CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Falcons Force vs Endless Journey (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0bc644c3d83b6a50ec5b44eead77cce84900fc8935035a544ca79eb93989f175
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Endless Journeyof Falcons Force, Endless Journey
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,729
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,493
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,729 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2f8e…0c69backed Endless Journey | 38c | 899.99$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.4 | 274 | 38.3%105 W · 169 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07e8…faaebacked Endless Journey | 57c | 504.86$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.84 | 153 | 46.4%71 W · 82 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe888…0364backed Falcons Force | 47c | 482.49$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1508…0648backed Endless Journey | 61c | 326.73$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.73 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3187…f61abacked Endless Journey | 49c | 305.98$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.05 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +3.8wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Falcons Force | 40c | 271.24$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.81 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Falcons Force | 52c | 259.87$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.95 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Falcons Force | 62c | 240.48$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.1 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Endless Journey | 48c | 196.33$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.86 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0760…80f8backed Falcons Force | 51c | 193.23$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.56 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -4.4wins | -0.32per pick | 53cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Falcons Force | 43c | 183.23$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.6 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Endless Journey | 55c | 177.51$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.14 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…4b1dbacked Falcons Force | 52c | 172.82$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.42 | 341 | 40.8%139 W · 202 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31c7…eca3backed Falcons Force | 52c | 163.24$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +11%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Falcons Force | 36c | 143.5$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.86 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Falcons Force | 44c | 137.62$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.06 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83e0…82abbacked Falcons Force | 48c | 111.03$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Endless Journey | 63c | 102.94$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.35 | 199 | 53.8%107 W · 92 L | +10.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Falcons Force | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Falcons Force | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 835 | 43.6%364 W · 471 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…7a52backed Falcons Force | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd156…8569backed Endless Journey | 72c | 83.86$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.86 | 30 | 80%24 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Falcons Force | 36c | 70.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.38 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7a…b8bdbacked Endless Journey | 65c | 61.54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 70 | 68.6%48 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed Endless Journey | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1,076 | 37.6%405 W · 671 L | +34.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed Falcons Force | 48c | 59$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.19 | 457 | 48.1%220 W · 237 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Endless Journey | 49c | 58.22$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.48 | 1,068 | 55%587 W · 481 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad2c…4eecbacked Endless Journey | 49c | 41.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.16 | 512 | 52.1%267 W · 245 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa005…abb1backed Falcons Force | 50c | 38.96$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 168 | 47.6%80 W · 88 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9207…d26ebacked Endless Journey | 59c | 34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 9 | 100%9 W · 0 L | +3.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x04a1…d6e6backed Falcons Force | 49c | 33.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.33 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Endless Journey | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d2d…b69dbacked Endless Journey | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 117 | 61.5%72 W · 45 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44e9…1fb0backed Falcons Force | 50c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Falcons Force | 52c | 25.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.17 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Endless Journey | 59c | 24.96$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.13 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed Falcons Force | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb697…5d0cbacked Endless Journey | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb21b…88f9backed Endless Journey | 56c | 21.34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.39 | 470 | 54%254 W · 216 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bc…7e01backed Falcons Force | 55c | 21.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x395a…eb72backed Falcons Force | 51c | 20.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 75 | 72%54 W · 21 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb47…4737backed Falcons Force | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 121 | 76%92 W · 29 L | +10.5wins | +0.09per pick | 67cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x12ee…0439backed Endless Journey | 53c | 18.9$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.88 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Falcons Force vs Endless Journey (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: Falcons Force vs Endless Journey - Map 1 WinnerEndless Journey won
- Counter-Strike: Falcons Force vs Endless Journey - Map 2 WinnerEndless Journey won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.