Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: REKONIX vs Grind Back (BO3) - Esports World Cup Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfcaf66794314571d23f477cceb362c0fe5693b65d23aeb103c241aa4fd31a41c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- REKONIXof REKONIX, Grind Back
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,410
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,452
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,410 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5779…54adbacked REKONIX | 69c | 3,633$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,132.64 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Grind Back | 39c | 2,000$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784.99 | 177 | 37.9%67 W · 110 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked Grind Back | 24c | 1,480$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.5 | 692 | 35.3%244 W · 448 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad7f…d0d4backed REKONIX | 74c | 1,190$884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.92 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +38%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed REKONIX | 65c | 1,087$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.28 | 121 | 49.6%60 W · 61 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Grind Back | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 268 | 46.6%125 W · 143 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98eb…8c14backed REKONIX | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1760…693cbacked Grind Back | 39c | 960$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c67…e40ebacked REKONIX | 60c | 834.19$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.86 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaf…d959backed REKONIX | 66c | 794.28$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.05 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked Grind Back | 34c | 724.87$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 207 | 27.5%57 W · 150 L | -11.8wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Grind Back | 23c | 713.35$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.94 | 233 | 42.9%100 W · 133 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Grind Back | 38c | 699.98$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.99 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 36cpaid | +89.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x526e…ce46backed Grind Back | 37c | 664.13$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed Grind Back | 42c | 626.86$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.12 | 335 | 41.2%138 W · 197 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68d1…afd3backed Grind Back | 39c | 600$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked REKONIX | 75c | 587.65$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.65 | 531 | 39.5%210 W · 321 L | -37.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Grind Back | 37c | 575.83$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.23 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked REKONIX | 62c | 568.12$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.89 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd170…f7bcbacked REKONIX | 61c | 560$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…b8debacked Grind Back | 32c | 539.61$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.05 | 695 | 52.2%363 W · 332 L | +45.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Grind Back | 27c | 521.59$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.5 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked REKONIX | 58c | 510.34$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.34 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +10.3wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdec9…b8abbacked Grind Back | 48c | 439.98$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.19 | 147 | 50.3%74 W · 73 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Grind Back | 25c | 439.92$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.15 | 303 | 57.1%173 W · 130 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe56b…2c03backed Grind Back | 19c | 428$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.24 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Grind Back | 30c | 400$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 75 | 41.3%31 W · 44 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd02a…4771backed REKONIX | 52c | 365.38$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.38 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed Grind Back | 35c | 346.98$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.55 | 356 | 37.1%132 W · 224 L | -9.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked REKONIX | 79c | 343.15$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.39 | 1,443 | 48.7%703 W · 740 L | +29.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…8d0fbacked REKONIX | 57c | 328.44$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.77 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked REKONIX | 73c | 326.31$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.36 | 1,894 | 47.7%903 W · 991 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f30…3aeebacked REKONIX | 73c | 324.65$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.3 | 141 | 57.4%81 W · 60 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07fa…f5cdbacked Grind Back | 40c | 324.63$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.94 | 459 | 40.5%186 W · 273 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3e…a78abacked REKONIX | 61c | 319.61$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.61 | 412 | 44.7%184 W · 228 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Grind Back | 16c | 301.18$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.55 | 1,691 | 41.4%700 W · 991 L | -40.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Grind Back | 32c | 300.13$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.17 | 334 | 45.2%151 W · 183 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xace6…5556backed Grind Back | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.65 | 233 | 47.2%110 W · 123 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Grind Back | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 210 | 45.7%96 W · 114 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Grind Back | 42c | 299.99$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.23 | 264 | 45.1%119 W · 145 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9469…e639backed Grind Back | 19c | 298.05$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x461c…f74bbacked Grind Back | 44c | 296.85$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.41 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c67…a479backed REKONIX | 64c | 294.64$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.07 | 99 | 56.6%56 W · 43 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe7…ca35backed REKONIX | 67c | 291.86$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.6 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c2…4933backed Grind Back | 25c | 289.88$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.67 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Grind Back | 31c | 263.59$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.8 | 121 | 55.4%67 W · 54 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +134.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Grind Back | 12c | 263.5$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.45 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1052…441bbacked REKONIX | 76c | 261.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.62 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa75b…ea01backed Grind Back | 20c | 246.92$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.28 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.25per pick | 41cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked REKONIX | 53c | 242.66$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.99 | 138 | 54.3%75 W · 63 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…75bbbacked REKONIX | 62c | 241.94$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.94 | 612 | 49.7%304 W · 308 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6f…3be7backed Grind Back | 34c | 239.26$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x316f…795abacked Grind Back | 14c | 239.09$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.53 | 283 | 36.4%103 W · 180 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03c5…5f61backed Grind Back | 34c | 228.74$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.77 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed REKONIX | 76c | 220.98$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.05 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Grind Back | 25c | 201.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.33 | 653 | 37.2%243 W · 410 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6691…5a83backed Grind Back | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Grind Back | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 577 | 35%202 W · 375 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f31…a362backed REKONIX | 68c | 195.87$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.78 | 165 | 58.2%96 W · 69 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked REKONIX | 72c | 183.64$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.51 | 2,367 | 47.3%1,119 W · 1,248 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe187…a69cbacked REKONIX | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 43 | 67.4%29 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked Grind Back | 17c | 155.67$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 93 | 22.6%21 W · 72 L | -7.1wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed Grind Back | 42c | 150$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 535 | 33.8%181 W · 354 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…e006backed Grind Back | 14c | 150$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +34%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd2…f5c4backed REKONIX | 76c | 149.2$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.81 | 78 | 64.1%50 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5747…7fdfbacked REKONIX | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…ca8cbacked Grind Back | 15c | 143.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.94 | 535 | 58.9%315 W · 220 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1e…6f16backed REKONIX | 75c | 142.01$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.01 | 53 | 66%35 W · 18 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed REKONIX | 66c | 139.99$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.9 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa55c…1066backed Grind Back | 35c | 135.89$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.56 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -8.5wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -33%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed REKONIX | 62c | 135.53$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.5 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f8…891cbacked REKONIX | 61c | 135$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.28 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x741a…ea3ebacked REKONIX | 59c | 133.9$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.9 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -6.6wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed Grind Back | 23c | 130$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 213 | 33.3%71 W · 142 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…47e7backed REKONIX | 52c | 129.99$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 408 | 44.1%180 W · 228 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…fd05backed Grind Back | 47c | 128.09$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.2 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…f8d8backed REKONIX | 59c | 128$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.61 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Grind Back | 17c | 127.06$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.61 | 520 | 46.5%242 W · 278 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed Grind Back | 22c | 120$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…d3aebacked Grind Back | 34c | 119.57$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.65 | 145 | 42.1%61 W · 84 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Grind Back | 23c | 114.5$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.22 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -5.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -28%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed Grind Back | 26c | 112$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.64 | 245 | 27.3%67 W · 178 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa548…8149backed REKONIX | 61c | 107$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed REKONIX | 57c | 101.9$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.6 | 139 | 41.7%58 W · 81 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd4…7401backed Grind Back | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 354 | 30.5%108 W · 246 L | -27.2wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Grind Back | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 690 | 33.3%230 W · 460 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae8e…08f9backed Grind Back | 34c | 99.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0c…e685backed REKONIX | 64c | 98.22$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -22%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…1816backed REKONIX | 61c | 96.72$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed Grind Back | 27c | 95.73$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.72 | 410 | 55.1%226 W · 184 L | +39.6wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…f7f0backed REKONIX | 68c | 92.65$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.65 | 515 | 50.9%262 W · 253 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6be…f6a3backed Grind Back | 31c | 90.25$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.19 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94f4…77a2backed Grind Back | 21c | 82.85$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Grind Back | 20c | 82.63$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.76 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb829…4f5ebacked Grind Back | 30c | 80$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 176 | 36.9%65 W · 111 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0580…f78bbacked Grind Back | 30c | 80$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 131 | 29.8%39 W · 92 L | -7.7wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…7ea5backed REKONIX | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 537 | 57.7%310 W · 227 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Grind Back | 38c | 76$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 250 | 47.6%119 W · 131 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked REKONIX | 52c | 74.77$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.89 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee9d…29a1backed Grind Back | 31c | 73.35$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.56 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: REKONIX vs Grind Back (BO3) - Esports World Cup Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: REKONIX vs Grind Back - Game 1 WinnerREKONIX won
- Dota 2: REKONIX vs Grind Back - Game 2 WinnerREKONIX won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.