TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0760…80f8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
23
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Valorant, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category Valorant at 51 out of 100; worst CS2 at 37.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2last resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT1421.4%3 W · 11 L-4.4wins-0.32per pick53cpaid-49.5%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
CS2 — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs MEIA NOITE (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #1 Playoffsbacked MEIA NOITE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.58
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs BET-M 33 (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games European Qualifier Group Stagebacked ex-RUBY · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$289Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$383.17
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs INOX Division (BO1) - IEM Beijing: Global Open Qualifier Playoffsbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,177Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+62.5%+$735.71
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Leo Team (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked GenOne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$313Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$313.48
Counter-Strike: Falcons Force vs Endless Journey (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Group Stagebacked Falcons Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.56
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs SPARTA (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games European Qualifier Group Stagebacked Nuclear TigeRES · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.94
Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 Group Stagebacked Bushido Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$344Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$343.58
Counter-Strike: mellren vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffsbacked Bushido Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.19
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs ENCE (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Group Stagebacked Lavked · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$204.5
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+211.4%+$60.2
Counter-Strike: Drip Too Hard vs HyperSpirit (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 Group Stagebacked Drip Too Hard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$153.81
Counter-Strike: Noir Verse vs ENCE (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffsbacked ENCE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$415Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$415.28
Counter-Strike: Fire Flux Esports vs Entropy (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Group Abacked Entropy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.62
Counter-Strike: Esport Academy Copenhagen vs Permitta Esports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Group Dbacked Permitta Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.02
All 14 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT70%0 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
Lol — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorantlast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: G2 Esports vs M80 (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-Inbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$57.15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: RE.Arise vs Team Lynx (BO3) - EPL Masters 2 Play-In Group Bbacked RE.Arise · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$126.7
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.