TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc057…0c9a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
165
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: CS2, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 51 out of 100; worst World Politics at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT7830.8%24 W · 54 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 78 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: WBT vs Noir Verse (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffsbacked Noir Verse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs HAVU (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 Group Stagebacked Leo Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+166.7%+$50
Counter-Strike: IMHOWeRGOAT vs Aritmije (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #8 Playoffsbacked Aritmije · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Fire Flux Esports vs Phantom Academy - Map 2 Winnerbacked Phantom Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+147.3%+$32.41
Counter-Strike: Passion Academy vs SINQU Rehti (BO3) - European Pro League Regular Group Bbacked SINQU Rehti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: Fluxo W7M vs DUSTY (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 2backed DUSTY · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Galactik rebels (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 4backed Galactik rebels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Counter-Strike: Fluxo W7M vs DUSTY - Map 1 Winnerbacked DUSTY · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs CYBERSHOKE Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Black Phoenix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.8
Counter-Strike: Spirit HU vs Acend (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 14backed Spirit HU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.1
Counter-Strike: Butterfly vs BET-M 33 (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #6 Playoffsbacked BET-M 33 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Counter-Strike: Butterfly vs BET-M 33 - Map 1 Winnerbacked BET-M 33 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+138.9%+$20.84
Counter-Strike: ECHO vs OG - Map 2 Winnerbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+221.8%+$48.8
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs NADE (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 11backed NADE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: Sangal vs zeste (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 16backed zeste · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs Yawara Esports (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group Stagebacked Yawara Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$355Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+27.6%+$97.87
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects - Map 1 Winnerbacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: ex-RUSTEC vs NEW VISION (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #6 Group Stagebacked ex-RUSTEC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$51.43
Counter-Strike: RoundsGG vs BC.Game Esports (BO1) - Elisa BreakOut Series #1 Group Bbacked RoundsGG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Counter-Strike: Sangal ALTERS vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - United21 Group Abacked Sangal ALTERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.76
Counter-Strike: regain vs Voca (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries North American Qualifier Playoffsbacked regain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: TDK vs BakS eSports (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Group Dbacked BakS eSports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+564.5%+$56.45
Counter-Strike: K28 vs Lavked (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Group Cbacked K28 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+200.2%+$40.04
Counter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs ex-MANA eSports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #6 Group Stagebacked ex-MANA eSports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Showing 25 of 78 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT6820.6%14 W · 54 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 68 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on August 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on August 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C or higher on August 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$44.87
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 84-85°F on August 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+100%+$22
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$7.97
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on August 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on August 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on August 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+249.5%+$27.45
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on August 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on August 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+86.9%+$9.56
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on August 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on August 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on August 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.98
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on August 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on August 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on August 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.91
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C on August 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on August 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on August 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on August 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Showing 25 of 68 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT60%0 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
World Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lollast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-73.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweetslast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.