Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on July 30?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6e747870f7f4492c824af281004dddf49221f101fcea0a38d67b513530401de9

Rebuilt 19 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 30, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $25,741
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $23,183

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,741 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 139 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in World Politics
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xdfbd…5a6cbacked Yes	9c	1,312$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.71	77	41.6%32 W · 45 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe040…824fbacked No	78c	853.59$664 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$189.55	218	54.6%119 W · 99 L	+6.8wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6bee…7e78backed Yes	6c	715.68$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.45	128	16.4%21 W · 107 L	+6.3wins	+0.05per pick	11cpaid	+67.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No	76c	694.71$526 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$168.35	223	55.6%124 W · 99 L	+4.2wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6715…9365backed Yes	30c	688.96$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210	74	27%20 W · 54 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	26cpaid	-17%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd23f…94a1backed No	79c	628.79$499 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$129.52	149	59.7%89 W · 60 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	61cpaid	-10%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ff2…f140backed Yes	32c	625.75$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	237	23.2%55 W · 182 L	+6.9wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	+42.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x578d…bbaabacked No	63c	517.92$325 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$193.03	59	57.6%34 W · 25 L	+3.8wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+17%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x417f…d9a9backed Yes	25c	416.61$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.56	50	52%26 W · 24 L	+3.9wins	+0.08per pick	44cpaid	+9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5641…6d0dbacked Yes	10c	413.65$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.83	32	12.5%4 W · 28 L	-5.4wins	-0.17per pick	29cpaid	-82.2%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x35fb…8511backed Yes	30c	400$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.05	56	44.6%25 W · 31 L	+4.5wins	+0.08per pick	37cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3500…07f0backed Yes	40c	399.72$162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$161.76	29	27.6%8 W · 21 L	-1.8wins	-0.06per pick	34cpaid	-36.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f20…12c3backed No	80c	379$302 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77.47	285	58.9%168 W · 117 L	+14.0wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed No	76c	367.05$278 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$89.15	48	27.1%13 W · 35 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	25cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes	6c	360.5$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.35	104	14.4%15 W · 89 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7c63…93d4backed Yes	33c	350.71$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.54	441	38.1%168 W · 273 L	+27.8wins	+0.06per pick	32cpaid	+27.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xaf46…1d91backed Yes	6c	350.59$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.66	26	26.9%7 W · 19 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	25cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	25c	341.15$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.72	82	36.6%30 W · 52 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bc3…b0aebacked Yes	28c	325$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.61	106	29.2%31 W · 75 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1463…ce78backed Yes	6c	322.99$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1c98…f6a0backed Yes	7c	310.47$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.83	58	37.9%22 W · 36 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	+21.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes	41c	300$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123	184	45.7%84 W · 100 L	-6.3wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-11%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe086…0450backed No	68c	300$204 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96	133	48.1%64 W · 69 L	-2.4wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52eb…67acbacked No	71c	283.45$201 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82.33	323	54.2%175 W · 148 L	+6.2wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x070f…e902backed Yes	11c	259.6$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.55	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	-1.7wins	-0.12per pick	34cpaid	-61.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5aad…dc28backed Yes	13c	227.98$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.73	63	30.2%19 W · 44 L	+2.4wins	+0.04per pick	26cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb7a…ed18backed Yes	12c	213.03$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.96	221	11.3%25 W · 196 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd55…f905backed No	69c	208$144 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.05	360	55.3%199 W · 161 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcd90…4bfcbacked Yes	29c	202$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.61	55	47.3%26 W · 29 L	+5.8wins	+0.11per pick	37cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xaf17…5c20backed Yes	14c	193$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.16	42	16.7%7 W · 35 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd487…5f32backed Yes	16c	192.27$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31	69	55.1%38 W · 31 L	+6.4wins	+0.09per pick	46cpaid	+31.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5edc…bbadbacked No	74c	184.99$136 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.56	88	54.5%48 W · 40 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93f7…c133backed Yes	36c	179.29$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.88	27	51.9%14 W · 13 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdb33…19d9backed Yes	18c	165.68$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.9wins	-0.38per pick	38cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb2a3…09b8backed Yes	17c	163.88$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.2	24	58.3%14 W · 10 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	61cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked Yes	12c	160.25$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.31	246	37.4%92 W · 154 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-30.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74dd…2131backed Yes	12c	159.71$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.09	59	13.6%8 W · 51 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ab7…0bd3backed Yes	13c	149.97$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.71	72	48.6%35 W · 37 L	+4.4wins	+0.06per pick	43cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x30fb…7db4backed No	68c	145.12$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.97	271	43.5%118 W · 153 L	-21.4wins	-0.08per pick	51cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x80f5…2b27backed Yes	13c	142.99$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.89	116	36.2%42 W · 74 L	+3.3wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfdd4…6084backed Yes	10c	128$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.62	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-37%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x108a…8159backed Yes	15c	125.67$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.15	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	-1.7wins	-0.14per pick	23cpaid	-63.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xeb68…e362backed No	77c	119.6$92 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.91	150	56.7%85 W · 65 L	+5.0wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x28bf…4a4ebacked No	76c	117$89 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.86	399	52.4%209 W · 190 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x496f…fa5dbacked Yes	27c	113.77$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.23	186	62.4%116 W · 70 L	+13.0wins	+0.07per pick	55cpaid	+18.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked No	62c	108$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.12	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.8wins	+0.14per pick	53cpaid	+18.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x91d7…0dfcbacked Yes	27c	106$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.28	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-1.9wins	-0.16per pick	41cpaid	-51.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x82c2…5905backed Yes	26c	105.99$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.98	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.30per pick	30cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a84…171fbacked Yes	10c	105$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.78	107	33.6%36 W · 71 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc92…27c9backed No	68c	100$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32	74	50%37 W · 37 L	-3.1wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e5c…d892backed Yes	15c	100$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	73	53.4%39 W · 34 L	+10.5wins	+0.14per pick	39cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x6360…1699backed Yes	14c	100$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd81c…14f4backed Yes	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x044f…d1f1backed Yes	27c	99.42$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.84	327	48.6%159 W · 168 L	+5.7wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f0b…d571backed No	71c	99.13$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.03	95	58.9%56 W · 39 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	58cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5425…4c65backed Yes	22c	98$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.14	69	60.9%42 W · 27 L	+3.4wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	+22.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x859c…6eafbacked Yes	25c	94.41$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.32	62	24.2%15 W · 47 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3b4…48b2backed Yes	14c	94.16$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.75	148	42.6%63 W · 85 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda35…b2dbbacked Yes	32c	93.74$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	186	38.2%71 W · 115 L	+2.6wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4245…a467backed Yes	27c	91$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.45	167	38.3%64 W · 103 L	+6.0wins	+0.04per pick	35cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x302b…7a54backed Yes	29c	90.51$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.57	10	40%4 W · 6 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb49f…1821backed Yes	39c	83.8$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.77	51	49%25 W · 26 L	+2.1wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No	70c	82.85$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.59	1,318	43.9%579 W · 739 L	-26.8wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-13%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x34f5…edd9backed No	64c	78.38$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.38	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.28per pick	62cpaid	-47.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x86f6…ad6dbacked No	65c	76.85$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.85	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.35per pick	65cpaid	+53.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90f0…dc7abacked Yes	15c	74.99$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.2	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	+0.8wins	+0.06per pick	35cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4a0…9d29backed Yes	17c	69.99$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.6	169	34.9%59 W · 110 L	+11.4wins	+0.07per pick	28cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcfff…673dbacked No	67c	69$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.6	263	55.9%147 W · 116 L	-4.4wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	-10%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc17…886abacked No	72c	66$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.48	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+0.9wins	+0.29per pick	71cpaid	+41.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes	19c	65.92$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.39	444	28.8%128 W · 316 L	-67.6wins	-0.15per pick	44cpaid	-51.6%equal weight	34-0.14 edge/pick
0xdedd…17e1backed No	66c	64.99$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.25	75	60%45 W · 30 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	61cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdab3…79b1backed Yes	32c	63.85$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.65	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x234c…90dbbacked Yes	32c	63.18$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	31	41.9%13 W · 18 L	+1.3wins	+0.04per pick	38cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2cbe…e435backed Yes	40c	63$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	44	52.3%23 W · 21 L	+1.6wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d1d…9e61backed No	76c	62.58$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.87	144	67.4%97 W · 47 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	66cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb1a…1e6dbacked Yes	36c	61$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.71	89	37.1%33 W · 56 L	-3.3wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7688…7d0dbacked Yes	23c	59.41$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.38	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes	33c	59.36$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.38	70	30%21 W · 49 L	-4.8wins	-0.07per pick	37cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa016…67c2backed Yes	28c	59.07$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.49	28	50%14 W · 14 L	-2.3wins	-0.08per pick	58cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No	69c	57.11$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.48	884	48.5%429 W · 455 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc85b…ba1bbacked No	70c	56$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.83	8	75%6 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.07per pick	68cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaebd…a26fbacked Yes	31c	55.72$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.11	183	42.6%78 W · 105 L	+4.4wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c9e…3a21backed Yes	28c	53.71$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.04	88	44.3%39 W · 49 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb58…407abacked Yes	28c	52.63$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.69	148	27%40 W · 108 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	25cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1096…a162backed Yes	35c	52$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.2	108	37%40 W · 68 L	+4.1wins	+0.04per pick	33cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c81…25cabacked Yes	40c	50$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.18per pick	43cpaid	-53.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd17e…7a0cbacked Yes	30c	49.4$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.82	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.8wins	-0.09per pick	47cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8aac…0e7abacked Yes	26c	49$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.67	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-2.1wins	-0.23per pick	34cpaid	-74.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe4d9…af28backed Yes	27c	49$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.23	32	37.5%12 W · 20 L	+3.2wins	+0.10per pick	27cpaid	+14.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1d69…7a63backed No	72c	48.61$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.61	44	43.2%19 W · 25 L	-5.8wins	-0.13per pick	56cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb2ff…238dbacked No	77c	45.06$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.56	35	48.6%17 W · 18 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5dc…dec3backed No	73c	40.22$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.71	67	65.7%44 W · 23 L	-2.6wins	-0.04per pick	70cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x764b…6badbacked No	71c	40$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.6	311	52.4%163 W · 148 L	-12.4wins	-0.04per pick	56cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd90e…03b6backed No	71c	40$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.6	60	43.3%26 W · 34 L	-7.0wins	-0.12per pick	55cpaid	-27%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4ce5…6233backed No	72c	40$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.2	7	85.7%6 W · 1 L	+1.8wins	+0.26per pick	60cpaid	+54.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa047…4ffabacked No	70c	39.93$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.94	55	54.5%30 W · 25 L	-2.3wins	-0.04per pick	59cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x885f…7bf9backed No	73c	38.41$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.2	20	45%9 W · 11 L	-1.2wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e4b…0a04backed Yes	29c	35.99$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.5	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.9wins	-0.23per pick	48cpaid	-57.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x188a…9fafbacked No	66c	35$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.05	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	64cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ddb…6a89backed No	72c	32.1$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.99	41	46.3%19 W · 22 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on July 30?this page
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C or below on July 30?No won
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on July 30?No won
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on July 30?No won
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on July 30?No won
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on July 30?Yes won
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on July 30?No won
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on July 30?No won
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on July 30?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on July 30?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event