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 2,520 | 43%1,084 W · 1,436 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked mellren | 56c | 290$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.8 | 246 | 46.7%115 W · 131 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b27…0635backed banda chuya | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 309 | 49.2%152 W · 157 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf186…03a9backed mellren | 62c | 199.99$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 213 | 50.2%107 W · 106 L | +16.0wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa369…3ad6backed banda chuya | 62c | 199.98$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.99 | 327 | 46.5%152 W · 175 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3135…f6c3backed banda chuya | 36c | 183.72$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.5 | 127 | 48%61 W · 66 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed mellren | 58c | 181.43$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.47 | 607 | 55%334 W · 273 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked banda chuya | 56c | 178.79$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 103 | 55.3%57 W · 46 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed banda chuya | 22c | 161.98$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.2 | 549 | 38.4%211 W · 338 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x824a…3952backed banda chuya | 20c | 125$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 139 | 38.8%54 W · 85 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f50…e12bbacked banda chuya | 20c | 124$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88f2…a6c1backed mellren | 54c | 120.75$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.06 | 130 | 53.1%69 W · 61 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2f…9123backed banda chuya | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe54e…4a99backed mellren | 71c | 116$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.64 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16c3…97c1backed mellren | 71c | 106.28$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.15 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 55cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked banda chuya | 42c | 102.05$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.86 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a30…7039backed mellren | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed banda chuya | 51c | 99.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 610 | 47.7%291 W · 319 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d16…e42bbacked mellren | 62c | 99.99$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 114 | 60.5%69 W · 45 L | +10.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x788e…e086backed mellren | 52c | 95.84$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.85 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed banda chuya | 48c | 95.23$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.71 | 676 | 45%304 W · 372 L | -24.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67f6…1651backed banda chuya | 25c | 78.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab20…d9e2backed mellren | 52c | 67.89$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13bd…a6c5backed banda chuya | 35c | 61.72$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.61 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf20…1881backed banda chuya | 25c | 59.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61f8…b0e5backed banda chuya | 43c | 56.17$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.41 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07df…9f0cbacked banda chuya | 37c | 55.51$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.58 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed mellren | 56c | 49.76$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.07 | 115 | 40.9%47 W · 68 L | -13.1wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4f56…50edbacked banda chuya | 49c | 49.21$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.95 | 116 | 56.9%66 W · 50 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked banda chuya | 40c | 47.76$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.95 | 726 | 44.4%322 W · 404 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked banda chuya | 51c | 45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 384 | 44.3%170 W · 214 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30c5…8511backed mellren | 77c | 44.75$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160a…43d3backed banda chuya | 41c | 40.16$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +4.8wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7db9…95ebbacked mellren | 71c | 35.96$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.52 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b55…cbc6backed banda chuya | 48c | 32.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.29 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed banda chuya | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 323 | 45.2%146 W · 177 L | +12.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bed…5cd6backed mellren | 50c | 29.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.71 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x924d…6cb9backed mellren | 50c | 29.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.71 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69fa…e259backed mellren | 61c | 24.64$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 607 | 53.9%327 W · 280 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ad…34cebacked banda chuya | 67c | 19.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: banda chuya vs mellren - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: banda chuya vs mellren (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #7 Playoffsmellren won
- Counter-Strike: banda chuya vs mellren - Map 2 Winnermellren won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.