CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs CYBERSHOKE Esports - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0f04d80037d75c2cf388a82b9c326b5ae79d962e06d0a3b93e6bafd794fb5699
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Black Phoenixof Black Phoenix, CYBERSHOKE Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,653
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,089
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,653 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 18c | 1,966$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.83 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Black Phoenix | 54c | 1,565$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.53 | 609 | 53.4%325 W · 284 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 3c | 1,389$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.93 | 1,033 | 53.2%550 W · 483 L | +64.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 27c | 1,142$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.89 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ac…7deebacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 13c | 843.53$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.77 | 431 | 52.9%228 W · 203 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 55c | 815.91$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.5 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 27c | 789.8$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.3 | 752 | 45.3%341 W · 411 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 52c | 722.81$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.09 | 694 | 45%312 W · 382 L | -24.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 33c | 567.83$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.43 | 488 | 51.8%253 W · 235 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68e9…845cbacked Black Phoenix | 37c | 434.46$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.46 | 302 | 36.8%111 W · 191 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6818…8f14backed Black Phoenix | 35c | 430.71$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.71 | 180 | 37.8%68 W · 112 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 61c | 388.99$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.28 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 6c | 339.79$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.29 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 63c | 311.57$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.62 | 122 | 59%72 W · 50 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa369…3ad6backed Black Phoenix | 66c | 298$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.67 | 331 | 46.5%154 W · 177 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 24c | 235.67$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.49 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Black Phoenix | 55c | 205.63$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.49 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf49a…8981backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 65c | 182.18$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.42 | 191 | 42.4%81 W · 110 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8e…0c69backed Black Phoenix | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.57 | 274 | 38.3%105 W · 169 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Black Phoenix | 50c | 147.99$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.67 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 23c | 146.24$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.26 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe35b…b542backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 53c | 140.88$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.35 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0c…dac0backed Black Phoenix | 61c | 140$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.8 | 414 | 75.4%312 W · 102 L | +22.1wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 17c | 133$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.88 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 231 | 56.3%130 W · 101 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Black Phoenix | 48c | 123$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.58 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8e…3dc3backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 20c | 100.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 106 | 26.4%28 W · 78 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe598…e597backed Black Phoenix | 36c | 100.33$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.21 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +5.2wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Black Phoenix | 49c | 91.71$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.62 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8948…76e5backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 60c | 90$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 404 | 57.2%231 W · 173 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8208…b1f2backed Black Phoenix | 44c | 84.09$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd1d…6f23backed Black Phoenix | 60c | 83.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 139 | 60.4%84 W · 55 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Black Phoenix | 40c | 82.5$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 309 | 39.2%121 W · 188 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.82 | 379 | 22.2%84 W · 295 L | -43.1wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x07e4…186ebacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 43c | 79.69$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.49 | 333 | 62.2%207 W · 126 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1d…8986backed Black Phoenix | 26c | 74.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.7 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bac…d241backed Black Phoenix | 26c | 70.54$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.2 | 406 | 39.4%160 W · 246 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked Black Phoenix | 37c | 65.58$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.45 | 393 | 38.2%150 W · 243 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c79…ddf6backed Black Phoenix | 52c | 59.31$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.47 | 86 | 64%55 W · 31 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb66e…ffc2backed Black Phoenix | 36c | 50.17$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.11 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +5.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Black Phoenix | 47c | 49$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f0c…a691backed Black Phoenix | 30c | 42$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 216 | 50.5%109 W · 107 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaedb…91fdbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 64c | 41.09$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.3 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8058…4cc3backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 169 | 58%98 W · 71 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…3728backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 46c | 39.13$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 499 | 47.5%237 W · 262 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Black Phoenix | 39c | 35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.35 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Black Phoenix | 76c | 30.38$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.19 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Black Phoenix | 38c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 64c | 28.97$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.54 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7275…8b45backed Black Phoenix | 50c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -7.5wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf1…d7febacked Black Phoenix | 37c | 26.71$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.71 | 238 | 35.3%84 W · 154 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs CYBERSHOKE Esports - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #6 PlayoffsCYBERSHOKE Esports won
- Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs CYBERSHOKE Esports - Map 2 WinnerCYBERSHOKE Esports won
- Map Handicap: CS (-1.5) vs Black Phoenix (+1.5)Black Phoenix won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.