Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C or higher on August 8?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc57a17e394aa17bbc77455b8eeb77b4c0406b36c97593089a9321b97398ba97f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,796
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,466
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,796 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd251…4d37backed Yes | 58c | 1,850$1,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.46 | 1,697 | 42.4%720 W · 977 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f42…cd3cbacked No | 30c | 1,655$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 128 | 51.6%66 W · 62 L | -13.1wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x88e0…ceeebacked Yes | 57c | 1,357$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.71 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 39c | 1,351$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.91 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 53c | 1,318$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.95 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e9c…f3a8backed Yes | 52c | 880.35$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.22 | 602 | 36.5%220 W · 382 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc878…a6f3backed Yes | 70c | 654.98$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.14 | 156 | 46.8%73 W · 83 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4d…bb01backed No | 46c | 647.54$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 218 | 29.4%64 W · 154 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe40a…e4a2backed No | 38c | 636.24$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.77 | 1,316 | 56.2%740 W · 576 L | -18.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…cd07backed No | 46c | 593$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.06 | 2,311 | 57.7%1,334 W · 977 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c8…11a0backed Yes | 53c | 564.19$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.19 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +23%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d8e…735bbacked Yes | 49c | 510.85$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.53 | 237 | 31.6%75 W · 162 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 43c | 432.91$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.11 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca2…1798backed No | 30c | 369.97$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.29 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 47c | 303.46$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.02 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5203…b975backed Yes | 64c | 299.79$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.3 | 186 | 41.4%77 W · 109 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 42c | 297.15$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.84 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked No | 34c | 282.5$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.42 | 722 | 22.3%161 W · 561 L | -37.3wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 44c | 270.04$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.98 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 30c | 254.09$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.41 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x457e…72ddbacked No | 32c | 248.99$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.08 | 134 | 44.8%60 W · 74 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed No | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 2,950 | 33.6%992 W · 1,958 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 46c | 171$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.29 | 2,010 | 61.5%1,237 W · 773 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed Yes | 70c | 170.17$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.66 | 2,090 | 56.7%1,186 W · 904 L | +60.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked Yes | 71c | 164.83$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.33 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce3…4291backed No | 39c | 156.9$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.74 | 2,165 | 23.8%516 W · 1,649 L | +83.8wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…e9f8backed Yes | 54c | 154.99$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.03 | 1,108 | 30%332 W · 776 L | -38.1wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 23c | 153.2$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.76 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 44c | 149.07$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.32 | 4,117 | 47.6%1,958 W · 2,159 L | -158.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc057…0c9abacked Yes | 69c | 144.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.87 | 68 | 20.6%14 W · 54 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fb…c038backed Yes | 72c | 142$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.76 | 439 | 32.8%144 W · 295 L | +20.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1f…eb96backed No | 39c | 140$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.35 | 231 | 46.3%107 W · 124 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2d…da35backed No | 47c | 134.99$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.87 | 271 | 69%187 W · 84 L | +15.4wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 75c | 131.69$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed Yes | 75c | 130.56$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.19 | 2,093 | 57.1%1,196 W · 897 L | +71.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed No | 49c | 119.8$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.87 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08b1…f05bbacked Yes | 64c | 110$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 40c | 107$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.03 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 16c | 105.59$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.81 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x655c…4420backed No | 48c | 104$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 895 | 57.2%512 W · 383 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 40c | 102$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.98 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed Yes | 72c | 100.48$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.45 | 2,124 | 57.4%1,220 W · 904 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…cafebacked Yes | 53c | 98.53$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.53 | 204 | 52%106 W · 98 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b7…f43cbacked No | 35c | 96.52$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.83 | 308 | 34.4%106 W · 202 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 76c | 94$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53e1…f420backed No | 42c | 92.55$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.87 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeacb…022dbacked No | 32c | 89.7$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.81 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 69cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8857…4b5bbacked Yes | 56c | 89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.16 | 227 | 40.5%92 W · 135 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29ef…dddabacked No | 45c | 85.13$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.65 | 182 | 47.3%86 W · 96 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 37c | 84.41$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.48 | 799 | 47.9%383 W · 416 L | -24.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 40c | 82.79$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.51 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbd…3bedbacked No | 58c | 80.46$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.82 | 375 | 41.6%156 W · 219 L | -52.4wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -28%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3c3a…8792backed Yes | 70c | 80$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 180 | 45.6%82 W · 98 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 51c | 79.09$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.09 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 54c | 76.56$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.22 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 64c | 72.97$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.01 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 60c | 71.32$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.59 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5d…d8b5backed Yes | 70c | 70.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.95 | 97 | 28.9%28 W · 69 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 44c | 70$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.9 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06da…af33backed Yes | 35c | 68.57$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.86 | 253 | 32%81 W · 172 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed No | 28c | 63.94$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 421 | 48%202 W · 219 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed Yes | 70c | 62.32$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.69 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked Yes | 71c | 61.9$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.96 | 2,075 | 58.9%1,223 W · 852 L | +102.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked No | 33c | 60.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked Yes | 69c | 56.69$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.3 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed Yes | 71c | 56.41$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.45 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…d571backed Yes | 71c | 56.06$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.06 | 2,225 | 49.2%1,094 W · 1,131 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf27a…78d8backed Yes | 72c | 55.6$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 249 | 42.6%106 W · 143 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 41c | 54.94$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.59 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b49…2e46backed Yes | 62c | 52.81$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.07 | 52 | 67.3%35 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x025e…bb39backed No | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 105 | 54.3%57 W · 48 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33e8…dc93backed No | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 239 | 41.4%99 W · 140 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x450f…c578backed Yes | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +4.6wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x10fb…4651backed No | 37c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b58…d734backed No | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 155 | 34.2%53 W · 102 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed Yes | 71c | 49.76$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.65 | 2,118 | 59.1%1,251 W · 867 L | +107.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x379a…4b1abacked Yes | 50c | 49.41$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.49 | 429 | 48%206 W · 223 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…1e6dbacked No | 32c | 48.77$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 1,359 | 30.2%411 W · 948 L | -92.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed Yes | 72c | 48.5$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.71 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc179…5cdebacked No | 31c | 47.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 289 | 46%133 W · 156 L | +14.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d1…1733backed No | 37c | 47.91$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 213 | 38.5%82 W · 131 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 43c | 45.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.82 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x334d…7acbbacked No | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 67cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c18…32c3backed No | 44c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 1,043 | 62.9%656 W · 387 L | -11.9wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x020c…f6c9backed Yes | 67c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.18per pick | 56cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4184…c863backed No | 26c | 39.83$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 899 | 51.6%464 W · 435 L | -40.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabfc…173ebacked No | 55c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.37 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed No | 31c | 36.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.29 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf456…d568backed Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 213 | 38%81 W · 132 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed Yes | 77c | 35.65$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.3 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32a7…a84bbacked Yes | 56c | 35.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.86 | 207 | 39.1%81 W · 126 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…6a89backed No | 33c | 34.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 384 | 54.9%211 W · 173 L | +26.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf143…4ef2backed Yes | 61c | 33.72$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.15 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf1…7cb7backed No | 45c | 31.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 91 | 69.2%63 W · 28 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3473…e864backed No | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 111 | 34.2%38 W · 73 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b27…5197backed No | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.7wins | -0.21per pick | 48cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc662…0927backed No | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 1,190 | 57.9%689 W · 501 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebb1…e7afbacked Yes | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 575 | 45%259 W · 316 L | +26.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb259…9207backed Yes | 62c | 29.79$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.33 | 110 | 27.3%30 W · 80 L | -22.3wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C or higher on August 8?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on August 8?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on August 8?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on August 8?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on August 8?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on August 8?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on August 8?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.