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Lol · resolved market

Game Handicap: VKS (-1.5) vs Leviatan Esports (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Vivo Keyd Starsof Vivo Keyd Stars, Leviatan Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$60,382
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$60,736

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,382 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x58f8…dc70backed Vivo Keyd Stars66c25,756$16,996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,760.0940970.2%287 W · 122 L+30.9wins+0.08per pick63cpaid+8.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb727…2a9dbacked Leviatan Esports34c22,909$7,789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,789.055349.1%26 W · 27 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe015…6ffdbacked Leviatan Esports35c22,144$7,736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,736.1396948.6%471 W · 498 L+12.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb589…91e3backed Vivo Keyd Stars65c8,142$5,293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,849.8751748.2%249 W · 268 L+26.8wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Vivo Keyd Stars67c4,478$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,477.749853.1%52 W · 46 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Leviatan Esports33c4,448$1,468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,467.891,22448.3%591 W · 633 L+26.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d4c…67bcbacked Vivo Keyd Stars65c3,097$2,013 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,083.92475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Vivo Keyd Stars65c2,965$1,927 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,037.4465544.1%289 W · 366 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4cf7…4b3abacked Leviatan Esports34c2,389$812 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$812.312944.8%13 W · 16 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf20b…e27dbacked Leviatan Esports34c1,947$658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$658.1135149.3%173 W · 178 L+11.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+13.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee0b…e6d4backed Vivo Keyd Stars65c1,767$1,149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$618.451947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Vivo Keyd Stars65c1,556$1,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544.68143.2%35 W · 46 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5a3…9e12backed Vivo Keyd Stars66c1,515$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.152263.6%14 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+38.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9c3c…e8c9backed Vivo Keyd Stars66c1,515$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.1510063%63 W · 37 L+10.5wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+24.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x653e…bbc0backed Leviatan Esports33c1,370$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.8741433.6%139 W · 275 L-30.0wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-23.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Leviatan Esports38c1,283$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.842,54039.7%1,009 W · 1,531 L-79.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Vivo Keyd Stars67c1,061$711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.1321150.7%107 W · 104 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5556…2759backed Vivo Keyd Stars66c1,029$679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.9363751.2%326 W · 311 L-13.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x719b…30e5backed Vivo Keyd Stars65c930$605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.51513.3%2 W · 13 L-4.2wins-0.28per pick41cpaid-23%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xf95e…1816backed Vivo Keyd Stars65c620.14$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.0519752.8%104 W · 93 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+16.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3bf6…f90ebacked Vivo Keyd Stars65c583.22$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.131250%6 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed Vivo Keyd Stars63c476.08$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.1543543.2%188 W · 247 L-0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x920a…29e0backed Vivo Keyd Stars65c425.89$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.065143.1%22 W · 29 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid+9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6dd9…bfe8backed Vivo Keyd Stars68c399.99$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12864753.9%349 W · 298 L+17.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x10cf…60cfbacked Leviatan Esports34c347.5$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1188943.8%39 W · 50 L-5.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked Vivo Keyd Stars61c343.62$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.011,50250.3%756 W · 746 L+71.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5f50…e12bbacked Vivo Keyd Stars65c291$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.851154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56fa…2b82backed Leviatan Esports34c284.38$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.695151%26 W · 25 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c98…186dbacked Leviatan Esports33c270.08$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.7622142.5%94 W · 127 L-13.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x00d1…a23fbacked Leviatan Esports33c226.18$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.1425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-30.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Vivo Keyd Stars65c177.8$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.952,98444.5%1,329 W · 1,655 L-94.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9714…5152backed Leviatan Esports34c155$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.76240.3%25 W · 37 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a1d…5d92backed Vivo Keyd Stars65c148.28$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.9475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick49cpaid+250.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd8ef…f7a1backed Vivo Keyd Stars69c130.45$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.8711768.4%80 W · 37 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6af0…fea7backed Leviatan Esports33c125.71$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.9910256.9%58 W · 44 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbedb…6bc3backed Vivo Keyd Stars65c111.69$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.091643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-25.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9deb…536fbacked Vivo Keyd Stars66c110$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.41323.1%3 W · 10 L-3.8wins-0.29per pick52cpaid-57%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2a7e…9dc6backed Vivo Keyd Stars62c100$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3846448.9%227 W · 237 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9fe…db0dbacked Vivo Keyd Stars66c97.62$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.8830049.7%149 W · 151 L-1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa245…2152backed Leviatan Esports33c77.63$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.627038.6%27 W · 43 L+0.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d2d…b69dbacked Vivo Keyd Stars67c74.63$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.6313160.3%79 W · 52 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6a5…020abacked Leviatan Esports33c68.53$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e32…ab65backed Leviatan Esports36c59.82$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.542,17853.4%1,164 W · 1,014 L+61.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Leviatan Esports35c59.8$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.931,18244.8%530 W · 652 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d28…87b5backed Vivo Keyd Stars67c59.51$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.516669.7%46 W · 20 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x910a…1aa7backed Vivo Keyd Stars68c52.21$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.7110854.6%59 W · 49 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e9f…3988backed Leviatan Esports25c49.1$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2840055.8%223 W · 177 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc780…40a4backed Vivo Keyd Stars74c40.54$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.541957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Vivo Keyd Stars67c40$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.21,60817.5%282 W · 1,326 L-245.3wins-0.15per pick33cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Vivo Keyd Stars63c39$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4346952.2%245 W · 224 L+17.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x09c5…9afdbacked Leviatan Esports36c38.74$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Leviatan Esports30c38.54$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.41,14338.8%444 W · 699 L-46.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-22.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Vivo Keyd Stars65c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.560943.2%263 W · 346 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9eeb…a72cbacked Vivo Keyd Stars65c23.03$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.044141.5%17 W · 24 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-30.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x61e1…c227backed Vivo Keyd Stars67c22.38$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.398281.7%67 W · 15 L+9.7wins+0.12per pick70cpaid+16.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf151…24c7backed Vivo Keyd Stars68c21.89$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.059458.5%55 W · 39 L+7.6wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+12.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2470…7ae6backed Vivo Keyd Stars66c16.82$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.7910746.7%50 W · 57 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf8f7…9817backed Vivo Keyd Stars67c14.93$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.932045%9 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-24.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.