CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Falcons Force vs Endless Journey - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9df1647a4db0921d39f47bee83e86857c4c419ef51c69a495b733508d91ade38
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Endless Journeyof Falcons Force, Endless Journey
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,825
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,285
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,825 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2666…8d0dbacked Falcons Force | 47c | 5,339$2,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,526.66 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Endless Journey | 48c | 2,450$1,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,265.64 | 3,544 | 29.3%1,037 W · 2,507 L | -289.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4e31…b876backed Falcons Force | 62c | 1,584$976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976.06 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87a3…5857backed Endless Journey | 44c | 1,432$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.91 | 194 | 47.4%92 W · 102 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8b…7a07backed Falcons Force | 61c | 1,404$853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$853.37 | 213 | 60.1%128 W · 85 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa16b…b541backed Falcons Force | 54c | 999.97$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.98 | 439 | 54.9%241 W · 198 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7460…de6ebacked Falcons Force | 35c | 999.97$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.79 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Endless Journey | 52c | 867.13$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.69 | 3,949 | 36.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L | -201.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Endless Journey | 56c | 770.26$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.42 | 601 | 43.1%259 W · 342 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb373…d97cbacked Endless Journey | 56c | 767.05$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.49 | 594 | 45.8%272 W · 322 L | -14.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Endless Journey | 46c | 760.63$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.94 | 4,099 | 51%2,091 W · 2,008 L | +74.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Endless Journey | 61c | 674.73$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.06 | 3,267 | 45.5%1,485 W · 1,782 L | -85.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x050e…d92fbacked Falcons Force | 64c | 600$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386 | 226 | 58%131 W · 95 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdff6…1963backed Falcons Force | 52c | 572.2$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.25 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…07e5backed Endless Journey | 63c | 398.63$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.63 | 326 | 43.3%141 W · 185 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Endless Journey | 37c | 369.7$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.76 | 2,672 | 47.8%1,277 W · 1,395 L | -31.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Endless Journey | 30c | 348.7$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.82 | 4,754 | 43.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Endless Journey | 56c | 347$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.2 | 2,393 | 46.7%1,118 W · 1,275 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed Endless Journey | 65c | 331$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.6 | 505 | 48.1%243 W · 262 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Endless Journey | 67c | 330.21$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.02 | 836 | 43.5%364 W · 472 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0c…dac0backed Endless Journey | 80c | 300$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 431 | 75.9%327 W · 104 L | +24.8wins | +0.06per pick | 70cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d5…54d5backed Falcons Force | 63c | 277$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.28 | 414 | 50.7%210 W · 204 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc269…7841backed Endless Journey | 53c | 256.3$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.3 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | -10.7wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a8…d554backed Endless Journey | 68c | 248.19$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.2 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dea…e294backed Endless Journey | 54c | 235.12$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.58 | 359 | 48.5%174 W · 185 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked Falcons Force | 50c | 199.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 434 | 37.6%163 W · 271 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed Falcons Force | 25c | 179.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 569 | 38.1%217 W · 352 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d3…bab9backed Endless Journey | 36c | 177$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.28 | 171 | 43.9%75 W · 96 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Endless Journey | 70c | 150.72$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.74 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x40c2…aef7backed Endless Journey | 36c | 140$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.7 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08cc…472ebacked Endless Journey | 64c | 132.43$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.43 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -4.4wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xece5…6de0backed Falcons Force | 42c | 132$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 142 | 50%71 W · 71 L | +9.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed Endless Journey | 43c | 129$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.02 | 498 | 43%214 W · 284 L | -16.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…ecf5backed Endless Journey | 34c | 122.88$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.84 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf186…03a9backed Falcons Force | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 224 | 52.2%117 W · 107 L | +20.6wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe200…e4bfbacked Endless Journey | 79c | 98$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Endless Journey | 47c | 96.5$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.08 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Endless Journey | 44c | 96.02$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.12 | 1,121 | 42.5%476 W · 645 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Endless Journey | 28c | 88.15$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.55 | 5,034 | 37.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L | -260.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6609…4e73backed Endless Journey | 64c | 79.85$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.85 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee2…a316backed Endless Journey | 62c | 75$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.3 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9b…cbe5backed Endless Journey | 78c | 70$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.44 | 443 | 44%195 W · 248 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Endless Journey | 37c | 66.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 238 | 47.9%114 W · 124 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Endless Journey | 63c | 60$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 1,397 | 52.4%732 W · 665 L | +30.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c6c…b1d2backed Endless Journey | 51c | 59.42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.34 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8f…2aeebacked Falcons Force | 73c | 54$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.42 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -5.8wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d4…0289backed Endless Journey | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.3 | 177 | 46.3%82 W · 95 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23df…3df7backed Endless Journey | 65c | 44.77$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.77 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d2d…2be7backed Falcons Force | 28c | 43.37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +71.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e0…0d8abacked Falcons Force | 73c | 38.64$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.11 | 335 | 57.3%192 W · 143 L | -11.8wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Falcons Force | 45c | 30.71$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 597 | 3%18 W · 579 L | -221.0wins | -0.37per pick | 40cpaid | -90.7%equal weight | 11-0.36 edge/pick |
| 0x67f6…1651backed Falcons Force | 52c | 19.34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 77 | 44.2%34 W · 43 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2851…5860backed Falcons Force | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c2b…af40backed Falcons Force | 66c | 15.56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Falcons Force vs Endless Journey - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Falcons Force vs Endless Journey (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Group StageEndless Journey won
- Counter-Strike: Falcons Force vs Endless Journey - Map 1 WinnerEndless Journey won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.