CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Sangal ALTERS vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - United21 Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1c754965383b2a2bd3692ce2c5fb98944e04490e70c61c7ed0d9a4203cd33827
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fire Flux Esportsof Sangal ALTERS, Fire Flux Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,735
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,648
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,735 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked Sangal ALTERS | 18c | 620.44$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.27 | 583 | 43.6%254 W · 329 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Sangal ALTERS | 5c | 405.24$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.18 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Sangal ALTERS | 19c | 405$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.57 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf908…0aafbacked Sangal ALTERS | 20c | 403.17$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 133 | 32.3%43 W · 90 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Sangal ALTERS | 16c | 303.71$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.35 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Sangal ALTERS | 9c | 298.89$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.9 | 1,618 | 46.8%758 W · 860 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Sangal ALTERS | 9c | 294.09$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.19 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd2…1f27backed Sangal ALTERS | 11c | 276.61$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 544 | 39.7%216 W · 328 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Sangal ALTERS | 19c | 263.98$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.33 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Sangal ALTERS | 18c | 238$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.89 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Sangal ALTERS | 19c | 219.93$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.74 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Sangal ALTERS | 17c | 200.39$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.15 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf1…294fbacked Sangal ALTERS | 19c | 183.27$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.62 | 136 | 42.6%58 W · 78 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Sangal ALTERS | 18c | 178.75$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.52 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Sangal ALTERS | 15c | 131.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.86 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Sangal ALTERS | 18c | 127.75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.54 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b39…3234backed Sangal ALTERS | 21c | 120$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 313 | 45%141 W · 172 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Sangal ALTERS | 16c | 101.48$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.26 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Sangal ALTERS | 15c | 99.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc057…0c9abacked Sangal ALTERS | 20c | 93.78$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.76 | 78 | 30.8%24 W · 54 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Sangal ALTERS | 19c | 81.96$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.57 | 217 | 50.7%110 W · 107 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffae…55c0backed Sangal ALTERS | 18c | 80$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 116 | 32.8%38 W · 78 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Sangal ALTERS | 19c | 70.42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa55c…1066backed Sangal ALTERS | 15c | 70.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 366 | 49.5%181 W · 185 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Sangal ALTERS | 19c | 65.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee7…8868backed Sangal ALTERS | 16c | 63.39$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x912f…b25bbacked Fire Flux Esports | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Fire Flux Esports | 80c | 22.16$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.43 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Sangal ALTERS vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - United21 Group Athis page
- Counter-Strike: Sangal ALTERS vs Fire Flux Esports - Map 1 WinnerFire Flux Esports won
- Counter-Strike: Sangal ALTERS vs Fire Flux Esports - Map 2 WinnerFire Flux Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.