Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: KW vs Spirit Academy - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8a55f1889508699206668af68cfc3eb481bdab757923da279bb7c72db2c63625
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- KWof KW, Spirit Academy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,215
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,772
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,215 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xef26…05babacked KW | 43c | 5,196$2,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,954.83 | 254 | 46.1%117 W · 137 L | +11.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Spirit Academy | 39c | 4,958$1,947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,947.01 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Spirit Academy | 57c | 2,593$1,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,474.52 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed Spirit Academy | 43c | 1,527$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.41 | 574 | 49%281 W · 293 L | +33.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3752…2f08backed KW | 41c | 1,500$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$878.58 | 344 | 42.2%145 W · 199 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…6dc8backed KW | 51c | 1,301$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.03 | 480 | 54%259 W · 221 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Spirit Academy | 57c | 1,100$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3bc…5bd2backed Spirit Academy | 58c | 968.85$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.04 | 139 | 43.9%61 W · 78 L | -11.8wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed Spirit Academy | 34c | 932.17$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.88 | 476 | 50.8%242 W · 234 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Spirit Academy | 58c | 864.96$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.73 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ee…ffe2backed KW | 65c | 825.44$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.28 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…ca8cbacked KW | 50c | 784.63$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.3 | 540 | 58.9%318 W · 222 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x880d…39bcbacked KW | 69c | 700$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.01 | 327 | 56.9%186 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x035b…c6ddbacked KW | 53c | 665.25$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.25 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa20d…6ba4backed KW | 53c | 558.72$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.38 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed KW | 44c | 530.2$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.35 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked KW | 52c | 523.33$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.89 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe434…f520backed KW | 43c | 517.65$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.92 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39e2…c00ebacked KW | 43c | 459.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.88 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked KW | 39c | 422.46$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.86 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabd9…dc3abacked KW | 32c | 410.42$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.93 | 187 | 33.2%62 W · 125 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51cf…45fbbacked KW | 42c | 404$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.6 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…f067backed KW | 43c | 373.8$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.53 | 480 | 57.1%274 W · 206 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x249e…4fa6backed KW | 62c | 350.38$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.82 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked KW | 34c | 318.28$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.7 | 165 | 53.3%88 W · 77 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked KW | 51c | 302.63$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.72 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93b6…5d73backed Spirit Academy | 58c | 293.58$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.63 | 133 | 36.8%49 W · 84 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Spirit Academy | 73c | 280.83$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.08 | 958 | 41.1%394 W · 564 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0b…2debbacked KW | 62c | 264.39$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.39 | 195 | 47.7%93 W · 102 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc214…105dbacked Spirit Academy | 39c | 256.92$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 488 | 43.6%213 W · 275 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe694…0a08backed Spirit Academy | 65c | 249.15$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.79 | 181 | 52.5%95 W · 86 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked KW | 46c | 247.49$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.29 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc6…9092backed KW | 66c | 233.85$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.51 | 84 | 20.2%17 W · 67 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf34b…bcb3backed Spirit Academy | 63c | 212.21$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.69 | 583 | 56.8%331 W · 252 L | +28.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa369…3ad6backed KW | 33c | 210$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.66 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aff…b136backed KW | 30c | 200$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 324 | 45.1%146 W · 178 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59e2…1c55backed Spirit Academy | 9c | 199.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.82 | 475 | 48%228 W · 247 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37a8…8b4dbacked Spirit Academy | 54c | 175.92$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 159 | 57.9%92 W · 67 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed KW | 53c | 160$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.2 | 479 | 51.8%248 W · 231 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…d03fbacked Spirit Academy | 72c | 159.5$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.84 | 179 | 65.4%117 W · 62 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc925…6d24backed Spirit Academy | 46c | 146.6$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.2 | 416 | 32.7%136 W · 280 L | -37.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8232…d12fbacked Spirit Academy | 69c | 144.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 280 | 62.9%176 W · 104 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…7f73backed KW | 37c | 140$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.2 | 261 | 54.8%143 W · 118 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed KW | 31c | 130$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.7 | 208 | 20.7%43 W · 165 L | -18.8wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa2…6df9backed KW | 66c | 129.79$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.13 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x142f…19f9backed KW | 45c | 118.82$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.5 | 234 | 42.7%100 W · 134 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked KW | 42c | 111.94$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.91 | 535 | 38.5%206 W · 329 L | -26.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f86…e074backed KW | 38c | 104.94$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.52 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -30%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x62f7…6573backed KW | 35c | 102.94$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.26 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd788…5f8ebacked KW | 67c | 102.71$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.56 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32a9…fc3fbacked KW | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc62e…2d85backed KW | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…f884backed Spirit Academy | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | +8.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72c8…a74cbacked Spirit Academy | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 249 | 42.6%106 W · 143 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x127d…4706backed KW | 65c | 98.48$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.62 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Spirit Academy | 34c | 95.97$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.63 | 421 | 46.6%196 W · 225 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41c4…ceb9backed KW | 49c | 95.67$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.37 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed KW | 40c | 94.63$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.2 | 340 | 41.2%140 W · 200 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f90…4c92backed KW | 42c | 83.13$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.13 | 141 | 36.9%52 W · 89 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a53…71a3backed KW | 65c | 77.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.49 | 185 | 62.7%116 W · 69 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked KW | 65c | 75.97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.59 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5799…db25backed KW | 40c | 75.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.45 | 460 | 49.8%229 W · 231 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed KW | 53c | 69.99$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.1 | 123 | 53.7%66 W · 57 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb491…4400backed KW | 23c | 64.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.59 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91ca…a3dfbacked Spirit Academy | 42c | 59.34$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.95 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -4.0wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed KW | 31c | 56.35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.86 | 286 | 50%143 W · 143 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1b…ca93backed KW | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.3 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +5.0wins | +0.24per pick | 38cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7eef…44a0backed Spirit Academy | 61c | 49.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa5…a94abacked KW | 34c | 49.65$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.61 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9417…bbd3backed KW | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.39 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x624d…8c45backed Spirit Academy | 52c | 47.43$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f4…c1e4backed Spirit Academy | 48c | 46.58$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.21 | 426 | 39.4%168 W · 258 L | -39.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…157cbacked KW | 45c | 44.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.74 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | +5.4wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e99…2229backed Spirit Academy | 63c | 44.5$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.85 | 87 | 36.8%32 W · 55 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked KW | 65c | 43.9$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.28 | 735 | 54.7%402 W · 333 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb11…9845backed KW | 34c | 41.57$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.36 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed KW | 64c | 41$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.59 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked KW | 32c | 38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.95 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Spirit Academy | 45c | 34.7$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 328 | 6.4%21 W · 307 L | -102.4wins | -0.31per pick | 38cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 18-0.29 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfd…8f39backed Spirit Academy | 44c | 34.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e90…db89backed KW | 32c | 34.06$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.19 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8efb…c0e6backed Spirit Academy | 65c | 31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 222 | 59%131 W · 91 L | -11.3wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe37f…6635backed KW | 65c | 25.08$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed KW | 56c | 25.08$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.93 | 54 | 74.1%40 W · 14 L | +8.1wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1d…8986backed KW | 60c | 24.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.69 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Spirit Academy | 45c | 23.84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 302 | 51.7%156 W · 146 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb844…dee6backed Spirit Academy | 59c | 22.06$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa7…afb4backed KW | 56c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.64 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb64c…393dbacked Spirit Academy | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 293 | 50.2%147 W · 146 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed KW | 59c | 20.3$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.3 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Spirit Academy | 71c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 669 | 47.1%315 W · 354 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4787…db20backed KW | 76c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.76 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: KW vs Spirit Academy - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: KW vs Spirit Academy (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group AKW won
- Dota 2: KW vs Spirit Academy - Game 1 WinnerSpirit Academy won
- Game 1: Any Player Rampage?No won
- Game 2: Any Player Rampage?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.