CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs ex-MANA eSports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #6 Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe895915d93a9479c1332db3cba8f2beff34e5def4190904bb5bec887c7a2aa2e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rune Eatersof Rune Eaters, ex-MANA eSports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,445
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,101
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,445 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked ex-MANA eSports | 33c | 830$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.9 | 1,157 | 48.2%558 W · 599 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d99…9c27backed ex-MANA eSports | 28c | 535.23$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.34 | 144 | 39.6%57 W · 87 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed Rune Eaters | 67c | 370$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.1 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd41b…f231backed Rune Eaters | 69c | 284.06$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.06 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Rune Eaters | 67c | 254.37$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.94 | 378 | 48.1%182 W · 196 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed ex-MANA eSports | 15c | 253.37$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.11 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Rune Eaters | 79c | 226.56$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.98 | 752 | 45.3%341 W · 411 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Rune Eaters | 67c | 220$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.6 | 447 | 47.2%211 W · 236 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Rune Eaters | 75c | 217$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.27 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Rune Eaters | 78c | 212.94$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.62 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked ex-MANA eSports | 23c | 159.97$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.79 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Rune Eaters | 77c | 152.86$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.72 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Rune Eaters | 62c | 140.84$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.09 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed ex-MANA eSports | 13c | 104$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e4…dd38backed Rune Eaters | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.42 | 370 | 57%211 W · 159 L | +16.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bfb…8beabacked Rune Eaters | 67c | 97.65$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.22 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc057…0c9abacked ex-MANA eSports | 17c | 89.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 78 | 30.8%24 W · 54 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Rune Eaters | 77c | 88.12$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.48 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b39…3234backed ex-MANA eSports | 33c | 70$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 313 | 45%141 W · 172 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked ex-MANA eSports | 17c | 68.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed ex-MANA eSports | 22c | 58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked ex-MANA eSports | 33c | 57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.81 | 495 | 36.4%180 W · 315 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed ex-MANA eSports | 33c | 55$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffae…55c0backed ex-MANA eSports | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 116 | 32.8%38 W · 78 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Rune Eaters | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 131 | 42.7%56 W · 75 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Rune Eaters | 65c | 45$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed ex-MANA eSports | 30c | 44.42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 351 | 41.6%146 W · 205 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98ba…4212backed Rune Eaters | 70c | 44.29$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec8c…3bcdbacked ex-MANA eSports | 30c | 44.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 351 | 31.1%109 W · 242 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Rune Eaters | 71c | 44$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.7 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Rune Eaters | 71c | 44$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.76 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Rune Eaters | 67c | 32$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked ex-MANA eSports | 35c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Rune Eaters | 66c | 19.25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.58 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed Rune Eaters | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 457 | 48.1%220 W · 237 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs ex-MANA eSports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #6 Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs ex-MANA eSports - Map 1 WinnerRune Eaters won
- Counter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs ex-MANA eSports - Map 2 WinnerRune Eaters won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.