CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: K28 vs Lavked (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Group C
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x30194894770e041f2ee6c9a7c76570aaab0fe0253cce93955ecb37dfdf147bcb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- K28of K28, Lavked
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,424
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,591
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,424 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7460…de6ebacked K28 | 54c | 3,300$1,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,517.98 | 439 | 51.7%227 W · 212 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…ca3fbacked Lavked | 60c | 2,900$1,744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,743.57 | 358 | 47.5%170 W · 188 L | -13.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd42d…94d3backed K28 | 38c | 1,727$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,066.54 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa16b…b541backed Lavked | 46c | 1,340$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.09 | 434 | 55.1%239 W · 195 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8b…7a07backed Lavked | 61c | 1,178$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.6 | 211 | 59.7%126 W · 85 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Lavked | 38c | 1,048$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.26 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…c920backed Lavked | 63c | 623.16$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395 | 173 | 61.3%106 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa2…6df9backed Lavked | 72c | 438.11$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.25 | 162 | 45.7%74 W · 88 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff4…d731backed Lavked | 46c | 400$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 198 | 40.9%81 W · 117 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed K28 | 22c | 219.12$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.77 | 207 | 45.9%95 W · 112 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6c…0c16backed K28 | 52c | 178.06$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.06 | 190 | 35.8%68 W · 122 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d5…54d5backed K28 | 42c | 146.3$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.33 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2b…cec3backed Lavked | 46c | 143.47$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76ed…7817backed K28 | 53c | 109.24$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.45 | 256 | 35.5%91 W · 165 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e47…bdbfbacked Lavked | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 384 | 69.5%267 W · 117 L | +31.6wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked Lavked | 79c | 100$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 582 | 54.3%316 W · 266 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked K28 | 40c | 67.2$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.32 | 190 | 50%95 W · 95 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Lavked | 45c | 62.34$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.05 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc057…0c9abacked K28 | 33c | 60.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.04 | 78 | 30.8%24 W · 54 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc044…5fb8backed K28 | 38c | 58.8$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.62 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f20…934fbacked Lavked | 62c | 57.09$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.26 | 324 | 63%204 W · 120 L | +17.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x050e…d92fbacked K28 | 30c | 47.6$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.36 | 222 | 57.2%127 W · 95 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe53b…fe03backed Lavked | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 413 | 72.2%298 W · 115 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…bf81backed K28 | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 351 | 48.1%169 W · 182 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Lavked | 57c | 33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.65 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd30…9a01backed Lavked | 42c | 28.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 287 | 61.3%176 W · 111 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a0e…ea07backed Lavked | 59c | 27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.93 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Lavked | 59c | 24.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Lavked | 65c | 16.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: K28 vs Lavked (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Group Cthis page
- Counter-Strike: K28 vs Lavked - Map 2 WinnerK28 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.