Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: KW vs Spirit Academy (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7a1c0ba323531547a2159b4c3b1df542e7587ea6419f68e0a1e2ac701e7c0da4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- KWof KW, Spirit Academy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $78,691
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $87,651
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,691 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 158 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x40db…ca8cbacked KW | 49c | 7,221$3,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,699.07 | 540 | 58.9%318 W · 222 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Spirit Academy | 54c | 5,656$3,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,037.72 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Spirit Academy | 58c | 4,210$2,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,421.72 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed KW | 44c | 3,876$1,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,170.6 | 476 | 46.4%221 W · 255 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked KW | 42c | 3,195$1,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,859.26 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…f067backed KW | 61c | 3,174$1,929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,244.38 | 480 | 57.1%274 W · 206 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Spirit Academy | 54c | 2,203$1,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,198.24 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Spirit Academy | 47c | 2,041$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$964.66 | 237 | 36.7%87 W · 150 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8232…d12fbacked Spirit Academy | 62c | 1,786$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 280 | 62.9%176 W · 104 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed Spirit Academy | 58c | 1,748$1,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,017.32 | 507 | 69.2%351 W · 156 L | +33.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed Spirit Academy | 53c | 1,599$847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$846.52 | 574 | 49%281 W · 293 L | +33.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa91a…ddacbacked KW | 50c | 1,460$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +91.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed KW | 37c | 1,323$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831.11 | 177 | 57.6%102 W · 75 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3df3…1411backed KW | 40c | 1,305$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.59 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Spirit Academy | 39c | 1,255$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.6 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked KW | 45c | 1,164$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.99 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa28a…01c5backed KW | 46c | 1,110$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.25 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x035b…c6ddbacked KW | 38c | 1,110$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.75 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed KW | 55c | 1,077$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.43 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Spirit Academy | 51c | 1,013$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.56 | 535 | 38.5%206 W · 329 L | -26.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked KW | 50c | 999.99$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.14 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe434…f520backed Spirit Academy | 52c | 953.4$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.77 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb7…1dd0backed Spirit Academy | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x880d…39bcbacked Spirit Academy | 76c | 915.97$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.28 | 327 | 56.9%186 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked KW | 41c | 802.93$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.94 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…6dc8backed KW | 54c | 747.36$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.36 | 480 | 54%259 W · 221 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc910…8bbcbacked Spirit Academy | 67c | 739.42$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.1 | 116 | 56%65 W · 51 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed KW | 49c | 708.91$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.91 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Spirit Academy | 52c | 682.15$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.92 | 665 | 45.6%303 W · 362 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93b6…5d73backed KW | 43c | 584.35$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.19 | 133 | 36.8%49 W · 84 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…75bbbacked KW | 29c | 549.98$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.99 | 614 | 49.5%304 W · 310 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa20d…6ba4backed Spirit Academy | 56c | 535.98$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed KW | 35c | 477.45$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.65 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x070f…ed83backed KW | 43c | 424.43$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.54 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc62e…2d85backed Spirit Academy | 52c | 423.08$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked KW | 43c | 413.11$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.47 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf6f…9f0abacked Spirit Academy | 80c | 400$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 161 | 39.8%64 W · 97 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf206…df39backed KW | 63c | 388.03$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.03 | 169 | 63.3%107 W · 62 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e50…0ea8backed Spirit Academy | 3c | 371.53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54bc…b4e9backed KW | 42c | 357.4$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.4 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb8…6b51backed Spirit Academy | 69c | 351.3$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.24 | 420 | 53.6%225 W · 195 L | +16.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…0d0fbacked Spirit Academy | 63c | 351.07$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.1 | 377 | 54.9%207 W · 170 L | +20.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabd9…dc3abacked KW | 36c | 344.2$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.2 | 187 | 33.2%62 W · 125 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f20…934fbacked KW | 44c | 329$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.87 | 128 | 60.9%78 W · 50 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4cf…2224backed Spirit Academy | 64c | 310.97$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 63 | 68.3%43 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked KW | 28c | 307.72$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.6 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Spirit Academy | 53c | 305.41$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.48 | 253 | 49.4%125 W · 128 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Spirit Academy | 43c | 302.79$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.8 | 124 | 32.3%40 W · 84 L | -10.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x07fa…f5cdbacked KW | 40c | 300$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.4 | 462 | 40.7%188 W · 274 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aff…b136backed Spirit Academy | 38c | 299.98$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 324 | 45.1%146 W · 178 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Spirit Academy | 57c | 296.76$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.56 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcecf…e84fbacked Spirit Academy | 62c | 285.47$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed KW | 34c | 275.78$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.35 | 438 | 60.5%265 W · 173 L | +44.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Spirit Academy | 63c | 273$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.73 | 500 | 32.2%161 W · 339 L | -47.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x249e…4fa6backed Spirit Academy | 78c | 271.9$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.48 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a53…71a3backed KW | 41c | 264.36$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.56 | 185 | 62.7%116 W · 69 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ade…fb15backed Spirit Academy | 56c | 261.95$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.69 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed KW | 53c | 254.31$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.45 | 125 | 59.2%74 W · 51 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee4…a02abacked Spirit Academy | 70c | 250$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 136 | 58.1%79 W · 57 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94c1…8036backed KW | 51c | 244.27$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f50…e12bbacked Spirit Academy | 56c | 244.11$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.7 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f21…3d6ebacked KW | 46c | 233.25$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.41 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02f0…9bb3backed Spirit Academy | 45c | 210$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.5 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | +7.8wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b39…1f68backed Spirit Academy | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 103 | 53.4%55 W · 48 L | +11.3wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x72c8…a74cbacked KW | 30c | 200$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 249 | 42.6%106 W · 143 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7049…85a5backed Spirit Academy | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 120 | 48.3%58 W · 62 L | +9.3wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Spirit Academy | 49c | 199.99$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.8 | 958 | 41.1%394 W · 564 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Spirit Academy | 54c | 199.98$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.34 | 312 | 51.3%160 W · 152 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Spirit Academy | 59c | 190.18$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.14 | 785 | 16.6%130 W · 655 L | -135.4wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x6374…6408backed Spirit Academy | 45c | 190$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.5 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…f884backed Spirit Academy | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | +8.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb64c…393dbacked Spirit Academy | 56c | 170.19$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 293 | 50.2%147 W · 146 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Spirit Academy | 54c | 163.89$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.85 | 260 | 50.4%131 W · 129 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Spirit Academy | 58c | 159.37$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.1 | 569 | 45.2%257 W · 312 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked KW | 45c | 154.54$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.27 | 793 | 41.7%331 W · 462 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…208ebacked Spirit Academy | 60c | 150.07$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…b8debacked Spirit Academy | 61c | 150$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.5 | 700 | 52.3%366 W · 334 L | +47.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x635d…7047backed KW | 33c | 149.97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.48 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…7f73backed Spirit Academy | 54c | 140$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.6 | 261 | 54.8%143 W · 118 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62d6…54e8backed Spirit Academy | 52c | 138.82$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.19 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc925…6d24backed Spirit Academy | 59c | 131.7$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.9 | 416 | 32.7%136 W · 280 L | -37.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf59e…f0bfbacked Spirit Academy | 69c | 130$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.28 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f8…ed4ebacked Spirit Academy | 79c | 124.79$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.86 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 71cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a12…a9a7backed Spirit Academy | 52c | 119$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.88 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x41f4…ee16backed Spirit Academy | 65c | 118.38$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.37 | 385 | 47.5%183 W · 202 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked KW | 47c | 116.54$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.79 | 587 | 46.5%273 W · 314 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafe1…d1c2backed KW | 40c | 111.17$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.17 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd752…7b4fbacked Spirit Academy | 72c | 110.41$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 354 | 61.3%217 W · 137 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51be…12c2backed KW | 48c | 102.79$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.45 | 192 | 51%98 W · 94 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed KW | 37c | 100.32$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.2 | 536 | 34%182 W · 354 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15d1…ccfebacked Spirit Academy | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 546 | 59.7%326 W · 220 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Spirit Academy | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.33 | 421 | 46.6%196 W · 225 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7eef…44a0backed Spirit Academy | 72c | 100$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x624d…8c45backed KW | 40c | 99.17$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.74 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Spirit Academy | 55c | 98.74$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.49 | 656 | 47.3%310 W · 346 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Spirit Academy | 60c | 97.01$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.28 | 276 | 36.2%100 W · 176 L | -15.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb140…ce3dbacked KW | 42c | 95.82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.82 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Spirit Academy | 53c | 90$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.7 | 479 | 51.8%248 W · 231 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1af1…8bd4backed Spirit Academy | 52c | 90$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.4 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21dd…e4f5backed KW | 49c | 90$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: KW vs Spirit Academy (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group Athis page
- Dota 2: KW vs Spirit Academy - Game 1 WinnerSpirit Academy won
- Dota 2: KW vs Spirit Academy - Game 2 WinnerKW won
- Game 1: Any Player Rampage?No won
- Game 2: Any Player Rampage?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.