CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: banda chuya vs mellren - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x37f5154e4f716e197ff60952160532acc351d15a1e95c247d06bee250a9f0c08
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- mellrenof banda chuya, mellren
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,776
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,461
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,776 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed mellren | 69c | 1,747$1,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.58 | 1,033 | 53.2%550 W · 483 L | +64.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0f59backed banda chuya | 41c | 1,566$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.72 | 218 | 45.9%100 W · 118 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed banda chuya | 31c | 1,500$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.99 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75d…0717backed banda chuya | 36c | 1,200$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.92 | 295 | 43.1%127 W · 168 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d5…54d5backed banda chuya | 26c | 1,017$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.03 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked mellren | 61c | 721.83$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.99 | 752 | 45.3%341 W · 411 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18c2…529abacked mellren | 73c | 642.79$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.17 | 123 | 43.9%54 W · 69 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xece5…6de0backed banda chuya | 42c | 616$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.02 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82b0…7c38backed mellren | 67c | 467.41$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.14 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed mellren | 70c | 382.38$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.52 | 203 | 53.2%108 W · 95 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed mellren | 61c | 377.37$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.2 | 219 | 49.8%109 W · 110 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked mellren | 62c | 331.23$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.02 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked mellren | 51c | 318.4$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.31 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x267c…5bfdbacked mellren | 65c | 291.65$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.91 | 179 | 55.3%99 W · 80 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked mellren | 65c | 276.7$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 388 | 44.3%172 W · 216 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42e9…80c7backed mellren | 66c | 235.73$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.43 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…4b1dbacked mellren | 52c | 215.46$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.25 | 341 | 40.8%139 W · 202 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a30…7039backed banda chuya | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b27…0635backed banda chuya | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 317 | 49.5%157 W · 160 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed mellren | 59c | 192$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.32 | 257 | 47.5%122 W · 135 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe54e…4a99backed mellren | 62c | 161.38$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.41 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked mellren | 56c | 161.15$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.01 | 247 | 46.6%115 W · 132 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…4e6abacked banda chuya | 39c | 139.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.6 | 265 | 54.3%144 W · 121 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…3eb8backed banda chuya | 40c | 125.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…aa7dbacked mellren | 54c | 118$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.28 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed banda chuya | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.95 | 122 | 44.3%54 W · 68 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7029…1136backed banda chuya | 42c | 96.5$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.53 | 213 | 51.2%109 W · 104 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x401d…23c6backed banda chuya | 56c | 95.8$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.44 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked mellren | 66c | 89$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.82 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b55…cbc6backed mellren | 58c | 78.86$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.41 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked mellren | 61c | 75$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.55 | 393 | 38.2%150 W · 243 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed banda chuya | 36c | 73.86$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.59 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd84d…cc32backed banda chuya | 56c | 69.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.19 | 330 | 48.8%161 W · 169 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f56…50edbacked mellren | 63c | 66.67$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.99 | 116 | 56.9%66 W · 50 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…208ebacked mellren | 60c | 58.33$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.33 | 140 | 68.6%96 W · 44 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8efe…6704backed mellren | 79c | 55$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.3 | 205 | 62.4%128 W · 77 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07e8…faaebacked banda chuya | 40c | 52.17$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.64 | 153 | 46.4%71 W · 82 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked mellren | 59c | 49.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 111 | 55%61 W · 50 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccdc…dbe6backed mellren | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 367 | 49.3%181 W · 186 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba9…a8d8backed mellren | 69c | 41.97$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.01 | 406 | 66.3%269 W · 137 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb11…9845backed banda chuya | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed banda chuya | 37c | 37.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 771 | 46%355 W · 416 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf1…d7febacked banda chuya | 47c | 35.16$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.37 | 238 | 35.3%84 W · 154 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd87a…540dbacked banda chuya | 41c | 31.49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed mellren | 53c | 30.01$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb6…052dbacked mellren | 51c | 28.84$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.13 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13bd…a6c5backed mellren | 78c | 27.33$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.01 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bed…5cd6backed mellren | 55c | 26.93$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.22 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked banda chuya | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4a…4efebacked mellren | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked mellren | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.07 | 1,068 | 55%587 W · 481 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: banda chuya vs mellren - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: banda chuya vs mellren (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #7 Playoffsmellren won
- Counter-Strike: banda chuya vs mellren - Map 1 Winnermellren won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.