CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: BG (-1.5) vs Misa Esports (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa2fd476c4e93fa45296dd4b23b4bf96f36f109957d37470eff2aded2a4162e53
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Benched godsof Benched gods, Misa Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,036
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,475
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,036 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7a5b…d1ddbacked Benched gods | 44c | 2,673$1,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,495.67 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +6.1wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Benched gods | 44c | 2,073$906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,166.57 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…a6d3backed Benched gods | 44c | 2,027$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,137.32 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +5.7wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x191b…5b67backed Misa Esports | 57c | 1,757$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.05 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Misa Esports | 57c | 1,500$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850.04 | 2,429 | 44.6%1,083 W · 1,346 L | -63.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Misa Esports | 53c | 1,455$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.41 | 7,892 | 50.5%3,983 W · 3,909 L | +182.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Misa Esports | 55c | 1,130$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.1 | 1,017 | 53.4%543 W · 474 L | +65.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Misa Esports | 50c | 948.14$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.87 | 1,768 | 59.2%1,047 W · 721 L | +105.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d5…54d5backed Benched gods | 46c | 699.97$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.98 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1186…0355backed Benched gods | 53c | 583.39$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.59 | 233 | 56.2%131 W · 102 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc75d…0717backed Benched gods | 50c | 488.38$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.61 | 287 | 43.2%124 W · 163 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Misa Esports | 57c | 365$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.05 | 2,599 | 47.8%1,242 W · 1,357 L | -30.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Misa Esports | 56c | 266.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.05 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d16…e42bbacked Benched gods | 50c | 213$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.5 | 114 | 60.5%69 W · 45 L | +10.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5f50…e12bbacked Misa Esports | 50c | 208.55$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.28 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Misa Esports | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d3…bab9backed Misa Esports | 65c | 200$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 163 | 44.2%72 W · 91 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked Misa Esports | 43c | 192.09$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 384 | 44.3%170 W · 214 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Misa Esports | 59c | 115$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.85 | 807 | 40.3%325 W · 482 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63c6…a5c9backed Benched gods | 29c | 93$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.26 | 231 | 46.3%107 W · 124 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Misa Esports | 54c | 91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.52 | 514 | 46.9%241 W · 273 L | -22.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3135…f6c3backed Misa Esports | 27c | 78.13$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.1 | 127 | 48%61 W · 66 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Misa Esports | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 220 | 37.3%82 W · 138 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Misa Esports | 54c | 70.37$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 716 | 51%365 W · 351 L | +28.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4114…f750backed Misa Esports | 50c | 62.04$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.02 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x177d…158abacked Misa Esports | 63c | 56.05$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.12 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Misa Esports | 71c | 47.95$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.05 | 482 | 51.7%249 W · 233 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee5f…5508backed Misa Esports | 53c | 32.32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Misa Esports | 49c | 31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Misa Esports | 54c | 28.63$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.55 | 418 | 53.6%224 W · 194 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…8689backed Misa Esports | 55c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Misa Esports | 59c | 23.77$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 368 | 56.8%209 W · 159 L | +13.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…cc67backed Misa Esports | 55c | 22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 207 | 42.5%88 W · 119 L | -17.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed Misa Esports | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 498 | 41.8%208 W · 290 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Misa Esports | 72c | 17.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.67 | 1,828 | 47.6%871 W · 957 L | -54.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc269…7841backed Misa Esports | 66c | 16.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | -9.9wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: BG (-1.5) vs Misa Esports (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Benched gods vs Misa Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #5 Group DBenched gods won
- Counter-Strike: Benched gods vs Misa Esports - Map 1 WinnerBenched gods won
- Counter-Strike: Benched gods vs Misa Esports - Map 2 WinnerBenched gods won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.