CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs ENCE (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd457ab4c261a95eb371826dc7d6d004fcda0c6a5a25cf450461ec539db0f105d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ENCEof Lavked, ENCE
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,272
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,415
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,272 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked ENCE | 44c | 6,874$3,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,849.56 | 756 | 52.6%398 W · 358 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked ENCE | 43c | 4,503$1,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,574.52 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd385…34fbbacked Lavked | 56c | 3,994$2,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,236.73 | 138 | 52.9%73 W · 65 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed Lavked | 58c | 3,822$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200.09 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked ENCE | 45c | 1,555$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.25 | 179 | 54.2%97 W · 82 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x732f…f245backed Lavked | 55c | 1,288$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.13 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddbc…5dcebacked Lavked | 56c | 1,195$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.73 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed ENCE | 44c | 991.13$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.68 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe453…256ebacked Lavked | 56c | 767.86$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Lavked | 7c | 740.56$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.64 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbaa…a47fbacked Lavked | 56c | 582.43$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.16 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked Lavked | 55c | 499.99$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.99 | 165 | 50.3%83 W · 82 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd677…7579backed Lavked | 56c | 389$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.95 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0760…80f8backed Lavked | 55c | 370.02$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.5 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -4.4wins | -0.32per pick | 53cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa005…abb1backed Lavked | 58c | 342.79$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.57 | 168 | 47.6%80 W · 88 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9e…fbfdbacked Lavked | 56c | 339.22$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191 | 545 | 43.5%237 W · 308 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed ENCE | 43c | 331.39$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.45 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Lavked | 19c | 327.31$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.06 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e83…00aabacked Lavked | 53c | 323.14$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.44 | 171 | 42.1%72 W · 99 L | -9.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Lavked | 55c | 300$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 991 | 48.3%479 W · 512 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x060d…d746backed ENCE | 40c | 170$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…33dabacked Lavked | 57c | 168.98$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.1 | 224 | 55.8%125 W · 99 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked ENCE | 76c | 156.92$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.51 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1614…0bedbacked Lavked | 54c | 154.08$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.2 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | -9.0wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1612…9dedbacked Lavked | 55c | 140$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 255 | 51.8%132 W · 123 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08e0…f4a0backed ENCE | 43c | 139.53$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.53 | 838 | 56.1%470 W · 368 L | +31.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed ENCE | 45c | 125$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.75 | 325 | 54.8%178 W · 147 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa417…9f8cbacked Lavked | 56c | 114$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.84 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c55…8dedbacked Lavked | 59c | 111.56$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.66 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | -10.4wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8a…24c2backed ENCE | 46c | 109$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.86 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6d…ab76backed Lavked | 54c | 107$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.78 | 338 | 49.7%168 W · 170 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed ENCE | 73c | 106.3$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.6 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Lavked | 51c | 103.17$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.12 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x050e…d92fbacked ENCE | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 222 | 57.2%127 W · 95 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked ENCE | 44c | 80$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.8 | 167 | 38.9%65 W · 102 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ef…f7a1backed ENCE | 46c | 76.59$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.61 | 133 | 58.6%78 W · 55 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Lavked | 20c | 74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfd1…9ac5backed Lavked | 56c | 72.27$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.47 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked ENCE | 62c | 72$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.13 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked ENCE | 64c | 70$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.94 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1273…8eddbacked ENCE | 46c | 64.7$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.94 | 209 | 57.4%120 W · 89 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f38…13c8backed Lavked | 55c | 60$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.2 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Lavked | 58c | 59.77$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.59 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Lavked | 67c | 57.62$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.61 | 351 | 41.6%146 W · 205 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62e8…88a1backed Lavked | 55c | 57.16$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.53 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd4f…a4d3backed Lavked | 56c | 54.94$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.62 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb54c…7f56backed ENCE | 46c | 53.96$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.14 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc53d…7ffcbacked Lavked | 57c | 51.34$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.26 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed ENCE | 45c | 48.98$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked ENCE | 46c | 46$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.84 | 495 | 36.4%180 W · 315 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x571c…b9f9backed Lavked | 60c | 38.48$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.09 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -4.1wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…ca3fbacked Lavked | 55c | 37.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.41 | 358 | 47.5%170 W · 188 L | -13.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed ENCE | 74c | 34.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3546…1a58backed ENCE | 33c | 30.31$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.31 | 235 | 26.4%62 W · 173 L | -15.2wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70a0…2dc3backed ENCE | 33c | 30.31$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.31 | 176 | 26.1%46 W · 130 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Lavked | 58c | 30.02$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.41 | 1,068 | 55%587 W · 481 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7a…b8bdbacked ENCE | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 70 | 68.6%48 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd5…e5e7backed Lavked | 57c | 21.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.08 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa32…a296backed ENCE | 72c | 15.63$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.37 | 37 | 83.8%31 W · 6 L | +4.9wins | +0.13per pick | 71cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Lavked vs ENCE (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: Lavked vs ENCE - Map 1 WinnerENCE won
- Counter-Strike: Lavked vs ENCE - Map 2 WinnerENCE won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.