CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: IMHOWeRGOAT vs Aritmije (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #8 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd6bddd4b797766a4787340cdfbc27503a37bcd4644a4c10ef8d2a2993891e7e6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- IMHOWeRGOATof IMHOWeRGOAT, Aritmije
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,411
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,823
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,411 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa316…deb4backed IMHOWeRGOAT | 49c | 4,163$2,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,120.24 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.22per pick | 51cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0b…eb6dbacked Aritmije | 49c | 3,609$1,773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,772.59 | 163 | 43.6%71 W · 92 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Aritmije | 54c | 689.74$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.66 | 3,165 | 45.7%1,446 W · 1,719 L | -74.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e4…dd38backed Aritmije | 44c | 684.26$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.42 | 343 | 56.6%194 W · 149 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Aritmije | 40c | 615.46$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.14 | 873 | 30.9%270 W · 603 L | -62.0wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed IMHOWeRGOAT | 53c | 597.37$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.98 | 5,810 | 37.8%2,196 W · 3,614 L | +78.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe54e…4a99backed IMHOWeRGOAT | 63c | 441.8$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.2 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6c…0c16backed Aritmije | 20c | 371.36$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.63 | 185 | 35.1%65 W · 120 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3783…32acbacked IMHOWeRGOAT | 57c | 348.97$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.37 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +83.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0917…48aebacked Aritmije | 14c | 258.15$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.47 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Aritmije | 44c | 250.61$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.18 | 133 | 37.6%50 W · 83 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Aritmije | 60c | 228.83$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.4 | 4,661 | 43.5%2,027 W · 2,634 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b27…0635backed IMHOWeRGOAT | 53c | 202.68$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.65 | 309 | 49.2%152 W · 157 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Aritmije | 47c | 199.92$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.53 | 5,262 | 31.3%1,647 W · 3,615 L | -381.6wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4994…3e36backed Aritmije | 47c | 195.46$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.6 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…2f56backed IMHOWeRGOAT | 72c | 159.84$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.38 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +54%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc057…0c9abacked Aritmije | 13c | 150.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 78 | 30.8%24 W · 54 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf186…03a9backed IMHOWeRGOAT | 45c | 122.19$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.15 | 213 | 50.2%107 W · 106 L | +16.0wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa16b…c4f0backed Aritmije | 44c | 105.74$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.68 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b88…16e6backed Aritmije | 19c | 103.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 158 | 23.4%37 W · 121 L | -18.0wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked IMHOWeRGOAT | 54c | 86$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.92 | 184 | 45.7%84 W · 100 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ee…a0bbbacked IMHOWeRGOAT | 52c | 83.84$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.95 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd84d…cc32backed IMHOWeRGOAT | 49c | 70$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.7 | 327 | 48.6%159 W · 168 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f1…fee6backed IMHOWeRGOAT | 48c | 68.85$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.85 | 157 | 50.3%79 W · 78 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed IMHOWeRGOAT | 44c | 67.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.01 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a1…13d6backed Aritmije | 49c | 63.74$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.35 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +83.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8e…21b7backed IMHOWeRGOAT | 63c | 63.15$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.43 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5657…42a6backed IMHOWeRGOAT | 47c | 50.93$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.98 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc73a…ba42backed IMHOWeRGOAT | 48c | 49.31$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.51 | 122 | 54.9%67 W · 55 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked IMHOWeRGOAT | 73c | 48$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 1,034 | 54.9%568 W · 466 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked IMHOWeRGOAT | 79c | 40.46$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.37 | 390 | 72.3%282 W · 108 L | +37.5wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x277b…31fabacked Aritmije | 35c | 36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.77 | 109 | 48.6%53 W · 56 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x104b…e9cebacked IMHOWeRGOAT | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 182 | 81.3%148 W · 34 L | +13.1wins | +0.07per pick | 74cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Aritmije | 44c | 24.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 166 | 51.8%86 W · 80 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf066…3349backed IMHOWeRGOAT | 71c | 23.49$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.78 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0868…efe8backed IMHOWeRGOAT | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 78 | 37.2%29 W · 49 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5275…9379backed IMHOWeRGOAT | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +8.2wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x395a…eb72backed IMHOWeRGOAT | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 69 | 69.6%48 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.