TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Fire Flux Esports vs Entropy (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Group A

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Fire Flux Esportsof Fire Flux Esports, Entropy
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$72,978
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$80,585

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,978 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf395…23ddbacked Entropy48c10,029$4,771 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,770.77250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4959…f2d0backed Entropy35c3,822$1,324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,323.782147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed Entropy5c3,811$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.262,52043%1,084 W · 1,436 L+42.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5135…7217backed Fire Flux Esports56c3,717$2,093 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,623.541,60552.6%845 W · 760 L+57.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Fire Flux Esports53c2,633$1,405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,228.343,16545.7%1,446 W · 1,719 L-74.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8eb…0f59backed Entropy18c1,830$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.4321545.6%98 W · 117 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa16b…b541backed Fire Flux Esports51c1,647$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$806.8943055.1%237 W · 193 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Fire Flux Esports75c1,522$1,135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.121,56729.8%467 W · 1,100 L-86.0wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-39%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1bcd…0a69backed Fire Flux Esports53c1,136$599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$537.339047.8%43 W · 47 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe453…256ebacked Entropy40c1,127$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4501741.2%7 W · 10 L-2.5wins-0.15per pick56cpaid-31%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbadb…31a7backed Entropy40c999.97$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.9911844.9%53 W · 65 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2bb…bd8ebacked Entropy56c873.98$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.5418135.9%65 W · 116 L-15.0wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-38%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Fire Flux Esports67c845.54$563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.0187330.9%270 W · 603 L-62.0wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-35.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Fire Flux Esports59c811.75$478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.113,41529.3%1,001 W · 2,414 L-275.1wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa1bf…f357backed Entropy44c632.83$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.967445.9%34 W · 40 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2cc5…6984backed Fire Flux Esports49c623$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.5742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Fire Flux Esports66c600.06$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.895,26231.3%1,647 W · 3,615 L-381.6wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8f41…260ebacked Fire Flux Esports55c600$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27015849.4%78 W · 80 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7460…de6ebacked Entropy41c541.3$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.2643751.7%226 W · 211 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1285…6a2fbacked Fire Flux Esports56c522.26$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.621643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3a…9e14backed Fire Flux Esports56c499.98$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.993548.6%17 W · 18 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x96fe…e78cbacked Fire Flux Esports60c490.27$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.111442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbae0…de73backed Fire Flux Esports65c456.11$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.641752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+29.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f18…8adbbacked Fire Flux Esports67c438.28$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.63450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Fire Flux Esports52c436.32$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.892,60830.9%807 W · 1,801 L-103.7wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x089c…33dabacked Fire Flux Esports54c431.98$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.5222455.8%125 W · 99 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd84d…cc32backed Fire Flux Esports49c429.64$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.6432748.6%159 W · 168 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f8e…0c69backed Fire Flux Esports46c405.39$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.1226939%105 W · 164 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Fire Flux Esports56c345.02$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.062,77037.4%1,036 W · 1,734 L-139.7wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf404…daaabacked Fire Flux Esports48c310$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.29734%33 W · 64 L-8.8wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-26.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1b59…0ba0backed Entropy18c310$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.1254938.4%211 W · 338 L+11.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0760…80f8backed Entropy43c287.29$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.621216.7%2 W · 10 L-4.8wins-0.40per pick56cpaid-60.5%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x54bc…b4e9backed Fire Flux Esports44c284.02$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.024845.8%22 W · 26 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1433…af79backed Fire Flux Esports60c251.25$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.251435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-33.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa533…acacbacked Fire Flux Esports60c250$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10023658.5%138 W · 98 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Entropy50c246.41$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.395,81037.8%2,196 W · 3,614 L+78.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x114e…dcefbacked Fire Flux Esports69c237.9$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.584151.2%21 W · 20 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-19.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9eb5…4414backed Fire Flux Esports60c211.99$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.91837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick57cpaid-37.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc0e4…dd38backed Fire Flux Esports59c211.58$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.7634356.6%194 W · 149 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xba8e…8e0dbacked Entropy57c209.34$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.8250358.6%295 W · 208 L-1.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe54e…4a99backed Fire Flux Esports65c207.14$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.24761.7%29 W · 18 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Fire Flux Esports62c206.18$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.857545.3%34 W · 41 L-9.2wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-24.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed Fire Flux Esports79c196.63$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.0913337.6%50 W · 83 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-30.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d89…08f8backed Entropy37c189.16$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.063636.1%13 W · 23 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c6d…ab76backed Fire Flux Esports60c189$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.632949.2%162 W · 167 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb21b…88f9backed Entropy44c181.82$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8046354%250 W · 213 L+12.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x86f8…2ed6backed Entropy58c172.36$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002147.6%10 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.13per pick61cpaid-27.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbb4e…dd78backed Fire Flux Esports46c165.76$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.94683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.32per pick52cpaid+74.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1612…9dedbacked Fire Flux Esports57c162.99$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.6925252%131 W · 121 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Fire Flux Esports42c152.5$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.184,66143.5%2,027 W · 2,634 L-85.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1431…94d0backed Entropy53c147.87$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.676254.8%34 W · 28 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Fire Flux Esports64c136.42$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.2167645%304 W · 372 L-24.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b51…cf1ebacked Entropy35c132$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.23831.6%12 W · 26 L-4.6wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-37.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Entropy46c121.23$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.92,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3211…9ee3backed Fire Flux Esports48c120$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.2918351.4%94 W · 89 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb733…0261backed Fire Flux Esports44c113.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.94540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e2c…787cbacked Fire Flux Esports66c110.7$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.4872644.4%322 W · 404 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-24.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3df3…1411backed Fire Flux Esports50c109.58$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.794751.1%24 W · 23 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Entropy59c105.84$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.222,49141.1%1,023 W · 1,468 L-114.2wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1620…285dbacked Entropy41c100$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.42839.3%11 W · 17 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-30.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x923b…389abacked Entropy47c98.8$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.731346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-18.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa005…abb1backed Fire Flux Esports56c97.89$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.815746.5%73 W · 84 L-10.6wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-15.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Entropy55c97.11$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.731,71052.3%895 W · 815 L-73.4wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Fire Flux Esports48c96.23$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.0874633.4%249 W · 497 L-48.6wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-30.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2a7e…9dc6backed Fire Flux Esports63c93.66$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.3420755.1%114 W · 93 L+11.2wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+17.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcb4e…2a97backed Fire Flux Esports60c88.63$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.45771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.18per pick54cpaid+29.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Fire Flux Esports49c86.12$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.2748548.7%236 W · 249 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa16b…c4f0backed Fire Flux Esports71c85.44$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.42759.3%16 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b27…0635backed Entropy55c80.22$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.0530949.2%152 W · 157 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b88…16e6backed Entropy38c79.62$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9815823.4%37 W · 121 L-18.0wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-44.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x87f7…8f45backed Entropy48c78.64$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.645442.6%23 W · 31 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x96f9…6c15backed Entropy66c75.84$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506457.8%37 W · 27 L+5.2wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7129…4517backed Entropy41c75$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.751,06937.8%404 W · 665 L+35.1wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+10.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0063…2dd2backed Entropy58c74.12$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.9139064.4%251 W · 139 L+47.6wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+10.7%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xdfa1…ed56backed Entropy39c73$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.83450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb91c…ed66backed Fire Flux Esports53c65.94$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.2669041.9%289 W · 401 L-18.2wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c55…8dedbacked Fire Flux Esports61c64.61$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.1410346.6%48 W · 55 L-10.4wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-18.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Entropy52c64.22$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.323,88836.6%1,423 W · 2,465 L-197.3wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xece0…7dc9backed Entropy38c63.16$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244949%24 W · 25 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd1e…ac87backed Entropy43c62.81$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.112650%13 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Fire Flux Esports54c62.45$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.4916651.8%86 W · 80 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf76…ffeabacked Entropy30c53$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.922737.4%85 W · 142 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Fire Flux Esports47c50.59$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.022,45434.4%845 W · 1,609 L-189.3wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x399d…bf83backed Fire Flux Esports36c50$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324259.5%25 W · 17 L+8.6wins+0.20per pick39cpaid+43.3%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xc53d…7ffcbacked Fire Flux Esports54c48.22$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.143554.3%19 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6865…7b0cbacked Fire Flux Esports46c46.18$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.02955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+13.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x94d2…cfbdbacked Fire Flux Esports46c43.57$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.332,08447%979 W · 1,105 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Fire Flux Esports65c43$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.052,34346.7%1,094 W · 1,249 L-49.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d16…e42bbacked Entropy47c42.4$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011460.5%69 W · 45 L+10.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+19.6%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xc809…14ddbacked Fire Flux Esports60c41.67$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.671973.7%14 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick68cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x40e9…494fbacked Fire Flux Esports51c41.05$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.113743.2%16 W · 21 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-17%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Fire Flux Esports45c41$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.592,11942.9%909 W · 1,210 L-66.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Entropy67c40.7$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.161,83041.6%762 W · 1,068 L-68.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8616…3bb0backed Entropy52c38.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2054850%274 W · 274 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x676b…f744backed Fire Flux Esports63c37.98$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.981266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe49c…7878backed Fire Flux Esports63c36.21$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.332100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+44.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd426…a727backed Fire Flux Esports49c36.15$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.57366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+41.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38f9…5e1abacked Fire Flux Esports49c35.96$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.38850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3d7…a1c0backed Fire Flux Esports62c35.67$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.67366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick63cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Fire Flux Esports49c35$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.8533327.9%93 W · 240 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-22.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.