Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Jenz vs Ilbirs eSports - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x793d9b4e91fe5e089534043a118446228fbe8e1a0e1f29adabf700bf991cf49f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ilbirs eSportsof Team Jenz, Ilbirs eSports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $99,692
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $131,329
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $99,692 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x47de…b677backed Ilbirs eSports | 66c | 9,041$5,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,063.49 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -31%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Team Jenz | 32c | 8,909$2,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,819.76 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf43f…6c9dbacked Ilbirs eSports | 65c | 5,122$3,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,783.38 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.27per pick | 55cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed Team Jenz | 33c | 3,200$1,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,066.79 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x270c…f66fbacked Team Jenz | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1b…ca93backed Ilbirs eSports | 72c | 2,789$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$788.64 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +5.0wins | +0.24per pick | 38cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdc…9704backed Team Jenz | 34c | 2,649$892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$891.61 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b0…5e5ebacked Team Jenz | 1c | 2,600$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x050e…d92fbacked Ilbirs eSports | 75c | 2,366$1,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.21 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x880d…39bcbacked Team Jenz | 34c | 2,165$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.94 | 327 | 56.9%186 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad46…e6a6backed Team Jenz | 1c | 2,150$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.62 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd403…a817backed Team Jenz | 2c | 2,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6155…808ebacked Team Jenz | 13c | 2,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…1044backed Team Jenz | 32c | 1,799$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.76 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1186…0355backed Ilbirs eSports | 56c | 1,777$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.42 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4419…fcf4backed Ilbirs eSports | 68c | 1,477$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.77 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf85a…960ebacked Team Jenz | 31c | 1,447$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9208…08c5backed Team Jenz | 28c | 1,218$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +68%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Ilbirs eSports | 57c | 1,200$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.99 | 280 | 44.3%124 W · 156 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8b…7a07backed Ilbirs eSports | 70c | 1,165$821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.8 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e8…fafcbacked Team Jenz | 18c | 1,062$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.04 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f6…38e8backed Team Jenz | 4c | 1,061$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.32 | 332 | 3%10 W · 322 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…1861backed Team Jenz | 41c | 1,057$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.38 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddc…c874backed Ilbirs eSports | 66c | 999.98$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde30…3159backed Team Jenz | 14c | 965.82$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.36 | 195 | 47.2%92 W · 103 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb11a…a5d9backed Team Jenz | 34c | 928.13$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.67 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Team Jenz | 21c | 874.99$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.58 | 324 | 41.7%135 W · 189 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…ca8cbacked Team Jenz | 32c | 873.04$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.69 | 540 | 58.9%318 W · 222 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed Team Jenz | 29c | 844.47$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.12 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3b…be27backed Team Jenz | 22c | 748.57$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.28 | 210 | 47.6%100 W · 110 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdccd…f41abacked Team Jenz | 33c | 728.8$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 122 | 52.5%64 W · 58 L | +17.2wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7f40…c8ffbacked Team Jenz | 27c | 724.34$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.76 | 310 | 52.6%163 W · 147 L | +15.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Ilbirs eSports | 79c | 695.6$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.13 | 430 | 67%288 W · 142 L | +31.9wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Team Jenz | 9c | 693.47$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.08 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1de…21f5backed Ilbirs eSports | 65c | 692.9$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.52 | 304 | 52.3%159 W · 145 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51be…12c2backed Team Jenz | 26c | 634.49$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.94 | 192 | 51%98 W · 94 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aff…b136backed Team Jenz | 19c | 600$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 324 | 45.1%146 W · 178 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4e…852fbacked Ilbirs eSports | 69c | 599.98$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.99 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | +5.9wins | +0.14per pick | 24cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0f59backed Ilbirs eSports | 69c | 578.72$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.43 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93fd…a5edbacked Team Jenz | 30c | 535.47$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.64 | 406 | 44.6%181 W · 225 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec96…f5d7backed Team Jenz | 17c | 505.08$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.86 | 372 | 53%197 W · 175 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fac…b89abacked Team Jenz | 42c | 475.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 224 | 50%112 W · 112 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Team Jenz | 33c | 460.88$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Team Jenz | 26c | 458$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.5 | 645 | 47.8%308 W · 337 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Jenz | 28c | 401.71$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.08 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8776…f2efbacked Team Jenz | 35c | 397.71$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.49 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x242c…ddd2backed Team Jenz | 41c | 376.19$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 214 | 47.2%101 W · 113 L | +16.7wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xabd9…dc3abacked Team Jenz | 23c | 347.04$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.12 | 187 | 33.2%62 W · 125 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Team Jenz | 18c | 332.42$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.6 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Team Jenz | 22c | 325.66$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.98 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6c…0c16backed Team Jenz | 29c | 273.77$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.52 | 191 | 35.6%68 W · 123 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Team Jenz | 15c | 236$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.63 | 587 | 46.5%273 W · 314 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d08…5d9fbacked Team Jenz | 37c | 204.72$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.2 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x070f…ed83backed Team Jenz | 36c | 200$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b27…0635backed Ilbirs eSports | 68c | 199.98$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Team Jenz | 22c | 189.59$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.58 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f4…c1e4backed Team Jenz | 25c | 153.94$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.95 | 426 | 39.4%168 W · 258 L | -39.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc75d…0717backed Ilbirs eSports | 63c | 150$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.5 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Team Jenz | 16c | 141.17$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.38 | 440 | 49.3%217 W · 223 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Team Jenz | 21c | 137.3$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.31 | 535 | 38.5%206 W · 329 L | -26.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x762a…ed42backed Team Jenz | 31c | 135.57$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.66 | 85 | 32.9%28 W · 57 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x249a…f923backed Team Jenz | 35c | 135.55$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.05 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabef…5c2ebacked Ilbirs eSports | 75c | 133.53$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.54 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43a2…646dbacked Ilbirs eSports | 76c | 129.99$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.6 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Team Jenz | 19c | 127$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 208 | 20.7%43 W · 165 L | -18.8wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x294b…22d2backed Team Jenz | 26c | 125.81$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.56 | 156 | 48.7%76 W · 80 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…5627backed Ilbirs eSports | 79c | 125.79$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.79 | 162 | 56.8%92 W · 70 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Ilbirs eSports | 72c | 125.52$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.78 | 175 | 37.1%65 W · 110 L | -13.9wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Team Jenz | 24c | 118.72$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.91 | 589 | 43%253 W · 336 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc925…6d24backed Team Jenz | 16c | 115.47$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 416 | 32.7%136 W · 280 L | -37.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x142f…19f9backed Team Jenz | 27c | 112.49$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 234 | 42.7%100 W · 134 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbf…4605backed Team Jenz | 22c | 109.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.06 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Team Jenz | 25c | 109.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.03 | 793 | 41.7%331 W · 462 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…75bbbacked Team Jenz | 37c | 108.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 614 | 49.5%304 W · 310 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x912f…b25bbacked Team Jenz | 24c | 107.25$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.76 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…4e6abacked Ilbirs eSports | 66c | 105.54$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.16 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Team Jenz | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 421 | 46.6%196 W · 225 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d8…c931backed Team Jenz | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked Ilbirs eSports | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 658 | 63.1%415 W · 243 L | +17.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32a9…fc3fbacked Ilbirs eSports | 67c | 99.99$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf186…03a9backed Ilbirs eSports | 68c | 99.99$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Ilbirs eSports | 69c | 98$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.71 | 785 | 16.6%130 W · 655 L | -135.4wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…8e7ebacked Ilbirs eSports | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 338 | 54.1%183 W · 155 L | +11.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x422d…7e39backed Team Jenz | 30c | 86.19$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 124 | 52.4%65 W · 59 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Team Jenz | 22c | 86$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.09 | 569 | 45.2%257 W · 312 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42db…3816backed Team Jenz | 19c | 77.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.68 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Team Jenz | 18c | 76.69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 669 | 47.1%315 W · 354 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Ilbirs eSports | 77c | 76.54$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.49 | 194 | 40.7%79 W · 115 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Ilbirs eSports | 79c | 75.22$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 165 | 53.3%88 W · 77 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54c8…46eebacked Ilbirs eSports | 60c | 69.99$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed Ilbirs eSports | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 595 | 56.6%337 W · 258 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Team Jenz | 25c | 67.85$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.23 | 500 | 32.2%161 W · 339 L | -47.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x788e…e086backed Ilbirs eSports | 76c | 65.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.92 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked Team Jenz | 26c | 63.65$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.52 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d59…8b19backed Team Jenz | 21c | 63.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x575a…570ebacked Ilbirs eSports | 71c | 63.24$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.34 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked Team Jenz | 31c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d59…bdf3backed Team Jenz | 20c | 58.94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 675 | 55%371 W · 304 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a53…71a3backed Team Jenz | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 185 | 62.7%116 W · 69 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad1…b4c5backed Ilbirs eSports | 58c | 54.26$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.89 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 50cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Jenz vs Ilbirs eSports - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Jenz vs Ilbirs eSports (BO3) - EPL Masters Group AIlbirs eSports won
- Dota 2: Team Jenz vs Ilbirs eSports - Game 1 WinnerIlbirs eSports won
- Game 1: Any Player Rampage?No won
- Game 2: Any Player Rampage?No won
- Game Handicap: ILL (-1.5) vs Team Jenz (+1.5)Ilbirs eSports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.