Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Jenz vs Ilbirs eSports - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x26cff67d6eb03c0ad6ecd94d6c2f59b0e20af67c5a1014d93313bd2ba6047286
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ilbirs eSportsof Team Jenz, Ilbirs eSports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,904
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $64,540
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,904 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf43f…6c9dbacked Ilbirs eSports | 68c | 3,607$2,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,138.46 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.27per pick | 55cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc1de…21f5backed Ilbirs eSports | 65c | 3,000$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.97 | 304 | 52.3%159 W · 145 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdccd…f41abacked Team Jenz | 35c | 2,890$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 122 | 52.5%64 W · 58 L | +17.2wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…f067backed Ilbirs eSports | 74c | 2,608$1,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.49 | 480 | 57.1%274 W · 206 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Ilbirs eSports | 68c | 1,456$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.51 | 280 | 44.3%124 W · 156 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x880d…39bcbacked Team Jenz | 31c | 1,243$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.22 | 327 | 56.9%186 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe694…0a08backed Team Jenz | 23c | 1,240$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.34 | 181 | 52.5%95 W · 86 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87a3…5857backed Team Jenz | 14c | 1,237$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.81 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d15…a2d0backed Ilbirs eSports | 69c | 1,210$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.09 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked Team Jenz | 5c | 1,118$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.9 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6155…808ebacked Team Jenz | 38c | 999.98$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.99 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebb9…1d15backed Team Jenz | 35c | 860.42$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 95 | 35.8%34 W · 61 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddc…c874backed Ilbirs eSports | 61c | 837.18$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdc…9704backed Ilbirs eSports | 77c | 672.6$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.32 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Ilbirs eSports | 65c | 652.7$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.74 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bac…d241backed Team Jenz | 34c | 637.23$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.33 | 101 | 38.6%39 W · 62 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde30…3159backed Team Jenz | 32c | 591.01$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.59 | 195 | 47.2%92 W · 103 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…1044backed Team Jenz | 34c | 552.36$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.48 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51be…12c2backed Ilbirs eSports | 73c | 551.87$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.54 | 192 | 51%98 W · 94 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf85a…960ebacked Team Jenz | 32c | 524.14$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Team Jenz | 25c | 520.4$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.91 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf7…4b3abacked Team Jenz | 26c | 469$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.94 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5266…22acbacked Team Jenz | 34c | 448.64$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.47 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6c…0c16backed Team Jenz | 16c | 430$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.9 | 191 | 35.6%68 W · 123 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aff…b136backed Team Jenz | 14c | 400$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 324 | 45.1%146 W · 178 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Team Jenz | 33c | 395.38$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.78 | 589 | 43%253 W · 336 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked Team Jenz | 37c | 389.76$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.51 | 538 | 44.4%239 W · 299 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a99…91a9backed Ilbirs eSports | 74c | 380$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Team Jenz | 39c | 371.18$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.76 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8b…7a07backed Ilbirs eSports | 62c | 350.98$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.37 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1186…0355backed Ilbirs eSports | 65c | 345.9$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.78 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Team Jenz | 32c | 317.98$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.71 | 669 | 47.1%315 W · 354 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x050e…d92fbacked Ilbirs eSports | 73c | 300$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1b…ca93backed Team Jenz | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +5.0wins | +0.24per pick | 38cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…0d0fbacked Team Jenz | 30c | 298.84$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.76 | 377 | 54.9%207 W · 170 L | +20.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7a…8238backed Team Jenz | 31c | 291.93$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.9 | 77 | 35.1%27 W · 50 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Jenz | 24c | 281.36$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.88 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Team Jenz | 25c | 281.24$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.27 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x242c…ddd2backed Team Jenz | 34c | 267.25$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 214 | 47.2%101 W · 113 L | +16.7wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Team Jenz | 9c | 266.11$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.97 | 785 | 16.6%130 W · 655 L | -135.4wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xcadf…b2e3backed Team Jenz | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…f081backed Team Jenz | 28c | 228$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.84 | 156 | 39.1%61 W · 95 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3b…be27backed Team Jenz | 9c | 227.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 210 | 47.6%100 W · 110 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Ilbirs eSports | 74c | 224.42$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.03 | 125 | 59.2%74 W · 51 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Team Jenz | 25c | 203.6$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.26 | 793 | 41.7%331 W · 462 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab05…52e9backed Team Jenz | 35c | 203.29$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.15 | 174 | 48.9%85 W · 89 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d1…afbfbacked Team Jenz | 5c | 203.12$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed Team Jenz | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 437 | 38.4%168 W · 269 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d34…e654backed Team Jenz | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +73.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…f1e0backed Ilbirs eSports | 69c | 185$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.14 | 813 | 45.1%367 W · 446 L | -26.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d59…8b19backed Team Jenz | 22c | 183.26$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.83 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf186…03a9backed Ilbirs eSports | 68c | 179.55$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.66 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…89ebbacked Team Jenz | 30c | 172.36$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.71 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75d…0717backed Ilbirs eSports | 60c | 171.03$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.41 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x46e4…c6dabacked Team Jenz | 13c | 169.14$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.56 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc057…0c9abacked Team Jenz | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d16…e42bbacked Ilbirs eSports | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Team Jenz | 40c | 155.26$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.53 | 325 | 48.9%159 W · 166 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81a9…df08backed Ilbirs eSports | 69c | 144$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.64 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -6.8wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x30d1…6ee7backed Ilbirs eSports | 68c | 143.76$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.92 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82a1…e38bbacked Team Jenz | 24c | 141.97$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.45 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43a2…646dbacked Ilbirs eSports | 67c | 140$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.8 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a9…e7d8backed Team Jenz | 34c | 139.72$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.39 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f4…c1e4backed Team Jenz | 31c | 133.52$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.98 | 426 | 39.4%168 W · 258 L | -39.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Team Jenz | 26c | 131.19$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.23 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Team Jenz | 31c | 129.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.3 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec96…f5d7backed Ilbirs eSports | 70c | 128.26$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.26 | 372 | 53%197 W · 175 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff77…b6b4backed Team Jenz | 38c | 126.05$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Team Jenz | 25c | 122.65$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.36 | 535 | 38.5%206 W · 329 L | -26.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc37d…e586backed Team Jenz | 34c | 120.5$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 387 | 59.4%230 W · 157 L | +26.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88f2…a6c1backed Ilbirs eSports | 69c | 116.59$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.65 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Ilbirs eSports | 66c | 114.48$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.42 | 520 | 46.5%242 W · 278 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed Team Jenz | 35c | 114.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 595 | 56.6%337 W · 258 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…c9f4backed Team Jenz | 39c | 106.54$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.55 | 150 | 68%102 W · 48 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x072e…df3abacked Team Jenz | 34c | 105.18$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.76 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x912f…b25bbacked Team Jenz | 25c | 102$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked Ilbirs eSports | 68c | 99.99$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 658 | 63.1%415 W · 243 L | +17.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Ilbirs eSports | 69c | 98.87$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.13 | 175 | 37.1%65 W · 110 L | -13.9wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x142f…19f9backed Team Jenz | 36c | 81.42$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 234 | 42.7%100 W · 134 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x788e…e086backed Ilbirs eSports | 67c | 74.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.34 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4078…a7f7backed Ilbirs eSports | 59c | 70.39$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.94 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc925…6d24backed Ilbirs eSports | 70c | 67.98$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.23 | 416 | 32.7%136 W · 280 L | -37.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x69fa…e259backed Ilbirs eSports | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.52 | 282 | 52.1%147 W · 135 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9f…1f47backed Team Jenz | 32c | 64$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.66 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Ilbirs eSports | 66c | 61.15$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.77 | 194 | 40.7%79 W · 115 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d33…6715backed Team Jenz | 35c | 57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 145 | 43.4%63 W · 82 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb140…ce3dbacked Ilbirs eSports | 70c | 56.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xab20…d9e2backed Ilbirs eSports | 67c | 52.63$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x789a…3dfabacked Team Jenz | 29c | 51.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Ilbirs eSports | 63c | 47.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.91 | 213 | 44.1%94 W · 119 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc622…affdbacked Ilbirs eSports | 60c | 45.93$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.14 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde55…1d2abacked Ilbirs eSports | 67c | 44.76$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.77 | 71 | 64.8%46 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Team Jenz | 34c | 43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 645 | 47.8%308 W · 337 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Team Jenz | 35c | 42.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42c7…c415backed Ilbirs eSports | 73c | 38.48$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.49 | 45 | 68.9%31 W · 14 L | +5.3wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Ilbirs eSports | 67c | 34.5$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 108 | 33.3%36 W · 72 L | -13.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed Ilbirs eSports | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 971 | 42.7%415 W · 556 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe34c…ca55backed Ilbirs eSports | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67f6…1651backed Ilbirs eSports | 69c | 21.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5d…ae81backed Ilbirs eSports | 79c | 18.25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Jenz vs Ilbirs eSports - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Jenz vs Ilbirs eSports (BO3) - EPL Masters Group AIlbirs eSports won
- Dota 2: Team Jenz vs Ilbirs eSports - Game 2 WinnerIlbirs eSports won
- Game 1: Any Player Rampage?No won
- Game 2: Any Player Rampage?No won
- Game Handicap: ILL (-1.5) vs Team Jenz (+1.5)Ilbirs eSports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.