CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs CYBERSHOKE Esports - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x644742a87a542579e22a56e4ad2e1872c7feb6dbfdf643d20b1b855c75a879fe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- CYBERSHOKE Esportsof Black Phoenix, CYBERSHOKE Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $135,182
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $141,179
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $135,182 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e60…4f1dbacked Black Phoenix | 0c | 99,880$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Black Phoenix | 23c | 1,927$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.78 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x490a…1d4bbacked Black Phoenix | 28c | 1,819$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.87 | 292 | 35.6%104 W · 188 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 67c | 1,552$1,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.5 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Black Phoenix | 21c | 1,534$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.69 | 752 | 45.3%341 W · 411 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 75c | 1,359$1,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.05 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Black Phoenix | 28c | 736.01$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.53 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 67c | 730.75$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.92 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x68e9…845cbacked Black Phoenix | 31c | 719.33$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.86 | 302 | 36.8%111 W · 191 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Black Phoenix | 44c | 459.05$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.21 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 74c | 403.49$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.66 | 1,157 | 48.2%558 W · 599 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Black Phoenix | 16c | 299$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.49 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 52c | 283$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.46 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0da…749bbacked Black Phoenix | 26c | 250$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 302 | 23.2%70 W · 232 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc057…0c9abacked Black Phoenix | 17c | 239.43$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.8 | 78 | 30.8%24 W · 54 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 75c | 212.07$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.21 | 1,033 | 53.2%550 W · 483 L | +64.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…bf81backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 61c | 201.07$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.17 | 351 | 48.1%169 W · 182 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcce1…49c7backed Black Phoenix | 47c | 201.03$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.33 | 351 | 47.9%168 W · 183 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 62c | 199.99$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.23 | 449 | 39.2%176 W · 273 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 71c | 196.05$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.09 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Black Phoenix | 18c | 189.23$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.48 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bb…bd8ebacked Black Phoenix | 19c | 180.24$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.31 | 192 | 36.5%70 W · 122 L | -15.5wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e2…0f82backed Black Phoenix | 44c | 171.42$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.67 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Black Phoenix | 32c | 171.11$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.05 | 488 | 51.8%253 W · 235 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72e7…2b72backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 58c | 168.85$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.92 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Black Phoenix | 16c | 157.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.42 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Black Phoenix | 9c | 138.85$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.83 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x821b…8b2bbacked Black Phoenix | 32c | 138.26$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.5 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 67c | 130.19$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.58 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07e4…186ebacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 80c | 126.9$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.93 | 333 | 62.2%207 W · 126 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Black Phoenix | 29c | 124.86$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.08 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Black Phoenix | 28c | 123$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.36 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x270e…53cabacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 64c | 117.12$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.12 | 84 | 54.8%46 W · 38 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8efe…6704backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 63c | 115$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.55 | 205 | 62.4%128 W · 77 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb969…1d37backed Black Phoenix | 45c | 113.64$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.14 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1e…4754backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 53c | 113.2$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.2 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +7.1wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Black Phoenix | 26c | 112.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.51 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Black Phoenix | 21c | 108.75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.98 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…d10dbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 60c | 107.79$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.79 | 530 | 34.7%184 W · 346 L | -32.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9aac…791fbacked Black Phoenix | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b9…9772backed Black Phoenix | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c79…ddf6backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 59c | 98.22$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.27 | 86 | 64%55 W · 31 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Black Phoenix | 24c | 81.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.77 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef2…44c9backed Black Phoenix | 28c | 76$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.28 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21e0…645bbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 70c | 71.73$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.73 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Black Phoenix | 18c | 56.55$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Black Phoenix | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.65 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb2…8115backed Black Phoenix | 37c | 48.09$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.79 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccdc…dbe6backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 367 | 49.3%181 W · 186 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 78c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 393 | 38.2%150 W · 243 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f0c…a691backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 52c | 39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 216 | 50.5%109 W · 107 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x824a…3952backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 74c | 37.44$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 141 | 39.7%56 W · 85 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 72c | 37$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.36 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 54c | 36.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.7 | 700 | 42.3%296 W · 404 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1961…ae18backed Black Phoenix | 42c | 35.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.73 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Black Phoenix | 30c | 33.91$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca08…08bdbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 412 | 50.2%207 W · 205 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8e…8e0dbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 79c | 25.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.36 | 503 | 58.6%295 W · 208 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7275…8b45backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -7.5wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba9…a8d8backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 406 | 66.3%269 W · 137 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf8…27cfbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 61c | 19.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x104b…e9cebacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 184 | 81.5%150 W · 34 L | +13.6wins | +0.07per pick | 74cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea4…8001backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 64c | 18.23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs CYBERSHOKE Esports - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #6 PlayoffsCYBERSHOKE Esports won
- Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs CYBERSHOKE Esports - Map 1 WinnerBlack Phoenix won
- Map Handicap: CS (-1.5) vs Black Phoenix (+1.5)Black Phoenix won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.