CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Bushido Wildcats vs Raccoons - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5c5c1668bd88632955f5b129a1431fea1abf29d74f99e4464969f3f05b3c791b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bushido Wildcatsof Bushido Wildcats, Raccoons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,022
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,316
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,022 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x299f…2c50backed Raccoons | 48c | 328.88$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.44 | 742 | 39.1%290 W · 452 L | -29.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…07e5backed Raccoons | 38c | 293.98$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 326 | 43.3%141 W · 185 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3818…9797backed Bushido Wildcats | 53c | 264.77$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.77 | 83 | 61.4%51 W · 32 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Bushido Wildcats | 46c | 255.32$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.85 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0c…5ad0backed Raccoons | 47c | 213.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 106 | 43.4%46 W · 60 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Bushido Wildcats | 51c | 210.58$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.47 | 4,754 | 43.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f50…e12bbacked Raccoons | 57c | 176$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.32 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Raccoons | 68c | 80$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.4 | 1,523 | 51.5%785 W · 738 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Bushido Wildcats | 32c | 80$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.4 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Raccoons | 43c | 45.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.67 | 2,365 | 45.4%1,074 W · 1,291 L | -58.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2b…29f8backed Raccoons | 55c | 45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93c9…b32cbacked Bushido Wildcats | 78c | 39.23$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.63 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Bushido Wildcats | 54c | 39.13$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.96 | 1,397 | 52.4%732 W · 665 L | +30.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Raccoons | 64c | 37.03$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Bushido Wildcats | 58c | 34.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.21 | 773 | 46.1%356 W · 417 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf247…d8cabacked Raccoons | 44c | 23.34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9d…2269backed Raccoons | 64c | 15.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 158 | 64.6%102 W · 56 L | +15.3wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Bushido Wildcats vs Raccoons - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Bushido Wildcats vs Raccoons (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Group StageBushido Wildcats won
- Counter-Strike: Bushido Wildcats vs Raccoons - Map 2 WinnerRaccoons won
- Map Handicap: RAC (-1.5) vs Bushido Wildcats (+1.5)Bushido Wildcats won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.