Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: REKONIX vs Grind Back - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf6c4874b1457ce315aa0a4dc12a2a5210b6621200ce8cc8594db2f85fa64c59f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- REKONIXof REKONIX, Grind Back
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,082
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,477
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,082 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed REKONIX | 71c | 1,807$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.26 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Grind Back | 45c | 1,724$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…92fbbacked Grind Back | 53c | 1,308$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.89 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33d3…bf38backed REKONIX | 57c | 1,195$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.55 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked Grind Back | 49c | 1,132$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.62 | 379 | 45.9%174 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…9945backed Grind Back | 51c | 789.93$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 84 | 59.5%50 W · 34 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked REKONIX | 78c | 628.5$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.84 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…f510backed Grind Back | 35c | 557.63$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.17 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked REKONIX | 51c | 520.78$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.47 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked REKONIX | 46c | 444.24$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.06 | 531 | 39.5%210 W · 321 L | -37.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed REKONIX | 58c | 429.36$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.36 | 466 | 64.2%299 W · 167 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed REKONIX | 57c | 400$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc910…8bbcbacked REKONIX | 50c | 340$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 116 | 56%65 W · 51 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed Grind Back | 39c | 315.35$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.14 | 201 | 45.3%91 W · 110 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f50…e12bbacked REKONIX | 50c | 282$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Grind Back | 45c | 256.68$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.51 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked REKONIX | 49c | 252.03$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.32 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Grind Back | 40c | 249.63$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 577 | 35%202 W · 375 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…b7cdbacked Grind Back | 49c | 249.33$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.2 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked REKONIX | 55c | 229.68$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.36 | 138 | 54.3%75 W · 63 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdca…66ebbacked REKONIX | 55c | 222.87$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.29 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked REKONIX | 65c | 210.6$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.31 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Grind Back | 26c | 204.64$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.21 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x835a…a5c8backed REKONIX | 64c | 201.89$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.99 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 64cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Grind Back | 51c | 196.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 174 | 43.7%76 W · 98 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…08e7backed Grind Back | 38c | 183.67$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.8 | 382 | 44.5%170 W · 212 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8a…f907backed REKONIX | 50c | 176.1$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.05 | 141 | 36.9%52 W · 89 L | -13.3wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb431…b654backed Grind Back | 41c | 176.03$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.17 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Grind Back | 40c | 175.12$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.45 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca3…9613backed REKONIX | 59c | 152.98$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.98 | 147 | 63.3%93 W · 54 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ed…a4cbbacked Grind Back | 46c | 146.69$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…ca8cbacked REKONIX | 55c | 146.25$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.2 | 540 | 58.9%318 W · 222 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3066…693abacked REKONIX | 51c | 137.24$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.25 | 546 | 48.5%265 W · 281 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed REKONIX | 57c | 113.94$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.7 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85b2…0ab9backed REKONIX | 50c | 110$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Grind Back | 42c | 109.76$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.1 | 285 | 44.9%128 W · 157 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed REKONIX | 59c | 106.18$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.83 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddbd…bcb5backed REKONIX | 58c | 103.19$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.19 | 140 | 30.7%43 W · 97 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc566…f8d7backed REKONIX | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 158 | 43%68 W · 90 L | +9.0wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x63ce…dd2ebacked REKONIX | 59c | 88.14$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.14 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Grind Back | 35c | 87.8$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.95 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabc1…eaa0backed REKONIX | 59c | 87.48$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.87 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 53cpaid | +93.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x316f…795abacked Grind Back | 48c | 87$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.92 | 283 | 36.4%103 W · 180 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed REKONIX | 55c | 85.19$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.53 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf768…7831backed Grind Back | 48c | 83.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.96 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3561…1bfebacked Grind Back | 22c | 79.35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.51 | 123 | 57.7%71 W · 52 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Grind Back | 25c | 76.6$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.78 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…4afcbacked REKONIX | 44c | 75.79$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.44 | 143 | 43.4%62 W · 81 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd439…21d3backed REKONIX | 41c | 72.38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.38 | 316 | 44.9%142 W · 174 L | -18.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed REKONIX | 55c | 70$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.7 | 294 | 32.3%95 W · 199 L | -19.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…9867backed REKONIX | 46c | 64.27$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.99 | 925 | 61.2%566 W · 359 L | +53.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Grind Back | 40c | 60.45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 913 | 56.1%512 W · 401 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94f4…77a2backed Grind Back | 37c | 57.51$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.45 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Grind Back | 42c | 57.38$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.1 | 410 | 37.3%153 W · 257 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x431a…50d7backed REKONIX | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 213 | 44.1%94 W · 119 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae91…a6f0backed REKONIX | 53c | 50.26$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.7 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3d…1f52backed Grind Back | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed REKONIX | 55c | 47.17$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.1 | 520 | 46.5%242 W · 278 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed REKONIX | 36c | 41.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.57 | 194 | 49%95 W · 99 L | +11.8wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Grind Back | 35c | 36.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -5.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -28%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04ed…172abacked Grind Back | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 322 | 52.5%169 W · 153 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee84…becbbacked REKONIX | 62c | 20.61$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.83 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c73…e6cebacked REKONIX | 75c | 20.11$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.11 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: REKONIX vs Grind Back - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: REKONIX vs Grind Back (BO3) - Esports World Cup Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier PlayoffsREKONIX won
- Dota 2: REKONIX vs Grind Back - Game 1 WinnerREKONIX won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.